Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.53
0.27
0.40
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.29
0.50
0.33
0.25
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
De Graafschap
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.86
0.43
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.96
0.61
0.92
0.46
1.00
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.90
0.73
1.00
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.33
2.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.83
0.83
0.75
1.25
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (De Graafschap) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
De Graafschap
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.00
1.36
1.07
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
1.04
1.00
1.23
1.00
0.87
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
De Graafschap over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 1.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 8.5 corners
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
VVV Venlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bjorn van Zijl27%
Dean Zandbergen23%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou11%
Philip Heise10%
Gabin Blancquart9%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Sylian Mokono8%
Lars de Blok6%
Navarone Foor6%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Diego van Oorschot0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Davis25%
Nassim Ait Mouhou19%
Gabin Blancquart19%
Yousri Sbai18%
Joshua Eijgenraam16%
Tijn Joosten16%
Sylian Mokono15%
Thomas Reinders14%
Navarone Foor14%
Mohammed Odriss13%
Dries Saddiki12%
Lars de Blok12%
Diego van Oorschot12%
Dean Zandbergen11%
Layee Kromah11%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Luuk Verheij7%
Bjorn van Zijl7%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Philip Heise3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Jorn Triep0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lars de Blok15%
Navarone Foor14%
Bjorn van Zijl13%
Jorn Triep9%
Dean Zandbergen9%
Philip Heise7%
Mohammed Odriss4%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Diego van Oorschot4%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Nassim Ait Mouhou3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen34%
Layee Kromah15%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou14%
Bjorn van Zijl10%
Diego van Oorschot8%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Philip Heise0%
Dries Saddiki0%
Navarone Foor0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Luuk Verheij0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
De Graafschap
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bouke Boersma48%
Reuven Niemeijer43%
Nils Eggens38%
Kyano Kwint38%
Arjen Van Der Heide19%
Ibrahim El Kadiri19%
Joran Hardeman17%
Nathan Kaninda16%
Dimitris Theodoridis15%
OthniΓ«l Raterink12%
Tim Braem10%
Jevon Simons9%
Nolan Martens8%
Chahid El Allachi7%
Fedde de Jong6%
Milan Smits6%
Stijn Bultman3%
Rowan Besselink3%
Kaya Symons3%
Levi Schoppema3%
Thomas Kok0%
Jason Meerstadt0%
Mees Rijks0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Teun Gijselhart0%
Denzel Eijken0%
Silvan Broker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Silvan Broker50%
Jason Meerstadt26%
Rowan Besselink26%
Arjen Van Der Heide19%
Jevon Simons18%
Bouke Boersma17%
Teun Gijselhart16%
Chahid El Allachi13%
Reuven Niemeijer11%
Stijn Bultman10%
OthniΓ«l Raterink8%
Levi Schoppema8%
Kyano Kwint6%
Kaya Symons3%
Fedde de Jong3%
Ties Wieggers3%
Thomas Kok0%
Ibrahim El Kadiri0%
Mees Rijks0%
Dimitris Theodoridis0%
Nolan Martens0%
Nathan Kaninda0%
Joran Hardeman0%
Milan Smits0%
Denzel Eijken0%
Nils Eggens0%
Tim Braem0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jevon Simons21%
Ibrahim El Kadiri19%
Joran Hardeman17%
OthniΓ«l Raterink17%
Nolan Martens15%
Arjen Van Der Heide14%
Reuven Niemeijer14%
Chahid El Allachi13%
Nathan Kaninda11%
Levi Schoppema11%
Rowan Besselink10%
Jason Meerstadt9%
Bouke Boersma9%
Fedde de Jong9%
Kyano Kwint6%
Kaya Symons6%
Teun Gijselhart5%
Thomas Kok4%
Stijn Bultman3%
Mees Rijks0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Dimitris Theodoridis0%
Milan Smits0%
Denzel Eijken0%
Nils Eggens0%
Tim Braem0%
Silvan Broker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Reuven Niemeijer51%
Nils Eggens46%
Bouke Boersma35%
Ibrahim El Kadiri30%
Arjen Van Der Heide24%
Chahid El Allachi7%
Kyano Kwint6%
Milan Smits6%
OthniΓ«l Raterink4%
Stijn Bultman3%
Rowan Besselink3%
Jevon Simons3%
Fedde de Jong3%
Thomas Kok0%
Jason Meerstadt0%
Mees Rijks0%
Ties Wieggers0%
Dimitris Theodoridis0%
Nolan Martens0%
Nathan Kaninda0%
Kaya Symons0%
Levi Schoppema0%
Joran Hardeman0%
Teun Gijselhart0%
Denzel Eijken0%
Tim Braem0%
Silvan Broker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
ACF (27)
€10m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
VVV Venlo's squad is €2m less valuable than De Graafschap's (€4m vs €6m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ADH (11)
€7m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo and De Graafschap have a similar attack value (both €1m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WI (4)
€4m
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
VVV Venlo's midfield is €1m less valuable than De Graafschap's (€0m vs €2m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
CAM (10)
€8m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo and De Graafschap have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →