This opponent (Roda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Roda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.93
1.20
1.87
1.00
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
1.00
2.43
1.29
2.00
0.71
2.86
vs Similar (16)
1.19
1.50
1.12
1.75
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
VVV Venlo goals ↓
Roda goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.7%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.8%
14%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
8.7%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.3%
4.0%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VVV Venlo goals (down), columns = Roda goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.44
Ajax
2.32
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Feyenoord
1.94
Utrecht
1.59
Vitesse
1.44
Den Haag
1.38
Heerenveen
1.35
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heracles
1.24
Excelsior
1.18
Groningen
1.12
Willem II
1.09
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Roda
0.88
Sparta Rotterdam
0.79
Twente
0.71
VVV Venlo is 0.12 points better than Roda in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
2.62
PSV Eindhoven
2.56
Feyenoord
2.24
AZ Alkmaar
2.12
Vitesse
1.85
Utrecht
1.71
Heracles
1.47
Groningen
1.47
Willem II
1.47
Heerenveen
1.41
Den Haag
1.32
Roda
1.24
PEC Zwolle
1.24
Excelsior
1.21
NAC Breda
1.21
Twente
1.09
VVV Venlo
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
VVV Venlo is 0.21 goals worse than Roda in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.97
AZ Alkmaar
1.12
Feyenoord
1.15
PSV Eindhoven
1.15
Vitesse
1.38
Groningen
1.47
Utrecht
1.56
Den Haag
1.56
Heerenveen
1.56
PEC Zwolle
1.59
VVV Venlo
1.59
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.68
Willem II
1.85
Twente
1.85
Heracles
1.88
Roda
2.03
Sparta Rotterdam
2.21
VVV Venlo is 0.44 goals better than Roda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 2.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VVV Venlo
For 3.6 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Roda
For 3.2 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VVV Venlo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (32)
10.5
10.5
10.5
3.4
3.4
3.4
22.1
22.2
22.0
vs Stronger (17)
10.9
10.8
11.0
3.2
3.6
2.8
21.6
22.0
21.1
vs Similar (15)
10.1
10.1
10.0
3.6
3.1
4.0
22.7
22.4
22.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
62%
75%
44%
44%
44%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
31%
38%
25%
56%
56%
56%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Roda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Roda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.0
9.8
1.7
1.7
1.6
22.8
23.2
22.4
vs Stronger (23)
10.0
10.4
9.6
1.1
1.4
0.8
20.4
21.7
19.0
vs Similar (27)
9.8
9.7
9.9
2.1
1.9
2.4
24.7
24.3
25.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
50%
44%
18%
15%
21%
59%
62%
56%
% under line
53%
50%
56%
82%
85%
79%
41%
38%
44%
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sparta Rotterdam
12.0
Excelsior
12.0
PSV Eindhoven
11.7
Heracles
11.5
AZ Alkmaar
11.4
NAC Breda
11.3
Den Haag
11.2
Feyenoord
10.8
Utrecht
10.8
VVV Venlo
10.5
Groningen
10.4
Ajax
10.3
Vitesse
10.2
Twente
10.1
Heerenveen
10.0
Roda
9.9
PEC Zwolle
9.7
Willem II
9.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ajax
4.3
Twente
4.1
PSV Eindhoven
4.0
PEC Zwolle
3.9
Groningen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.8
Excelsior
3.6
Den Haag
3.5
VVV Venlo
3.4
Utrecht
3.3
AZ Alkmaar
3.2
Willem II
3.1
Sparta Rotterdam
3.0
Heracles
3.0
Feyenoord
3.0
Vitesse
3.0
Heerenveen
2.9
Roda
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Heerenveen
26.6
Twente
26.1
Sparta Rotterdam
25.1
Ajax
24.8
NAC Breda
24.7
Utrecht
24.3
Excelsior
24.3
Heracles
24.2
Vitesse
24.2
PSV Eindhoven
24.0
Feyenoord
23.8
AZ Alkmaar
23.8
PEC Zwolle
23.8
Willem II
23.1
Groningen
22.9
Roda
22.8
Den Haag
22.8
VVV Venlo
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.9%
Under 21.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.47
0.47
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (15)
0.33
0.53
0.25
0.38
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.53
0.71
0.57
0.12
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Roda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Roda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.60
0.93
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.00
0.43
0.71
0.43
1.29
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.81
0.75
1.12
0.88
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.53
1.20
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
1.27
0.25
1.25
0.57
1.29
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.87
0.86
1.14
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Roda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Roda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.03
0.60
0.93
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.43
0.86
1.29
0.29
1.57
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.69
0.38
0.62
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VVV Venlo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dean Zandbergen50%
Edhy Zuliani50%
Devy Hendrix33%
Nassim Ait Mouhou33%
Luis Görlich25%
Raf Vullers25%
Alex Schalk0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Tristan Schenkhuizen0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Thomas Janssen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luis Görlich75%
Edhy Zuliani50%
Alex Schalk33%
Mohammed Odriss25%
Thomas Janssen25%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dean Zandbergen0%
Devy Hendrix0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Nassim Ait Mouhou0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Lars de Blok0%
Tristan Schenkhuizen0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Raf Vullers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lars de Blok75%
Alex Schalk67%
Devy Hendrix33%
Edhy Zuliani25%
Mohammed Odriss25%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Luis Görlich0%
Dean Zandbergen0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Nassim Ait Mouhou0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Tristan Schenkhuizen0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen50%
Tristan Schenkhuizen25%
Alex Schalk0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Luis Görlich0%
Devy Hendrix0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Nassim Ait Mouhou0%
Edhy Zuliani0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Roda · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marco Tol50%
Joshua Nisbet25%
Anthony van den Hurk25%
Lucas Beerten25%
Mitchell Paulissen0%
Jerome Deom0%
Joey Sleegers0%
Jay Kruiver0%
Justin Treichel0%
Koen Jansen0%
Dyon Dorenbosch0%
Xander van den Berg0%
Bram Marsman0%
Jeremiah Mensah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anthony van den Hurk50%
Jeremiah Mensah33%
Lucas Beerten25%
Koen Jansen25%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Mitchell Paulissen0%
Marco Tol0%
Jerome Deom0%
Joey Sleegers0%
Jay Kruiver0%
Justin Treichel0%
Dyon Dorenbosch0%
Xander van den Berg0%
Bram Marsman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mitchell Paulissen50%
Dyon Dorenbosch25%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Marco Tol0%
Jerome Deom0%
Anthony van den Hurk0%
Joey Sleegers0%
Lucas Beerten0%
Jay Kruiver0%
Justin Treichel0%
Koen Jansen0%
Xander van den Berg0%
Bram Marsman0%
Jeremiah Mensah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony van den Hurk50%
Joey Sleegers33%
Lucas Beerten25%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Mitchell Paulissen0%
Marco Tol0%
Jerome Deom0%
Jay Kruiver0%
Justin Treichel0%
Koen Jansen0%
Dyon Dorenbosch0%
Xander van den Berg0%
Bram Marsman0%
Jeremiah Mensah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
PZ (23)
€21m
EXC (24)
€16m
WI (24)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
VV (19)
€4m
VVV Venlo's squad is €4m less valuable than Roda's (€4m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
VV (6)
€1m
VVV Venlo's attack is €3m less valuable than Roda's (€1m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
VV (3)
€0m
VVV Venlo's midfield is €1m less valuable than Roda's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (11)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
VVV Venlo and Roda have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Vitesse
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Heracles
Excelsior
Groningen
Willem II
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente