Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.21
0.50
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.72
0.27
0.27
0.57
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Roda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Roda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.63
0.43
0.43
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.03
0.93
1.07
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.80
0.67
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.88
1.00
0.82
0.71
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Roda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Roda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
0.88
0.50
1.00
1.14
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.78
0.79
0.43
0.85
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Roda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
VVV Venlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bjorn van Zijl27%
Dean Zandbergen23%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou11%
Philip Heise10%
Gabin Blancquart9%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Sylian Mokono8%
Lars de Blok6%
Navarone Foor6%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Diego van Oorschot0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Davis25%
Nassim Ait Mouhou19%
Gabin Blancquart19%
Yousri Sbai18%
Joshua Eijgenraam16%
Tijn Joosten16%
Sylian Mokono15%
Thomas Reinders14%
Navarone Foor14%
Mohammed Odriss13%
Dries Saddiki12%
Lars de Blok12%
Diego van Oorschot12%
Dean Zandbergen11%
Layee Kromah11%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Luuk Verheij7%
Bjorn van Zijl7%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Philip Heise3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Jorn Triep0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lars de Blok15%
Navarone Foor14%
Bjorn van Zijl13%
Jorn Triep9%
Dean Zandbergen9%
Philip Heise7%
Mohammed Odriss4%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Diego van Oorschot4%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Nassim Ait Mouhou3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen34%
Layee Kromah15%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou14%
Bjorn van Zijl10%
Diego van Oorschot8%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Philip Heise0%
Dries Saddiki0%
Navarone Foor0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Luuk Verheij0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Roda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony van den Hurk36%
Joshua Schwirten27%
Tomas Kalinauskas25%
Filip Janssen25%
Jack Cooper-Love20%
Michael Breij19%
Mitchell Paulissen14%
Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul14%
Iman Griffith12%
Luca Maiorano9%
Joshua Nisbet8%
Cain Seedorf6%
Jay Kruiver5%
Joey Muller5%
Koen Jansen4%
Lucas Beerten3%
Daniel Lajud0%
Dario Van Den Buijs0%
Marco Tol0%
Jerome Deom0%
Ilias Takidine0%
Tim Kother0%
Justin Treichel0%
Ryan Yang Leijten0%
Jonathan Foss0%
Reda El Meliani0%
Juul Timmermans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomas Kalinauskas38%
Michael Breij22%
Reda El Meliani17%
Luca Maiorano14%
Koen Jansen13%
Cain Seedorf13%
Daniel Lajud12%
Marco Tol11%
Jay Kruiver11%
Joshua Nisbet11%
Dario Van Den Buijs11%
Tim Kother10%
Lucas Beerten10%
Joshua Schwirten9%
Joey Muller8%
Justin Treichel8%
Jerome Deom7%
Jack Cooper-Love6%
Mitchell Paulissen5%
Anthony van den Hurk3%
Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul0%
Iman Griffith0%
Ilias Takidine0%
Ryan Yang Leijten0%
Jonathan Foss0%
Juul Timmermans0%
Filip Janssen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joshua Schwirten18%
Koen Jansen13%
Iman Griffith12%
Dario Van Den Buijs11%
Tim Kother10%
Cain Seedorf10%
Marco Tol8%
Michael Breij8%
Jay Kruiver8%
Jack Cooper-Love6%
Anthony van den Hurk6%
Joshua Nisbet5%
Joey Muller5%
Luca Maiorano5%
Daniel Lajud0%
Mitchell Paulissen0%
Jerome Deom0%
Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul0%
Ilias Takidine0%
Lucas Beerten0%
Tomas Kalinauskas0%
Justin Treichel0%
Ryan Yang Leijten0%
Jonathan Foss0%
Reda El Meliani0%
Juul Timmermans0%
Filip Janssen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony van den Hurk31%
Joshua Schwirten18%
Jack Cooper-Love14%
Michael Breij14%
Jonathan Foss9%
Cain Seedorf6%
Iman Griffith3%
Jay Kruiver3%
Joey Muller3%
Joshua Nisbet0%
Daniel Lajud0%
Mitchell Paulissen0%
Dario Van Den Buijs0%
Marco Tol0%
Jerome Deom0%
Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul0%
Ilias Takidine0%
Lucas Beerten0%
Tim Kother0%
Tomas Kalinauskas0%
Justin Treichel0%
Koen Jansen0%
Ryan Yang Leijten0%
Reda El Meliani0%
Juul Timmermans0%
Luca Maiorano0%
Filip Janssen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
ACF (27)
€10m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
VVV Venlo's squad is €4m less valuable than Roda's (€4m vs €8m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ADH (11)
€7m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo's attack is €3m less valuable than Roda's (€1m vs €4m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WI (4)
€4m
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
VVV Venlo's midfield is €1m less valuable than Roda's (€0m vs €2m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
CAM (10)
€8m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo and Roda have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →