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Vysočina Jihlava vs Opava Result & Analysis

Date: 04/09/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
Vs
55%
27%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Vysočina Jihlava are tipped to win, the model’s pick for a home victory, with a 55% chance of triumph, 27% for a draw and 17% for an away win. The expected total is 2.4 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 27% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13.5% chance. Home form shows Vysočina averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Opava, on the road, averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded to comparable teams. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 78.3% probability. The final score last week was a 0-1 away win. Recent form notes that Vysočina are coming off a defeat, whereas Opava are coming off a draw.

Results analysis

The upset came as Vysočina Jihlava, who had just finished a defeat, were expected to extend their recent form with a win. The pre-match favourite was the home side, with a 55% probability, but the match ended 0-1 in favour of Opava, so the model’s call was wrong. The only other selection was Under 3.5 goals, with a 78.3% probability, and it hit as the total was one. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result of an away win. The model’s prediction of a home victory proved incorrect, while its under-goals pick proved accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vysočina Jihlava win✗ Miss
55.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Opava win✓ Hit
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D21W12L30W31WA·VLA30/07H·SIG05/08A·CHR13/08A·KAR20/08H·TÁB26/08A·SPA31/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.832.000.502.001.00
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (5)2.200.602.000.502.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L30W01L01L10W11DA·VAR31/07H·DUK05/08A·SIG14/08H·VYŠ19/08A·VLA27/08H·SLA31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.001.330.670.671.33
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (4)1.251.003.000.000.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.9%
Under 1.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1 ✓
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
Vysočina Jihlava goals ↓
Opava goals →
01234
010%6.2%2.9%0.8%0.2%
114%13%4.6%1.2%0.2%
212%9.2%3.7%1.0%0.2%
36.2%4.9%1.9%0.5%0.1%
42.4%1.9%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vysočina Jihlava goals (down), columns = Opava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karviná
1.87
Vyškov
1.73
Příbram
1.70
Dukla Praha
1.57
Artis
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.43
Táborsko
1.40
Chrudim
1.30
Sigma Olomouc II
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Vlašim
1.27
Prostějov
1.20
Opava
1.13
Vysočina Jihlava
1.13
Slavia Praha II
1.07
Třinec
0.90
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava are level in average points per game (both 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karviná
1.93
Vlašim
1.80
Varnsdorf
1.80
Dukla Praha
1.70
Příbram
1.60
Vyškov
1.50
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Sigma Olomouc II
1.37
Táborsko
1.30
Prostějov
1.30
Artis
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Chrudim
1.07
Sparta Praha II
1.07
Třinec
1.00
Opava
0.87
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.37 goals better than Opava in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 0.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Artis
0.90
Opava
0.97
Vyškov
0.97
Chrudim
1.07
Příbram
1.07
Karviná
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Táborsko
1.43
Dukla Praha
1.50
Sigma Olomouc II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.53
Třinec
1.60
Vlašim
1.63
Vysočina Jihlava
1.70
Slavia Praha II
1.87
Prostějov
1.90
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.73 goals worse than Opava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D20W01L10W11DA·VLA30/07H·SIG05/08A·CHR13/08A·KAR20/08H·TÁB26/08A·SPA31/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.501.000.501.250.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (5)1.400.401.000.501.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W00D01L00D10WA·VAR31/07H·DUK05/08A·SIG14/08H·VYŠ19/08A·VLA27/08H·SLA31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.501.000.330.330.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (4)0.750.502.000.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L11D20W20WA·VLA30/07H·SIG05/08A·CHR13/08A·KAR20/08H·TÁB26/08A·SPA31/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.331.000.000.750.50
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (5)0.800.201.000.000.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W01L00D10W01LA·VAR31/07H·DUK05/08A·SIG14/08H·VYŠ19/08A·VLA27/08H·SLA31/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.500.330.330.330.67
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.50--
vs Similar (4)0.500.501.000.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ART (30)
€9m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VJ wins
0
Draws
0
OPA wins

Head-to-head

Vysočina Jihlava vs Opava · H/A from VJ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/22ASparta Praha II Vs VJ1-3
26/08/22HVJ Vs Táborsko3-0
20/08/22AKarviná Vs VJ2-1
13/08/22AChrudim Vs VJ1-2
05/08/22HVJ Vs Sigma Olomouc II1-1
30/07/22AVlašim Vs VJ0-2

OpavaOpava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/22HOPA Vs Slavia Praha II1-1
27/08/22AVlašim Vs OPA0-1
19/08/22HOPA Vs Vyškov0-1
14/08/22ASigma Olomouc II Vs OPA1-0
05/08/22HOPA Vs Dukla Praha3-0
31/07/22AVarnsdorf Vs OPA3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW2.17
HomeDW2.00
AwayWWLW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%50%75%
AVG goals2.832.503.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %67%50%75%
Over 3.5 %17%0%25%
Scored2.002.002.00
Conceded0.830.501.00
BTTS67%50%75%
Clean Sheet33%50%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.17
HomeWLD1.33
AwayLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %50%67%33%
Over 2.5 %33%33%33%
Over 3.5 %17%0%33%
Scored1.001.330.67
Conceded1.000.671.33
BTTS33%33%33%
Clean Sheet33%33%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KarvináKarviná3056
57%
1.9
5837+21
3.2
80%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4121.91.2
-
2VyškovVyškov3052
47%
1.7
4529+16
2.5
77%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
3PříbramPříbram3051
47%
1.7
4832+16
2.7
83%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.1
-
4Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3047
47%
1.6
5145+6
3.2
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.71.5
-
5ArtisArtis3046
43%
1.5
3827+11
2.2
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.30.9
-
6VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3043
40%
1.4
5446+8
3.3
90%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
7TáborskoTáborsko3042
37%
1.4
3943-4
2.7
73%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.4
-
8ChrudimChrudim3039
27%
1.3
3232+0
2.1
70%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3039
33%
1.3
4146-5
2.9
80%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3039
37%
1.3
3239-7
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11VlašimVlašim3038
37%
1.3
5449+5
3.4
90%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.81.6
-
12ProstějovProstějov3036
30%
1.2
3957-18
3.2
90%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.9
-
13OpavaOpava3034
27%
1.1
2629-3
1.8
53%
27%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
14Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3034
30%
1.1
3751-14
2.9
80%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.7
-
15Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3032
27%
1.1
4256-14
3.3
80%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.9
-
16TřinecTřinec3027
20%
0.9
3048-18
2.6
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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