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Vysočina Jihlava vs Opava Result & Analysis

Date: 21/07/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 2-1
Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
Vs
43%
33%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape the match as Vysočina Jihlava’s home form shows a low 0.9 goals conceded per game, while Opava’s away defence has given up 1.09. The model favours a home win, with a 43% chance, a draw 33% and an away win 23%. The expected total of 1.9 goals points to a tight game, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 16% probability. Vysočina’s average of 1.4 goals scored at home against similar opposition contrasts with Opava’s 0.55 away goals scored. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 with an 87.2% chance. The model’s selection list is limited to this single pick. The forecast remains a low-scoring affair, with the home side holding the edge in both results and goal expectations.

Results analysis

The win for Vysočina Jihlava extends their recent run, as they came off a defeat to Dukla Praha yet secured a 2-1 victory over Opava. The model had picked a home win with a 43% probability, and that call proved correct. The predicted most likely total of 2 goals materialised, and the model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 87.2% chance. The final score of 2-1 matched the actual result of a home win, confirming the model’s forecast. All suggested picks settled as indicated, with no missed selections. Overall, the model’s predictions aligned closely with the match outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vysočina Jihlava win✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Opava win✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D01L27L01L01L21W27L12L12L50WA·OPA08/04H·ART14/04A·VAR19/04H·DUK23/04A·PRO29/04H·TŘI05/05A·SLA14/05H·PŘÍ19/05A·VYŠ24/05H·VLA28/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.701.271.071.202.33
vs Stronger (8)0.882.750.751.501.004.00
vs Similar (20)1.351.351.400.901.301.80
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L12L01L21W00D02L11D10W21WH·VYS08/04A·CHR15/04H·SPA19/04A·TÁB23/04H·KAR01/05A·ART06/05A·PŘÍ12/05H·PRO19/05A·TŘI24/05H·VAR28/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.971.130.930.601.00
vs Stronger (6)0.831.001.001.000.671.00
vs Similar (22)0.911.051.271.000.551.09
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%026%128%217%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.3%
Under 1.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.0%
Under 2.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.8%
Under 3.5
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
37.9%
No
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.0%
1-0
15.6%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
2-1 ✓
7.4%
1-2
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
Vysočina Jihlava goals ↓
Opava goals →
01234
016%10%4.3%1.1%0.2%
116%14%5.0%1.3%0.2%
29.7%7.4%2.9%0.7%0.1%
33.7%2.8%1.1%0.3%0.1%
41.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vysočina Jihlava goals (down), columns = Opava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Praha
2.00
Sigma Olomouc II
1.90
Táborsko
1.63
Vyškov
1.57
Chrudim
1.40
Opava
1.33
Vlašim
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Příbram
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.23
Varnsdorf
1.20
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Hanácká
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.17 points worse than Opava in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Praha
1.83
Sparta Praha II
1.73
Varnsdorf
1.70
Chrudim
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.63
Vyškov
1.50
Viktoria Žižkov
1.47
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Vlašim
1.37
Táborsko
1.37
Opava
1.20
Artis
1.13
Hanácká
1.10
Příbram
1.07
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.20 goals better than Opava in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.87
Dukla Praha
0.97
Artis
1.13
Opava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc II
1.27
Vyškov
1.27
Zbrojovka Brno
1.40
Vlašim
1.43
Příbram
1.43
Vysočina Jihlava
1.53
Chrudim
1.60
Varnsdorf
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Prostějov
1.73
Hanácká
1.77
Sparta Praha II
1.93
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.33 goals worse than Opava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D12L01L00D00D14L11D10W20WA·OPA08/04H·ART14/04A·VAR19/04H·DUK23/04A·PRO29/04H·TŘI05/05A·SLA14/05H·PŘÍ19/05A·VYŠ24/05H·VLA28/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.600.470.670.87
vs Stronger (8)0.381.380.251.000.501.75
vs Similar (20)0.750.450.800.300.700.60
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L00D11D00D01L10W00D01LH·VYS08/04A·CHR15/04H·SPA19/04A·TÁB23/04H·KAR01/05A·ART06/05A·PŘÍ12/05H·PRO19/05A·TŘI24/05H·VAR28/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.430.530.470.070.40
vs Stronger (6)0.330.500.670.670.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.320.450.550.450.090.45
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L15L00D01L21W13L01L02L30WA·OPA08/04H·ART14/04A·VAR19/04H·DUK23/04A·PRO29/04H·TŘI05/05A·SLA14/05H·PŘÍ19/05A·VYŠ24/05H·VLA28/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.030.670.600.531.47
vs Stronger (8)0.501.380.500.500.502.25
vs Similar (20)0.600.900.600.600.601.20
vs Weaker (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D01L10W00D01L01L10W20WH·VYS08/04A·CHR15/04H·SPA19/04A·TÁB23/04H·KAR01/05A·ART06/05A·PŘÍ12/05H·PRO19/05A·TŘI24/05H·VAR28/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.600.470.530.60
vs Stronger (6)0.500.500.330.330.670.67
vs Similar (22)0.590.590.730.550.450.64
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.587.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DP (13)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
Vysočina Jihlava and Opava have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
VJ wins
1
Draws
1
OPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vysočina Jihlava vs Opava · H/A from VJ
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/23AOpava Vs VJ1-1
04/09/22HVJ Vs Opava0-1

Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23HVJ Vs Vlašim5-0
24/05/23AVyškov Vs VJ2-1
19/05/23HVJ Vs Příbram1-2
14/05/23ASlavia Praha II Vs VJ7-2
05/05/23HVJ Vs Třinec2-1
29/04/23AProstějov Vs VJ1-0
23/04/23HVJ Vs Dukla Praha0-1
19/04/23AVarnsdorf Vs VJ7-2
14/04/23HVJ Vs Artis0-1
08/04/23AOpava Vs VJ1-1

OpavaOpava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23HOPA Vs Varnsdorf2-1
24/05/23ATřinec Vs OPA0-1
19/05/23HOPA Vs Prostějov1-1
12/05/23APříbram Vs OPA2-0
06/05/23AArtis Vs OPA0-0
01/05/23HOPA Vs Karviná2-1
23/04/23ATáborsko Vs OPA1-0
19/04/23HOPA Vs Sparta Praha II1-2
15/04/23AChrudim Vs OPA1-0
08/04/23HOPA Vs Vysočina Jihlava1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vysočina Jihlava
Vysočina Jihlava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.13
HomeLLWLW1.27
AwayDLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals2.932.333.53
Over 1.5 %80%67%93%
Over 2.5 %57%53%60%
Over 3.5 %20%13%27%
Scored1.231.271.20
Conceded1.701.072.33
BTTS57%47%67%
Clean Sheet17%27%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.13
HomeDLWDW1.33
AwayLLDLW0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%33%20%
AVG goals1.832.071.60
Over 1.5 %53%67%40%
Over 2.5 %27%40%13%
Over 3.5 %10%7%13%
Scored0.871.130.60
Conceded0.970.931.00
BTTS43%53%33%
Clean Sheet27%27%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3060
60%
2.0
5529+26
2.8
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.0
-
2Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3057
60%
1.9
4938+11
2.9
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3TáborskoTáborsko3049
43%
1.6
4126+15
2.2
60%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4VyškovVyškov3047
43%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5ChrudimChrudim3042
37%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6OpavaOpava3040
37%
1.3
3636+0
2.4
63%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
7VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.4
-
8ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3434+0
2.3
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.11.1
-
9Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
37%
1.3
4142-1
2.8
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.41.4
-
10Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
4451-7
3.2
80%
50%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.7
-
11Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3037
33%
1.2
5258-6
3.7
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
37%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
73%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.7
-
13PříbramPříbram3037
37%
1.2
3243-11
2.5
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
14VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3036
27%
1.2
5150+1
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3035
30%
1.2
4246-4
2.9
77%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
16HanáckáHanácká3025
20%
0.8
3353-20
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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