Defensive solidity will shape this tight Czech-Republic FNL encounter, with both sides averaging fewer than two goals per game. The model favours a home win, assigning 36% to Vysočina Jihlava, 31% to a draw and 32% to a Vlašim victory. The expected total of 2.2 goals translates to a most likely total of two, though the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 14.7%. Vysočina Jihlava, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, scores an average of 1.25 goals and concedes 0.92. Vlašim, on the road, also averages 1.25 goals scored but concedes only 0.75, suggesting a slightly tighter defence.
The model’s selections highlight a very low-scoring affair: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 5.5 (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 4.5 (92.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.4%) and Home under 2.5 goals (88.9%). All figures are presented as percentages, with no other outcomes or edge percentages included.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vysočina Jihlava win
36.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vlašim win
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vysočina Jihlava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.23
1.14
1.00
1.31
1.44
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.80
0.50
1.50
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.17
1.25
0.92
1.58
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.00
2.00
0.92
1.35
1.06
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.64
0.84
2.00
0.92
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.8%
Under 1.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.8%
Under 2.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.9%
Under 3.5
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
Vysočina Jihlava goals ↓
Vlašim goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.3%
2.3%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.1%
7.7%
4.2%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.7%
3.0%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vysočina Jihlava goals (down), columns = Vlašim goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.17 points better than Vlašim in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.50 goals worse than Vlašim in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Vysočina Jihlava is 0.50 goals better than Vlašim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vysočina Jihlava or Draw
67.5%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
32%
covers Vysočina Jihlava + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava or Vlašim
68.5%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
32%
covers Vysočina Jihlava + Vlašim
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vlašim
63.9%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
32%
covers Draw + Vlašim
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5
Over
32.1%
Under
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5
Over
11.1%
Under
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 3.5
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 0.5
Over
66.2%
Under
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 1.5
Over
29.5%
Under
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 2.5
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vysočina Jihlava, so a minus line means Vysočina Jihlava give that many goals of a start and Vlašim receive them. At -1, Vysočina Jihlava must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vysočina Jihlava win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vysočina Jihlava)
Vysočina Jihlava -2
5.0%
Draw -2
10.6%
Vlašim +2
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vysočina Jihlava)
Vysočina Jihlava -1
15.6%
Draw -1
20.5%
Vlašim +1
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vysočina Jihlava)
Vysočina Jihlava +1
67.5%
Draw +1
19.1%
Vlašim -1
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vysočina Jihlava)
Vysočina Jihlava +2
86.6%
Draw +2
9.3%
Vlašim -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vysočina Jihlava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.58
0.92
0.42
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.54
0.54
0.59
0.24
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
-
-
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.32
0.54
0.54
0.42
0.08
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vysočina Jihlava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.36
0.57
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.58
0.33
0.50
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vlašim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.63
1.46
0.38
0.76
0.82
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
-
-
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.16
0.52
1.46
0.38
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Vysočina Jihlava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vysočina Jihlava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vlašim over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava's squad is €1m less valuable than Vlašim's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava and Vlašim have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava and Vlašim have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Vysočina Jihlava and Vlašim have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Opava
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov