The model favours a home win, with a 54% chance of Wacker Innsbruck taking the points. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.6% probability. Wacker’s home form is strong against weaker opposition, scoring an average of five goals and conceding none, while Austria Salzburg’s away record against stronger teams is poorer, with two goals scored and three conceded on average. The home win probability is 54%, the draw 26%, and the away win 19%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5%), Under 6.5 (98.3%), Under 5.5 (95.1%), Away under 2.5 goals (93.3%), Home +2 handicap (93.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (90.9%), and Under 4.5 (87.7%). All figures are presented as percentages and each selection is listed with its probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wacker Innsbruck win
54.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg win
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wacker Innsbruck
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.86
2.25
0.25
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.25
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.23
1.71
1.14
1.25
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.30
1.22
1.69
1.23
0.93
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
1.00
-
-
5.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
Wacker Innsbruck goals ↓
Austria Salzburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
5.7%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
1
11%
13%
5.3%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.6%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
5.9%
5.4%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wacker Innsbruck goals (down), columns = Austria Salzburg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Wacker Innsbruck and Austria Salzburg are level in average points per game (both 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Wacker Innsbruck is 0.60 goals worse than Austria Salzburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Wacker Innsbruck is 0.40 goals better than Austria Salzburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wacker Innsbruck
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Austria Salzburg
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Wacker Innsbruck
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.6%
Under 3.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.4%
Under 21.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wacker Innsbruck or Draw
80.6%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
19%
covers Wacker Innsbruck + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck or Austria Salzburg
73.5%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
19%
covers Wacker Innsbruck + Austria Salzburg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Austria Salzburg
45.9%
Avg Implied -
54%
26%
19%
covers Draw + Austria Salzburg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5
Over
81.4%
Under
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5
Over
50.1%
Under
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 3.5
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5
Over
60.3%
Under
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5
Over
23.6%
Under
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wacker Innsbruck, so a minus line means Wacker Innsbruck give that many goals of a start and Austria Salzburg receive them. At -1, Wacker Innsbruck must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wacker Innsbruck win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck -2
13.3%
Draw -2
17.0%
Austria Salzburg +2
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck -1
30.3%
Draw -1
23.8%
Austria Salzburg +1
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck +1
80.6%
Draw +1
12.5%
Austria Salzburg -1
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck +2
93.1%
Draw +2
5.1%
Austria Salzburg -2
1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wacker Innsbruck
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.57
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.57
0.93
0.57
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.59
1.00
0.62
0.36
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wacker Innsbruck
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.25
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Salzburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.79
0.57
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.63
0.69
0.62
0.57
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
WI wins
0
Draws
0
AS wins
Head-to-head
Wacker Innsbruck vs Austria Salzburg · H/A from WI
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →