This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.57
1.27
1.53
0.60
1.60
vs Stronger (16)
0.81
2.00
1.12
2.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.07
1.07
1.43
1.00
0.71
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.77-7.0%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 2.04+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
VVV Venlo goals ↓
Waalwijk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
8.9%
6.5%
2.8%
0.9%
1
8.7%
14%
8.1%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.3%
8.0%
5.1%
2.2%
0.7%
3
2.6%
3.3%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VVV Venlo goals (down), columns = Waalwijk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.59
PSV Eindhoven
2.12
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Vitesse
1.79
Feyenoord
1.74
Utrecht
1.56
Groningen
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.38
Heracles
1.29
Twente
1.21
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
Heerenveen
1.15
PEC Zwolle
1.12
Willem II
0.91
Waalwijk
0.88
Emmen
0.88
VVV Venlo
0.68
Den Haag
0.65
VVV Venlo is 0.21 points worse than Waalwijk in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.21
PSV Eindhoven
2.18
Feyenoord
1.88
Vitesse
1.53
Utrecht
1.53
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Twente
1.41
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heerenveen
1.26
VVV Venlo
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Willem II
1.18
Groningen
1.18
Emmen
1.18
Waalwijk
0.97
Den Haag
0.85
VVV Venlo is 0.29 goals better than Waalwijk in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.68
PSV Eindhoven
1.03
Feyenoord
1.06
Groningen
1.09
Vitesse
1.12
AZ Alkmaar
1.21
Utrecht
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.41
Heerenveen
1.44
Twente
1.47
PEC Zwolle
1.56
Heracles
1.56
Waalwijk
1.62
Fortuna Sittard
1.71
Willem II
2.00
Emmen
2.00
Den Haag
2.24
VVV Venlo
2.68
VVV Venlo is 1.06 goals worse than Waalwijk in terms of goals conceded per game (2.68 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VVV Venlo
For 2.9 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Waalwijk
For 4.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VVV Venlo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.7
2.8
2.7
3.0
23.1
23.8
22.4
vs Stronger (26)
10.6
11.0
10.1
2.3
2.3
2.2
22.1
22.5
21.7
vs Similar (24)
8.4
7.2
9.4
3.5
3.2
3.7
24.2
25.5
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
40%
48%
34%
28%
40%
66%
68%
64%
% under line
56%
60%
52%
66%
72%
60%
34%
32%
36%
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
9.0
3.2
3.3
3.0
22.4
22.4
22.3
vs Stronger (26)
9.3
10.2
8.4
2.9
2.8
2.9
21.2
21.1
21.2
vs Similar (24)
8.9
8.2
9.7
3.5
3.8
3.0
23.7
23.8
23.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
42%
29%
30%
27%
33%
46%
42%
50%
% under line
64%
58%
71%
70%
73%
67%
54%
58%
50%
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heerenveen
11.3
PEC Zwolle
10.9
Ajax
10.4
Utrecht
10.2
Den Haag
10.1
Feyenoord
10.1
PSV Eindhoven
10.0
Heracles
9.9
Sparta Rotterdam
9.9
AZ Alkmaar
9.8
Fortuna Sittard
9.6
Emmen
9.5
VVV Venlo
9.5
Groningen
9.3
Vitesse
9.2
Twente
9.2
Waalwijk
9.1
Willem II
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Den Haag
3.8
Vitesse
3.7
Emmen
3.4
Fortuna Sittard
3.3
Heracles
3.3
Feyenoord
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
Waalwijk
3.2
Willem II
3.1
Groningen
3.1
Twente
3.0
AZ Alkmaar
3.0
Sparta Rotterdam
3.0
PSV Eindhoven
2.9
PEC Zwolle
2.9
VVV Venlo
2.8
Heerenveen
2.6
Ajax
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vitesse
24.9
VVV Venlo
23.1
Heracles
23.0
Fortuna Sittard
23.0
PEC Zwolle
22.8
Emmen
22.5
Feyenoord
22.4
Waalwijk
22.4
Twente
22.1
Groningen
22.1
Den Haag
21.8
Willem II
21.4
AZ Alkmaar
21.3
Utrecht
21.2
Sparta Rotterdam
21.0
Ajax
20.8
PSV Eindhoven
20.6
Heerenveen
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
40.7%
Under 9.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.4%
Under 21.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.47
0.80
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (17)
0.18
0.94
0.22
0.78
0.12
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.92
0.83
0.83
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.47
0.60
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.81
0.38
0.88
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.43
0.57
0.29
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.67
0.67
1.80
0.80
1.53
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
1.88
0.22
2.33
0.62
1.38
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.38
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.80
0.93
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (16)
0.50
1.19
0.75
1.12
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.64
0.86
0.71
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VVV Venlo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dean Zandbergen50%
Edhy Zuliani50%
Devy Hendrix33%
Nassim Ait Mouhou33%
Luis Görlich25%
Raf Vullers25%
Alex Schalk0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Tristan Schenkhuizen0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Thomas Janssen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luis Görlich75%
Edhy Zuliani50%
Alex Schalk33%
Mohammed Odriss25%
Thomas Janssen25%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dean Zandbergen0%
Devy Hendrix0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Nassim Ait Mouhou0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Lars de Blok0%
Tristan Schenkhuizen0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Raf Vullers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lars de Blok75%
Alex Schalk67%
Devy Hendrix33%
Edhy Zuliani25%
Mohammed Odriss25%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Luis Görlich0%
Dean Zandbergen0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Nassim Ait Mouhou0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Tristan Schenkhuizen0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen50%
Tristan Schenkhuizen25%
Alex Schalk0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Luis Görlich0%
Devy Hendrix0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Nassim Ait Mouhou0%
Edhy Zuliani0%
Eanna Clancy0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Waalwijk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Keyan Varela67%
Finn Stokkers33%
Haye Van Gemert33%
Yorem van der Veen25%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Azzedine Dkidak0%
Juan Familia-Castillo0%
Thijs van Leeuwen0%
Ryan Fage0%
Niek Schiks0%
Loek Postma0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Faissal Al Mazyani0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Jochem Nap0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordy de Wijs50%
Loek Postma33%
Azzedine Dkidak25%
Jochem Nap25%
Finn Stokkers0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Juan Familia-Castillo0%
Thijs van Leeuwen0%
Ryan Fage0%
Niek Schiks0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Faissal Al Mazyani0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Yorem van der Veen0%
Keyan Varela0%
Haye Van Gemert0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Faissal Al Mazyani25%
Jesse van de Haar25%
Jochem Nap25%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Finn Stokkers0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Azzedine Dkidak0%
Juan Familia-Castillo0%
Thijs van Leeuwen0%
Ryan Fage0%
Niek Schiks0%
Loek Postma0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Yorem van der Veen0%
Keyan Varela0%
Haye Van Gemert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Finn Stokkers33%
Keyan Varela33%
Juan Familia-Castillo25%
Thijs van Leeuwen25%
Ryan Fage25%
Faissal Al Mazyani25%
Jochem Nap25%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Azzedine Dkidak0%
Niek Schiks0%
Loek Postma0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Yorem van der Veen0%
Haye Van Gemert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
WI (24)
€13m
HER (28)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
EMM (21)
€5m
VV (19)
€4m
VVV Venlo's squad is €4m less valuable than Waalwijk's (€4m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
PZ (8)
€8m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
VVV Venlo's attack is €2m less valuable than Waalwijk's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EMM (7)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
VV (3)
€0m
VVV Venlo and Waalwijk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
FS (10)
€7m
WI (12)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
VVV Venlo's defence is €1m less valuable than Waalwijk's (€2m vs €3m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Willem II
Emmen