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Vushtrria vs Ramiz Sadiku Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Vushtrria
Vushtrria
Vs
49%
30%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ramiz Sadiku
Ramiz Sadiku
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Vushtrria’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding fewer than a goal per game against stronger opposition, while Ramiz Sadiku’s away form shows they rarely allow more than half a goal to weaker sides. The model favours a home win, with a 49 % chance, followed by a 30 % draw and a 21 % away victory. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal total with a 28 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Vushtrria, a 14 % chance. Suggested picks include the Under 3.5, with an 81.9 % probability. The home side’s average goals scored at home is 2.08 and conceded 0.92; the away side averages 1.75 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. The recent form shows Vushtrria returning from two defeats, while Ramiz Sadiku comes off a draw. The match is expected to be tight and low-scoring, with Vushtrria the clear favourite.

Results analysis

After a brief dip, Vushtrria’s recent form has turned in their favour, extending a run of wins that had been interrupted by two defeats. The model had predicted a home win with a 49 % probability, and the result confirmed that call. The final score of 1-0 delivered the expected outcome, with the favoured side securing victory. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 81.9 % probability. All other suggested picks were settled, and the prediction model’s choices performed as projected, reinforcing confidence in its accuracy for this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vushtrria win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku win✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VushtrriaVushtrria

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W11D30W22D11D00D10W41W10WA·LIR08/03H·TEF15/03A·VJO22/03H·KEK29/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.802.200.801.400.80
vs Stronger (24)1.750.882.080.921.420.83
vs Similar (6)2.000.502.670.331.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D01L12L02L01L12L01L20W42WA·VËL08/03H·FC 14/03A·KIK22/03H·SUH29/03A·DIN05/04H·RIL11/04A·LIR19/04H·TEF25/04A·VJO03/05H·KEK09/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.771.330.871.000.67
vs Stronger (4)0.751.501.501.500.001.50
vs Similar (18)0.890.610.890.670.890.56
vs Weaker (8)2.000.752.251.001.750.50
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.9%
Under 1.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.8%
Under 2.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
14.0%
1-1
13.8%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
Vushtrria goals ↓
Ramiz Sadiku goals →
01234
012%7.8%3.7%1.0%0.2%
114%14%5.1%1.4%0.3%
211%8.7%3.5%1.0%0.2%
34.9%4.0%1.6%0.4%0.1%
41.7%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vushtrria goals (down), columns = Ramiz Sadiku goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vushtrria
2.21
Feronikeli
2.18
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Istogu
0.94
KEK-u
0.64
Prizreni
0.59
Vushtrria is 0.74 points better than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of average points per game (2.21 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Vushtrria
1.82
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Liria Prizren
1.76
Suhareka
1.76
Feronikeli
1.74
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Vjosa
1.15
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Prizreni
0.82
KEK-u
0.76
Kika
0.74
Vushtrria is 0.68 goals better than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Feronikeli
0.65
Vushtrria
0.76
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Vjosa
1.79
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
KEK-u
1.91
Prizreni
1.94
Vushtrria is 0.09 goals better than Ramiz Sadiku in terms of goals conceded per game (0.76 vs 0.85).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VushtrriaVushtrria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D20W00D21W00D00D10W40W00DH·RIL28/02A·LIR08/03H·TEF15/03A·VJO22/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.371.360.360.500.38
vs Stronger (25)0.880.401.250.420.540.38
vs Similar (5)1.000.202.000.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D01L01L00D01L00D10W00DA·TRE01/03A·VËL08/03H·FC 14/03A·KIK22/03A·DIN05/04H·RIL11/04A·LIR19/04H·TEF25/04A·VJO03/05H·KEK09/05
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.360.280.500.250.230.31
vs Stronger (4)0.500.751.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (16)0.310.250.430.140.220.33
vs Weaker (5)0.400.000.330.000.500.00
Clean sheet %72% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vushtrria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VushtrriaVushtrria

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W10W11D01L11D00D00D01L10WH·RIL28/02A·LIR08/03H·TEF15/03A·VJO22/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.790.500.880.44
vs Stronger (25)0.840.480.830.500.850.46
vs Similar (5)0.800.400.500.501.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ramiz Sadiku) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L11D00D01L01L11D01L10W42WA·TRE01/03A·VËL08/03H·FC 14/03A·KIK22/03A·DIN05/04H·RIL11/04A·LIR19/04H·TEF25/04A·VJO03/05H·KEK09/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.720.560.830.750.620.38
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.620.380.570.570.670.22
vs Weaker (5)1.401.001.671.331.000.50
Clean sheet %48% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vushtrria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ramiz Sadiku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FER (27)
€2m
VUS (19)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUS (0)
€0m
FER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
VUS wins
0
Draws
1
RS wins

Head-to-head

Vushtrria vs Ramiz Sadiku · H/A from VUS
DateH/AGameScore
07/11/25ARamiz Sadiku Vs VUS2-1

VushtrriaVushtrria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs VUS0-1
03/05/26HVUS Vs Prizreni4-1
26/04/26AIstogu Vs VUS0-1
19/04/26HVUS Vs 2 Korriku0-0
11/04/26AFeronikeli Vs VUS1-1
05/04/26HVUS Vs Trepça'892-2
29/03/26HVUS Vs KEK-u3-0
22/03/26AVjosa Vs VUS1-1
15/03/26HVUS Vs Tefik Canga3-0
08/03/26ALiria Prizren Vs VUS0-1

Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/05/26HRS Vs KEK-u4-2
03/05/26AVjosa Vs RS0-2
25/04/26HRS Vs Tefik Canga0-1
19/04/26ALiria Prizren Vs RS2-1
11/04/26HRS Vs Rilindja 19740-1
05/04/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs RS2-0
29/03/26HRS Vs Suhareka1-2
22/03/26AKika Vs RS1-0
14/03/26HRS Vs FC Besa Peja1-1
08/03/26AVëllaznimi Vs RS1-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Vushtrria
Vushtrria
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW2.12
HomeWWDDW2.41
AwayWDDWW1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %61%71%50%
AVG goals2.522.822.19
Over 1.5 %73%76%69%
Over 2.5 %48%59%38%
Over 3.5 %21%29%12%
Scored1.762.121.38
Conceded0.760.710.81
BTTS52%47%56%
Clean Sheet45%53%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Ramiz Sadiku
Ramiz Sadiku
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.56
HomeDLLLW1.81
AwayLLLLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%31%
AVG goals2.032.251.81
Over 1.5 %59%56%62%
Over 2.5 %34%44%25%
Over 3.5 %9%12%6%
Scored1.221.381.06
Conceded0.810.880.75
BTTS38%44%31%
Clean Sheet38%31%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VushtrriaVushtrria3475
65%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
74%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.8
-
2FeronikeliFeronikeli3474
65%
2.2
5922+37
2.4
71%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.70.6
-
3Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren3471
62%
2.1
6029+31
2.6
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
4Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj3471
65%
2.1
6139+22
2.9
74%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.1
-
5TrepçaTrepça'893470
59%
2.1
7233+39
3.1
82%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.0
-
6VëllaznimiVëllaznimi3470
62%
2.1
5832+26
2.6
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.9
-
7Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku3450
41%
1.5
3929+10
2.0
59%
32%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
8SuharekaSuhareka3444
38%
1.3
6061-1
3.6
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Tefik CangaTefik Canga3440
35%
1.2
4854-6
3.0
79%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
102 Korriku2 Korriku3439
32%
1.1
5264-12
3.4
91%
68%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.9
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja3335
27%
1.1
3952-13
2.8
70%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
12VjosaVjosa3435
26%
1.0
3961-22
2.9
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë3434
26%
1.0
4962-13
3.3
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14KikaKika3433
26%
1.0
2543-18
2.0
59%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
15IstoguIstogu3432
21%
0.9
4760-13
3.1
74%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
16Rilindja 1974Rilindja 19743432
24%
0.9
3461-27
2.8
82%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
17KEK-uKEK-u3321
12%
0.6
2563-38
2.7
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
18PrizreniPrizreni3420
9%
0.6
2866-38
2.8
79%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
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Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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