Vysočina Jihlava, coming off a defeat to Příbram, hosts the same opponent in a rematch. The visitors are on a 2-game winning run, but their away form is not particularly impressive, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 1.0 against weaker opponents.
The model's pick is a home win, with a 35% probability, but the draw percentage is a close second at 33%. The away win is the least likely outcome, with a 32% probability. The expected total goals are 2.0, with the most likely score being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.9% probability.
Vysočina Jihlava's home form is strong, scoring an average of 2.0 goals and conceding 1.33 against stronger opponents. In contrast, Příbram's away form is mediocre, scoring 0.8 goals and conceding 1.0 against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is the Under 3.5, with a 84.9% probability and a 14% edge. This pick is likely driven by the low-scoring nature of Příbram's away form and Vysočina Jihlava's defensive solidity. The home win percentage is 35%, the draw percentage is 33%, and the away win percentage is 32%.
The away side, Přebram, pulled off a stunning upset with a 1-2 win over the home team, Vysočina Jihlava. This result extends Vysočina Jihlava's winless streak to three games, following a 1-2 defeat to Přebram in their previous encounter. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was the model's selection, but its probability of 35% was not enough to secure the win, as the model's call was incorrect. The model's selection, Home win, was not the only option considered, as the suggested picks included Under 3.5, which hit with a probability of 84.9%.
Vysočina Jihlava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.07 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.50 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 1.26 | 1.13 | 1.17 | 0.83 | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
Příbram| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.93 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.69 | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
| Příbram goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 14% | 11% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 12% | 15% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Vysočina Jihlava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.27 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.36 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Příbram| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.43 | 0.69 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
Vysočina Jihlava| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.33 | 0.47 | 0.87 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (23) | 0.65 | 0.52 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.73 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+23pp vs league) | |||||
Příbram| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.43 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.41 | 0.30 | 0.46 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 73% (+47pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 84.9% | 1.29 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +13.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 03/08/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 11/05/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 27/10/23 | H | 2-1 | |
| 19/05/23 | H | 1-2 | |
| 29/10/22 | A | 3-0 |
Vysočina Jihlava| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 24/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 06/05/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 15/04/26 | A | 1-0 |
Příbram| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/07/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 12/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 06/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 15/04/26 | A | 0-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Ústí nad Labem | 6 | 14 | 67% | 2.3 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 2.7 | 67% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 2 | Slavia Praha II | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 4.3 | 100% | 83% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 2.7 | 1.7 | - |
| 3 | Karviná | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Příbram | 6 | 12 | 50% | 2.0 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.2 | 83% | 83% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | - |
| 5 | Táborsko | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 2.0 | 50% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | - |
| 6 | Dukla Praha | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 7 | Kladno | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 2.5 | 83% | 50% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 3.5 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 | Baník Ostrava II | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 3.2 | 67% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.3 | - |
| 10 | Vysočina Jihlava | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 11 | Vlašim | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 3.2 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.5 | - |
| 12 | Opava | 6 | 6 | 17% | 1.0 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | - |
| 13 | Prostějov | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 2.8 | 83% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | - |
| 14 | Třinec | 6 | 4 | 0% | 0.7 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2.7 | 67% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | - |
| 15 | Hanácká | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 2.7 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.2 | - |
| 16 | Viktoria Žižkov | 6 | 3 | 17% | 0.5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | - |