This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.03
1.12
1.94
1.29
2.14
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
2.00
0.83
2.00
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.42
2.05
1.30
1.90
1.56
2.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.4%
Under 2.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.9%
No
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
12.7%
2-0
12.2%
4-0
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
3-1 ✓
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
5-0
6.2%
4-1
5.7%
Waalwijk goals ↓
Vitesse goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
7.4%
4.9%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
2
12%
6.9%
2.0%
0.4%
0.1%
3
13%
7.2%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
9.9%
5.7%
1.6%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Waalwijk goals (down), columns = Vitesse goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
Heerenveen
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Feyenoord
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Hercules
1.67
Blauw Geel
1.67
Ajax
1.50
Groningen
1.50
Twente
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Kolping Boys
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
EVV
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
HBC
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Roda
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
HHC
0.00
URK
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
ACV
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Huizen
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
SVBO
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
DEM
0.00
Waalwijk is 2.00 points better than Vitesse in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Utrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
FC Volendam
2.50
Hercules
2.33
Blauw Geel
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
GOES
2.00
TEC
2.00
URK
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Kolping Boys
1.67
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
MVV
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Heracles
1.40
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Roda
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
SVBO
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
DEM
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Emmen
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
EVV
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
Waalwijk is 1.67 goals better than Vitesse in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Utrecht
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Ajax
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Telstar
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
HHC
1.00
Gemert
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Excelsior
1.67
Hercules
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Groningen
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Forum Sport
2.00
Huizen
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
DEM
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Twente
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
TEC
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
SVBO
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
TOGB
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
Waalwijk is 1.67 goals better than Vitesse in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Waalwijk
For 3.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 7.7 · Total 17.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vitesse
For 6.3 · Against 5.8 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 15.3 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Waalwijk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.1
11.3
2.7
2.7
2.7
19.3
19.2
19.4
vs Stronger (32)
11.1
10.9
11.3
2.7
3.1
2.2
19.2
19.3
19.1
vs Similar (18)
10.1
8.6
11.3
2.7
1.8
3.5
19.4
19.0
19.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
59%
59%
28%
21%
35%
36%
41%
32%
% under line
41%
41%
41%
72%
79%
65%
64%
59%
68%
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.9
10.8
3.4
3.6
3.2
23.3
23.0
23.6
vs Stronger (19)
10.3
10.8
9.9
3.2
3.8
2.6
23.0
22.9
23.1
vs Similar (31)
12.0
12.6
11.4
3.5
3.6
3.5
23.5
23.1
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
74%
52%
44%
48%
40%
61%
57%
65%
% under line
37%
26%
48%
56%
52%
60%
39%
43%
35%
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heracles
11.4
Cambuur
11.3
Vitesse
11.2
FC Volendam
11.1
Sparta Rotterdam
11.0
Dordrecht
10.9
NEC Nijmegen
10.8
Telstar
10.6
Utrecht
10.6
De Graafschap
10.6
Feyenoord
10.5
Waalwijk
10.5
FC Eindhoven
10.5
Den Bosch
10.5
Heerenveen
10.4
Helmond Sport
10.4
FC OSS
10.4
ADO Den Haag
10.3
GO Ahead Eagles
10.3
Willem II
10.3
Emmen
10.3
VVV Venlo
10.2
Groningen
10.2
PSV Eindhoven
10.1
PEC Zwolle
10.1
Almere City FC
10.0
Roda
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Twente
9.8
MVV
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
NAC Breda
9.3
Ajax
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cambuur
4.4
Feyenoord
4.1
Excelsior
4.0
Telstar
4.0
Roda
4.0
Den Bosch
4.0
ADO Den Haag
4.0
Ajax
4.0
Dordrecht
3.9
Almere City FC
3.9
Groningen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Heracles
3.8
VVV Venlo
3.8
Vitesse
3.8
Twente
3.8
Willem II
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Emmen
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
FC OSS
3.5
Utrecht
3.4
FC Volendam
3.4
MVV
3.4
De Graafschap
3.3
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Waalwijk
3.2
GO Ahead Eagles
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Heerenveen
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.7
Dordrecht
23.8
Emmen
23.5
ADO Den Haag
23.4
Almere City FC
23.1
Cambuur
22.7
Vitesse
22.7
VVV Venlo
22.6
FC OSS
22.4
Roda
22.2
Heracles
22.1
Helmond Sport
21.8
NAC Breda
21.7
Den Bosch
21.7
Groningen
21.7
Twente
21.3
Fortuna Sittard
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
20.8
Utrecht
20.6
MVV
20.5
FC Eindhoven
20.5
AZ Alkmaar
20.4
Feyenoord
20.3
PEC Zwolle
20.3
Willem II
20.3
Ajax
19.7
Waalwijk
19.5
Heerenveen
19.5
GO Ahead Eagles
19.4
FC Volendam
19.2
De Graafschap
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
18.2
PSV Eindhoven
18.2
Excelsior
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.8%
Under 21.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Waalwijk or Draw✓ Hit
96.5%
Avg Implied -
86%
10%
3%
covers Waalwijk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk or Vitesse✓ Hit
89.8%
Avg Implied -
86%
10%
3%
covers Waalwijk + Vitesse
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vitesse✗ Miss
13.7%
Avg Implied -
86%
10%
3%
covers Draw + Vitesse
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Waalwijk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
95.6%
Under
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
81.9%
Under
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
60.5%
Under
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
43.4%
Under
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Waalwijk, so a minus line means Waalwijk give that many goals of a start and Vitesse receive them. At -1, Waalwijk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Waalwijk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Waalwijk)Actual: Draw
Waalwijk -2
48.6%
Draw -2
21.1%
Vitesse +2
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Waalwijk)Actual: Waalwijk
Waalwijk -1
69.7%
Draw -1
16.6%
Vitesse +1
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Waalwijk)Actual: Waalwijk
Waalwijk +1
96.5%
Draw +1
2.7%
Vitesse -1
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Waalwijk)Actual: Waalwijk
Waalwijk +2
99.2%
Draw +2
0.7%
Vitesse -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Waalwijk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.36
0.43
0.56
1.06
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
0.79
0.44
0.56
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.36
0.73
0.20
0.20
0.50
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.50
1.06
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.82
0.50
0.83
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.89
0.50
1.20
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Waalwijk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Waalwijk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.71
1.00
0.50
1.31
vs Stronger (19)
0.42
1.37
0.67
1.11
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.82
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vitesse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.17
0.62
0.88
0.93
1.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.18
0.33
1.17
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (19)
0.95
1.16
0.80
0.70
1.11
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Waalwijk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
89.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Waalwijk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oskar Zawada31%
Richard van der Venne22%
Silvester van der Water20%
Richonell Margaret19%
Yassin Oukili17%
Mohamed Ihattaren15%
Michiel Kramer14%
Chris Lokesa14%
Tim van de Loo7%
Dario Van Den Buijs7%
Faissal Al Mazyani4%
Godfried Roemeratoe4%
Denilho Cleonise4%
Yanick van Osch0%
Roshon van Eijma0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Kevin Felida0%
Mark Spenkelink0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Aaron Meijers0%
Liam van Gelderen0%
Alexander Jakobsen0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Jeroen Houwen0%
Patrick Vroegh0%
Juan Castillo0%
Joey Kesting0%
Luuk Wouters0%
Daouda Weidmann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joey Kesting25%
Kevin Felida18%
Chris Lokesa18%
Richard van der Venne17%
Daouda Weidmann15%
Michiel Kramer14%
Faissal Al Mazyani12%
Godfried Roemeratoe12%
Liam van Gelderen11%
Julian Lelieveld10%
Yassin Oukili9%
Reuven Niemeijer8%
Juan Castillo8%
Roshon van Eijma7%
Oskar Zawada7%
Dario Van Den Buijs7%
Aaron Meijers6%
Denilho Cleonise4%
Mohamed Ihattaren4%
Richonell Margaret3%
Yanick van Osch0%
Silvester van der Water0%
Mark Spenkelink0%
Alexander Jakobsen0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Jeroen Houwen0%
Patrick Vroegh0%
Luuk Wouters0%
Tim van de Loo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Richonell Margaret16%
Mohamed Ihattaren15%
Juan Castillo12%
Chris Lokesa9%
Yassin Oukili9%
Godfried Roemeratoe8%
Denilho Cleonise8%
Richard van der Venne6%
Silvester van der Water5%
Faissal Al Mazyani4%
Roshon van Eijma4%
Tim van de Loo3%
Julian Lelieveld3%
Yanick van Osch0%
Michiel Kramer0%
Dario Van Den Buijs0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Kevin Felida0%
Mark Spenkelink0%
Aaron Meijers0%
Liam van Gelderen0%
Oskar Zawada0%
Alexander Jakobsen0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Jeroen Houwen0%
Patrick Vroegh0%
Joey Kesting0%
Luuk Wouters0%
Daouda Weidmann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oskar Zawada31%
Chris Lokesa18%
Mohamed Ihattaren15%
Richard van der Venne11%
Yassin Oukili9%
Dario Van Den Buijs7%
Richonell Margaret5%
Silvester van der Water5%
Michiel Kramer5%
Yanick van Osch0%
Godfried Roemeratoe0%
Roshon van Eijma0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Kevin Felida0%
Mark Spenkelink0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Aaron Meijers0%
Liam van Gelderen0%
Alexander Jakobsen0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Jeroen Houwen0%
Patrick Vroegh0%
Juan Castillo0%
Denilho Cleonise0%
Joey Kesting0%
Luuk Wouters0%
Daouda Weidmann0%
Tim van de Loo0%
Faissal Al Mazyani0%
Vitesse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miliano Jonathans53%
Giovanni Büttner33%
Irakli Yegoian22%
Alexander Büttner21%
Jim Koller13%
Bas Huisman13%
Andy Visser13%
Theodosis Macheras12%
Gyan de Regt11%
Tomislav Gudelj9%
Marcus Steffen7%
Enzo Cornelisse5%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Justin Bakker0%
Dillon Hoogerwerf0%
Mees Kreekels0%
Mikki van Sas0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
Loek Postma0%
Simon van Duivenbooden0%
Roan van der Plaat0%
Mats Egbring0%
Tom Bramel0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nino Zonneveld67%
Giovanni Büttner33%
Justin Bakker33%
Loek Postma22%
Gyan de Regt22%
Jim Koller22%
Miliano Jonathans21%
Marcus Steffen19%
Alexander Büttner18%
Anass Zarrouk18%
Theodosis Macheras15%
Giovanni van Zwam14%
Mats Egbring12%
Mathijs Tielemans12%
Mees Kreekels12%
Angelos Tsingaras11%
Roan van der Plaat8%
Enzo Cornelisse8%
Dillon Hoogerwerf5%
Bas Huisman4%
Andy Visser3%
Tomislav Gudelj0%
Mikki van Sas0%
Simon van Duivenbooden0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Tom Bramel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miliano Jonathans21%
Gyan de Regt19%
Loek Postma11%
Irakli Yegoian11%
Alexander Büttner11%
Mats Egbring9%
Jim Koller9%
Enzo Cornelisse8%
Mees Kreekels8%
Mathijs Tielemans6%
Dillon Hoogerwerf5%
Tom Bramel4%
Angelos Tsingaras4%
Andy Visser3%
Giovanni van Zwam3%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Justin Bakker0%
Tomislav Gudelj0%
Theodosis Macheras0%
Mikki van Sas0%
Simon van Duivenbooden0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Roan van der Plaat0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Bas Huisman0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Miliano Jonathans37%
Irakli Yegoian27%
Bas Huisman17%
Theodosis Macheras12%
Gyan de Regt11%
Alexander Büttner11%
Tomislav Gudelj9%
Jim Koller9%
Andy Visser6%
Simon van Duivenbooden6%
Mathijs Tielemans6%
Dillon Hoogerwerf5%
Enzo Cornelisse3%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Giovanni Büttner0%
Justin Bakker0%
Mees Kreekels0%
Mikki van Sas0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
Loek Postma0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Roan van der Plaat0%
Mats Egbring0%
Tom Bramel0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Waalwijk and Vitesse have a similar squad value (both €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
Waalwijk and Vitesse have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Waalwijk and Vitesse have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Waalwijk's defence is €1m more valuable than Vitesse's (€3m vs €2m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Feyenoord
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Almere City FC
Telstar
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Emmen
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Roda
Helmond Sport
VVV Venlo
MVV
FC OSS
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
Jong Utrecht