Wacker Innsbruck are the clear favourites, the model rating them at 62 % for a home win, a figure that reflects their strong 3.0 average goals scored at home against weaker opposition and a clean sheet record. The opponent, Voitsberg, struggles away, averaging only 0.67 goals scored and conceding 1.33 against stronger teams. The predicted outcome is a home victory, with an expected 3.3 total goals and a 22 % chance of exactly three goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Wacker, a 9.8 % probability. The model also projects a 21 % draw and a 17 % away win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.9 %), Home +2 handicap (93.5 %), Home over 0.5 goals (89.2 %), Under 6.5 (94.7 %), Under 5.5 (87.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.4 %), Away under 2.5 goals (89.9 %), and Over 2.5 cards (87.9 %). Each selection carries its own probability, with no overlap of match-result percentages. The model’s confidence in a home win is reinforced by Wacker’s recent 2-game winning streak and their 1-0 victory over SKN ST. Polten, while Voitsberg’s last outing ended in a 1-5 loss to FC BW Linz.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wacker Innsbruck win
61.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg win
16.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wacker Innsbruck
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.86
2.25
0.25
0.33
1.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.25
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.50
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.43
1.06
1.31
1.79
1.57
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
1.80
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.36
0.92
1.08
1.77
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
60.5%
No
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
Wacker Innsbruck goals ↓
Voitsberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.1%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
1
7.1%
9.7%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
2
8.9%
9.8%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.6%
7.3%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
4
3.7%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wacker Innsbruck goals (down), columns = Voitsberg goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Wacker Innsbruck is 0.80 points better than Voitsberg in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Wacker Innsbruck and Voitsberg are level in goals scored per game (both 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Wacker Innsbruck is 1.00 goals better than Voitsberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wacker Innsbruck
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Voitsberg
For 6.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wacker Innsbruck
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
9.0
8.4
9.6
3.1
3.2
3.0
25.3
27.2
23.4
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
9.0
11.0
2.0
1.4
5.0
36.0
41.0
31.0
vs Similar (36)
8.9
8.4
9.5
3.3
3.7
2.9
24.3
25.9
22.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
25%
45%
43%
45%
40%
70%
75%
64%
% under line
65%
75%
55%
57%
55%
60%
30%
25%
36%
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.6%
Under 9.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.1%
Under 3.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.5%
Under 21.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wacker Innsbruck or Draw
83.1%
Avg Implied -
62%
21%
17%
covers Wacker Innsbruck + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck or Voitsberg
78.7%
Avg Implied -
62%
21%
17%
covers Wacker Innsbruck + Voitsberg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Voitsberg
38.2%
Avg Implied -
62%
21%
17%
covers Draw + Voitsberg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5
Over
89.2%
Under
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5
Over
65.1%
Under
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 3.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5
Over
66.9%
Under
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5
Over
30.3%
Under
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 3.5
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wacker Innsbruck, so a minus line means Wacker Innsbruck give that many goals of a start and Voitsberg receive them. At -1, Wacker Innsbruck must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wacker Innsbruck win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck -2
21.2%
Draw -2
18.8%
Voitsberg +2
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck -1
40.0%
Draw -1
21.8%
Voitsberg +1
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck +1
83.1%
Draw +1
10.4%
Voitsberg -1
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Wacker Innsbruck)
Wacker Innsbruck +2
93.5%
Draw +2
4.6%
Voitsberg -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wacker Innsbruck
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.57
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.38
0.69
1.21
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
0.75
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.56
0.25
0.58
1.15
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.8%
Under 0.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.8%
Under 1.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.3%
Under 2.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5 HT
Over
63.3%
Under
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5 HT
Over
28.4%
Under
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.2%
Under
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wacker Innsbruck
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.25
0.33
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
71% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Voitsberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Voitsberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.69
0.62
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.80
0.67
0.50
0.62
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Wacker Innsbruck) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
87.1%
Under 0.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.9%
Under 1.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
25.2%
Under 2.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 0.5 2H
Over
73.3%
Under
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 1.5 2H
Over
40.7%
Under
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wacker Innsbruck over/under 2.5 2H
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.0%
Under
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Voitsberg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →