This opponent (KuPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.83
1.50
0.75
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
1.17
0.67
1.25
0.88
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (16)
1.62
0.75
2.00
0.43
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
57.3%
Under 1.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.1%
Under 2.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.2%
Under 3.5
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.1%
No
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.6%
0-1
15.9%
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.2%
0-2 â
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
VPS goals ↓
KuPS goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
16%
9.7%
3.6%
1.0%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
4.3%
4.9%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
3
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VPS goals (down), columns = KuPS goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.96
HJK Helsinki
1.96
VPS
1.90
SJK
1.54
Honka
1.45
AC Oulu
1.34
Inter Turku
1.29
Ilves
1.22
Haka
1.19
Lahti
1.07
Mariehamn
0.90
Kooteepee
0.74
Gnistan
0.50
VPS is 0.07 points worse than KuPS in terms of average points per game (1.90 vs 1.96).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
HJK Helsinki
1.85
KuPS
1.52
AC Oulu
1.48
VPS
1.48
SJK
1.32
Haka
1.30
Ilves
1.30
Inter Turku
1.25
Honka
1.10
Mariehamn
1.07
Lahti
0.96
Kooteepee
0.78
Gnistan
0.00
VPS is 0.04 goals worse than KuPS in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.52).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
KuPS
0.74
VPS
0.90
Honka
0.94
HJK Helsinki
0.96
Ilves
1.22
SJK
1.25
Mariehamn
1.38
Inter Turku
1.43
Gnistan
1.50
Lahti
1.52
Haka
1.56
Kooteepee
1.63
AC Oulu
1.79
VPS is 0.16 goals worse than KuPS in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 0.74).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
HJK Helsinki
53%
SJK
52%
Honka
52%
KuPS
52%
VPS
50%
Ilves
50%
Inter Turku
50%
Gnistan
49%
Kooteepee
49%
Lahti
48%
Haka
48%
Mariehamn
47%
VPS is 1.3 percentage points worse than KuPS in terms of average possession (50% vs 52%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
VPS
For 4.6 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.3
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KuPS
For 4.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.0
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VPS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
9.2
8.7
9.7
2.3
2.2
2.4
22.0
22.8
21.2
vs Stronger (6)
6.6
5.5
7.3
2.5
1.3
3.7
22.2
24.5
20.7
vs Similar (28)
10.1
9.2
10.9
2.0
2.0
2.0
21.5
21.2
21.8
vs Weaker (7)
9.0
9.5
8.5
3.1
3.2
3.0
23.5
27.5
19.5
% over line
36%
33%
38%
34%
26%
41%
56%
67%
46%
% under line
64%
67%
62%
66%
74%
59%
44%
33%
54%
This opponent (KuPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
9.2
9.5
8.9
3.0
3.1
2.9
22.6
21.8
23.6
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
11.0
8.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
28.0
26.0
30.0
vs Similar (18)
9.3
9.2
9.4
3.4
3.5
3.4
23.1
22.6
24.0
vs Weaker (25)
9.2
9.6
8.8
2.7
2.8
2.5
21.5
20.6
22.4
% over line
38%
44%
29%
44%
42%
48%
57%
56%
58%
% under line
62%
56%
71%
56%
58%
52%
43%
44%
42%
This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kooteepee
11.5
SJK
11.1
Mariehamn
10.6
Haka
10.4
Honka
9.9
HJK Helsinki
9.9
Lahti
9.7
Inter Turku
9.5
KuPS
9.2
VPS
9.2
Ilves
9.2
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Mariehamn
4.9
Kooteepee
4.9
Lahti
4.8
Inter Turku
4.4
KuPS
4.4
SJK
4.3
Haka
4.1
Honka
4.0
HJK Helsinki
4.0
VPS
3.7
Ilves
3.7
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Mariehamn
25.6
HJK Helsinki
25.2
Inter Turku
24.4
Ilves
24.2
Kooteepee
23.5
SJK
23.4
Lahti
23.4
Haka
22.9
KuPS
22.6
VPS
22.0
Honka
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.7%
Under 9.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.6%
Under 3.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.64
0.64
0.75
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.62
0.88
0.88
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.75
0.31
0.21
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.33
0.75
0.38
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (16)
0.50
0.25
0.86
0.00
0.22
0.44
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.93
0.64
0.71
0.94
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.81
0.38
0.62
1.08
0.92
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.00
1.50
0.75
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (KuPS) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KuPS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.75
0.44
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.12
0.50
1.14
0.43
1.11
0.56
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (VPS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KuPS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 2.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
VPS · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luka Smyth62%
Olavi Keturi25%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi20%
A. RÃĪisÃĪnen14%
L. Mane14%
M. Haukioja10%
J. Turfkruier10%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan0%
S. Lindholm0%
M. Niemi0%
Y. Daoussi0%
Jonathan Muzinga0%
Paulo Lima0%
V. RÃķnnberg0%
E. Okereke0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paulo Lima33%
J. Turfkruier30%
V. RÃķnnberg20%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan14%
S. Lindholm14%
A. RÃĪisÃĪnen14%
Y. Daoussi14%
L. Mane14%
Luka Smyth12%
M. Haukioja10%
M. Niemi0%
Jonathan Muzinga0%
E. Okereke0%
Olavi Keturi0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Turfkruier20%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan14%
Y. Daoussi14%
M. Haukioja10%
Jonathan Muzinga10%
S. Lindholm0%
A. RÃĪisÃĪnen0%
M. Niemi0%
Paulo Lima0%
V. RÃķnnberg0%
Luka Smyth0%
E. Okereke0%
Olavi Keturi0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
L. Mane0%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. RÃĪisÃĪnen14%
Luka Smyth12%
K. Kouassivi-Benissan0%
M. Haukioja0%
S. Lindholm0%
M. Niemi0%
Y. Daoussi0%
Jonathan Muzinga0%
Paulo Lima0%
V. RÃķnnberg0%
J. Turfkruier0%
E. Okereke0%
Olavi Keturi0%
Mamadou Jalloh0%
L. Mane0%
Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi0%
KuPS · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jaime Moreno83%
Bob Nii Armah43%
P. Pennanen29%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba25%
Gustav Engvall22%
Otto Ruoppi12%
V. Gasc11%
Kasim Adams0%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Clinton Antwi0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Savolainen0%
S. Heiskanen0%
T. HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Arttu LÃķtjÃķnen0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
A. Puukko0%
Brahima Magassa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Gasc33%
Arttu LÃķtjÃķnen25%
A. Puukko25%
Jaime Moreno17%
S. Heiskanen17%
Kasim Adams14%
Clinton Antwi11%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Gustav Engvall0%
P. Pennanen0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Savolainen0%
T. HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba0%
Otto Ruoppi0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
Bob Nii Armah0%
Brahima Magassa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
A. Puukko25%
P. Pennanen14%
S. Savolainen14%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba12%
Otto Ruoppi12%
Gustav Engvall11%
Clinton Antwi11%
Kasim Adams0%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Jaime Moreno0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Heiskanen0%
T. HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Arttu LÃķtjÃķnen0%
V. Gasc0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
Bob Nii Armah0%
Brahima Magassa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jaime Moreno67%
Bob Nii Armah57%
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba12%
Gustav Engvall11%
V. Gasc11%
Kasim Adams0%
Johannes Kreidl0%
Clinton Antwi0%
P. Pennanen0%
Arttu Heinonen0%
S. Savolainen0%
S. Heiskanen0%
T. HÃĪmÃĪlÃĪinen0%
Arttu LÃķtjÃķnen0%
Otto Ruoppi0%
Calvin Kabuye0%
N. Kujasalo0%
A. Puukko0%
Brahima Magassa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
HAK (21)
€1m
KOO (19)
€1m
VPS's squad is €4m less valuable than KuPS's (€3m vs €7m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
KOO (10)
€1m
HAK (7)
€0m
VPS and KuPS have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
HAK (5)
€0m
KOO (2)
€0m
VPS's midfield is €2m less valuable than KuPS's (€1m vs €3m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
HAK (9)
€1m
KOO (7)
€0m
VPS's defence is €1m less valuable than KuPS's (€1m vs €3m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
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HJK Helsinki
Honka
SJK
AC Oulu
Inter Turku
Ilves
Haka
Lahti
Mariehamn
Kooteepee
Gnistan