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Waterford vs Derry City Prediction & Stats

Date: 14/09/2026
Time: 18:45
Waterford
Waterford
Vs
37%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Derry City
Derry City
Ireland: Premier Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Waterford and Derry City is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. Waterford’s home form shows they average 1.46 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against similar opponents, while Derry City on the road average 1.25 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring game, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 13% chance of a 1-1 scoreline. Waterford’s recent unbeaten run (DWWDD) and a goalless draw at home to Sligo Rovers contrast with Derry City’s recent 3-5 loss to Bohemians, hinting at a cautious approach from the visitors.

Home win probability stands at 40%, draw at 27%, and away win at 33%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.9%), Under 5.5 (94.6%), Over 2.5 cards (87.3%), Under 4.5 (86.8%), and Away under 2.5 goals (86.0%). Each selection carries its own probability, reflecting the model’s nuanced view of this encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waterford win
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Derry City win
35.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WaterfordWaterford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W02L32W42W11D00D10W31W00D20WH·SLI12/06H·SHA19/06A·DUN26/06A·DER03/07H·ST 10/07A·GAL25/07H·SHE02/08H·BOH09/08A·SLI21/08A·ST 28/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.631.361.141.382.06
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.461.691.501.081.432.21
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Derry City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Derry CityDerry City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L41W12L11D20W24L11D20W35L33DA·DUN29/05H·BOH12/06A·GAL19/06A·SHA22/06H·DRO26/06H·WAT03/07A·ST 02/08H·SLI07/08A·BOH21/08H·SHA30/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.731.271.071.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.431.571.641.451.251.67
vs Weaker (7)1.290.572.000.750.330.33
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Waterford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
Waterford goals ↓
Derry City goals →
01234
06.6%6.7%5.6%2.7%1.0%
16.9%13%8.3%4.0%1.4%
25.9%8.5%6.1%2.9%1.0%
32.9%4.2%3.0%1.4%0.5%
41.1%1.5%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Waterford goals (down), columns = Derry City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Bohemians
1.72
Dundalk
1.38
Shelbourne
1.30
Galway United
1.21
Derry City
1.17
Waterford
1.10
Drogheda United
0.97
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Waterford is 0.07 points worse than Derry City in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.72
Shamrock Rovers
1.64
Dundalk
1.59
St Patrick's Athl.
1.55
Derry City
1.41
Shelbourne
1.37
Waterford
1.34
Galway United
1.29
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Waterford is 0.07 goals worse than Derry City in terms of goals scored per game (1.34 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.96
Bohemians
1.17
Derry City
1.38
Shelbourne
1.44
Galway United
1.50
Dundalk
1.55
Sligo Rovers
1.66
Drogheda United
1.66
Waterford
1.66
Waterford is 0.28 goals worse than Derry City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Bohemians
59%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
54%
Shelbourne
53%
Dundalk
52%
Sligo Rovers
46%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Waterford is 15.2 percentage points worse than Derry City in terms of average possession (39% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WaterfordWaterford

For 5.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

1408686378655757436456214141014101211998A·ST A·SLIH·BOHH·SHEA·GALH·ST A·DERA·DUNH·SLIA·DRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

803211253322212435323338523685A·SLIH·BOHH·SHEA·GALH·ST A·DERA·DUNH·SLIA·DROA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 8.1 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

2708314814813917101212135178111016811222222272418252124A·ST A·SLIH·BOHH·SHEA·GALH·ST A·DERA·DUNH·SLIA·DRO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Derry CityDerry City

For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

12035381027347752666564481112101112812118H·SHAA·BOHH·SLIA·ST H·WATH·DROA·SHAH·BOHA·DUNH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

702421223213522342436325247567H·SHAA·BOHH·SLIA·ST H·WATH·DROA·SHAH·BOHA·DUNH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

32011111191581516513121311101616166121122202331182521322223H·SHAA·BOHH·SLIA·ST H·WATH·DROA·SHAH·BOHA·DUNH·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WaterfordWaterford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.012.110.04.34.73.922.423.021.9
vs Stronger (5)8.09.56.53.43.33.520.020.020.0
vs Similar (44)11.312.410.34.54.94.122.623.222.0
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line57%65%50%58%64%52%68%74%62%
% under line43%35%50%42%36%48%32%26%38%
This opponent (Derry City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Derry CityDerry City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.29.85.04.55.423.122.224.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (38)9.19.19.15.34.85.824.423.325.6
vs Weaker (12)10.69.312.43.83.64.019.219.319.2
% over line46%32%61%68%60%76%67%64%70%
% under line54%68%39%32%40%24%33%36%30%
This opponent (Waterford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Waterford
11.0
Galway United
10.5
Dundalk
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.3
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
10.0
Shelbourne
9.7
Derry City
9.6
Shamrock Rovers
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.2
Dundalk
5.0
St Patrick's Athl.
4.9
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Shelbourne
4.8
Waterford
4.7
Bohemians
4.7
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.5
Sligo Rovers
4.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Galway United
23.4
Dundalk
23.4
Bohemians
23.2
Derry City
23.1
Shamrock Rovers
22.9
St Patrick's Athl.
22.7
Waterford
22.3
Drogheda United
21.8
Shelbourne
21.3
Sligo Rovers
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.1%
Under 9.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
73.2%
Under 3.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.2%
Under 21.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Waterford or Draw
64.8%
Avg Implied -
37%
27%
36%
covers Waterford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Waterford or Derry City
71.5%
Avg Implied -
37%
27%
36%
covers Waterford + Derry City
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Derry City
63.6%
Avg Implied -
37%
27%
36%
covers Draw + Derry City
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Waterford over/under 0.5
Over
74.0%
Under
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 1.5
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 2.5
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
Under
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 1.5
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 2.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Waterford, so a minus line means Waterford give that many goals of a start and Derry City receive them. At -1, Waterford must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Waterford win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Waterford)
Waterford -2
6.1%
Draw -2
11.0%
Derry City +2
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Waterford)
Waterford -1
17.1%
Draw -1
19.3%
Derry City +1
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Waterford)
Waterford +1
64.8%
Draw +1
18.9%
Derry City -1
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Waterford)
Waterford +2
83.7%
Draw +2
10.6%
Derry City -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WaterfordWaterford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L12L10W10W00D00D30W00D00DH·SLI12/06H·SHA19/06A·DUN26/06A·DER03/07H·ST 10/07A·GAL25/07H·SHE02/08H·BOH09/08A·SLI21/08A·ST 28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.500.640.690.88
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.770.580.670.710.86
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Derry City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Derry CityDerry City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L10W10W01L01L00D10W31WA·DUN29/05H·BOH12/06A·GAL19/06A·SHA22/06H·DRO26/06H·WAT03/07A·ST 02/08H·SLI07/08A·BOH21/08H·SHA30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.470.530.600.530.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.570.570.550.730.580.42
vs Weaker (7)0.430.140.500.250.330.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Waterford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Waterford over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WaterfordWaterford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L20W32W01L00D10W01L00D20WH·SLI12/06H·SHA19/06A·DUN26/06A·DER03/07H·ST 10/07A·GAL25/07H·SHE02/08H·BOH09/08A·SLI21/08A·ST 28/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.860.500.691.19
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.920.920.420.711.36
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Derry City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Derry CityDerry City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D30W11D01L10W23L10W20W25L02LA·DUN29/05H·BOH12/06A·GAL19/06A·SHA22/06H·DRO26/06H·WAT03/07A·ST 02/08H·SLI07/08A·BOH21/08H·SHA30/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.871.200.670.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.871.001.090.730.671.25
vs Weaker (7)0.860.431.500.500.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Waterford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Waterford over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Derry City over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Under 6.598.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals95.2%-------
Under 5.594.6%-------
Over 2.5 cards87.4%-------
Under 4.586.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals85.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals84.6%-------
Home +2 handicap83.7%-------
Away +2 handicap82.9%-------
Over 1.579.8%-------
Over 19.5 fouls77.1%-------
Over 8.5 corners75.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals74.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.3%-------
Over 3.5 cards73.2%-------
Home or Away71.5%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Waterford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Lonergan42%
John Mahon19%
Pádraig Amond19%
J. Voilås13%
K. Long11%
D. McMenamy4%
Benny Couto4%
Conan Noonan4%
Luke Heeney0%
Jordan Faria0%
Jordan Houston0%
Trae Coyle0%
H. Cann0%
Arlo Doherty0%
Conor Carty0%
S. Glenfield0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Evan McLaughlin0%
Noah Mawene0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Will Johnson0%
Cian Barrett0%
Ronan Mansfield0%
Alan Zborowski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Johnson45%
Ronan Mansfield43%
S. Glenfield29%
Luke Heeney27%
John Mahon27%
Evan McLaughlin25%
Noah Mawene25%
Tom Lonergan19%
Jordan Houston18%
K. Long17%
Benny Couto16%
H. Cann14%
D. McMenamy13%
Conan Noonan12%
Cian Barrett9%
J. Voilås9%
Conor Carty7%
Pádraig Amond4%
Jordan Faria0%
Trae Coyle0%
Arlo Doherty0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Alan Zborowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benny Couto16%
J. Voilås13%
Evan McLaughlin12%
Conan Noonan12%
Tom Lonergan12%
D. McMenamy9%
Jordan Houston6%
K. Long6%
John Mahon4%
Pádraig Amond4%
H. Cann4%
Luke Heeney0%
Jordan Faria0%
Trae Coyle0%
Arlo Doherty0%
Conor Carty0%
S. Glenfield0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Noah Mawene0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Will Johnson0%
Cian Barrett0%
Ronan Mansfield0%
Alan Zborowski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tom Lonergan42%
Pádraig Amond15%
Benny Couto8%
Conor Carty7%
K. Long6%
J. Voilås4%
John Mahon4%
H. Cann4%
Luke Heeney0%
Jordan Faria0%
Jordan Houston0%
Trae Coyle0%
Conan Noonan0%
D. McMenamy0%
Arlo Doherty0%
S. Glenfield0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Evan McLaughlin0%
Noah Mawene0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Will Johnson0%
Cian Barrett0%
Ronan Mansfield0%
Alan Zborowski0%
Derry City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kévin Santos30%
Ellis Chapman25%
Tyler Smith25%
Michael Duffy24%
James Clarke22%
Afolabi Akinyemi18%
Alex Bannon17%
Liam Boyce14%
Henry Rylah14%
C. Dummigan11%
Adam O'Reilly8%
B. Cotter8%
Darragh Markey6%
Josh Thomas5%
Conor Barr5%
Patrick McClean5%
J. Olayinka4%
C. Winchester0%
Brandon Fleming0%
J. McClean0%
Gavin Whyte0%
Jamie Stott0%
Brian Maher0%
Ben Doherty0%
R. Slevin0%
Darragh Burns0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
Eddie Beach0%
Nick Twisk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster67%
Patrick McClean36%
Gavin Whyte33%
Jamie Stott32%
Adam O'Reilly28%
C. Dummigan28%
Darragh Markey28%
J. McClean25%
Darragh Burns25%
Brandon Fleming24%
C. Winchester23%
Josh Thomas21%
B. Cotter20%
Ben Doherty18%
James Clarke17%
Liam Boyce14%
R. Slevin12%
Kévin Santos10%
J. Olayinka8%
Henry Rylah7%
Afolabi Akinyemi6%
Michael Duffy5%
Eddie Beach5%
Ellis Chapman0%
Tyler Smith0%
Brian Maher0%
Nick Twisk0%
Alex Bannon0%
Conor Barr0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darragh Burns50%
Gavin Whyte33%
J. McClean25%
Michael Duffy19%
Alex Bannon17%
Liam Boyce14%
Kévin Santos10%
Ben Doherty9%
Brandon Fleming8%
Adam O'Reilly8%
Henry Rylah7%
C. Dummigan6%
Jamie Stott5%
Patrick McClean5%
James Clarke4%
J. Olayinka4%
Ellis Chapman0%
C. Winchester0%
Tyler Smith0%
Brian Maher0%
Darragh Markey0%
B. Cotter0%
Afolabi Akinyemi0%
R. Slevin0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
Josh Thomas0%
Eddie Beach0%
Nick Twisk0%
Conor Barr0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Michael Duffy43%
Ellis Chapman25%
Liam Boyce14%
Afolabi Akinyemi6%
Josh Thomas5%
Patrick McClean5%
James Clarke4%
J. Olayinka4%
Brandon Fleming4%
Adam O'Reilly4%
C. Winchester0%
J. McClean0%
Tyler Smith0%
Gavin Whyte0%
Jamie Stott0%
C. Dummigan0%
Brian Maher0%
Darragh Markey0%
B. Cotter0%
Ben Doherty0%
R. Slevin0%
Darragh Burns0%
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster0%
Eddie Beach0%
Nick Twisk0%
Alex Bannon0%
Kévin Santos0%
Henry Rylah0%
Conor Barr0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Waterford's squad is €2m less valuable than Derry City's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Waterford and Derry City have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Waterford and Derry City have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Waterford and Derry City have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
WAT wins
1
Draws
4
DC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Waterford vs Derry City · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
03/07/26ADerry City Vs WAT2-4
15/05/26HWAT Vs Derry City2-2
27/02/26ADerry City Vs WAT4-2
17/10/25HWAT Vs Derry City1-2
04/07/25ADerry City Vs WAT7-2
25/04/25HWAT Vs Derry City2-1
28/02/25ADerry City Vs WAT1-2
23/08/24HWAT Vs Derry City0-1

WaterfordWaterford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ASt Patrick's Athl. Vs WAT0-2
21/08/26ASligo Rovers Vs WAT0-0
09/08/26HWAT Vs Bohemians3-1
02/08/26HWAT Vs Shelbourne1-0
25/07/26AGalway United Vs WAT0-0
10/07/26HWAT Vs St Patrick's Athl.1-1
03/07/26ADerry City Vs WAT2-4
26/06/26ADundalk Vs WAT2-3
19/06/26HWAT Vs Shamrock Rovers0-2
12/06/26HWAT Vs Sligo Rovers4-0

Derry CityDerry City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HDC Vs Shamrock Rovers3-3
21/08/26ABohemians Vs DC5-3
07/08/26HDC Vs Sligo Rovers2-0
02/08/26ASt Patrick's Athl. Vs DC1-1
03/07/26HDC Vs Waterford2-4
26/06/26HDC Vs Drogheda United2-0
22/06/26AShamrock Rovers Vs DC1-1
19/06/26AGalway United Vs DC2-1
12/06/26HDC Vs Bohemians4-1
29/05/26ADundalk Vs DC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Waterford
Waterford
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW1.06
HomeWLDWW1.29
AwayWWDDW0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals2.982.623.31
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.321.381.27
Conceded1.661.252.04
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners11.0412.1310.04
Cards4.685.094.29
Derry City
Derry City
Ireland: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.42
HomeWWLWD1.64
AwayLLDDL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.702.962.44
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %46%52%40%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.461.801.12
Conceded1.241.161.32
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners9.439.169.71
Cards5.164.485.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers2855
57%
2.0
4627+19
2.6
71%
46%
29%
8.3
15%
4.9
77%
23.3
59%
7
3221.61.0
62%
2St PatrickSt Patrick's Athl.2950
48%
1.7
4525+20
2.4
76%
34%
28%
10.4
71%
4.8
69%
22.7
57%
5
2121.60.9
55%
3BohemiansBohemians2950
48%
1.7
5034+16
2.9
79%
59%
34%
10.0
57%
4.1
54%
22.9
50%
4
2121.71.2
59%
4DundalkDundalk2940
34%
1.4
4645+1
3.1
90%
62%
38%
10.8
68%
5.2
71%
24.0
75%
3
0121.61.6
52%
5ShelbourneShelbourne2735
30%
1.3
3739-2
2.8
78%
63%
30%
9.5
50%
5.5
73%
20.9
54%
4
1121.41.4
53%
6Derry CityDerry City2934
24%
1.2
4140+1
2.8
72%
52%
31%
10.2
61%
5.0
71%
23.2
64%
4
1121.41.4
54%
7Galway UnitedGalway United2834
29%
1.2
3642-6
2.8
75%
50%
32%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.8
70%
3
1111.31.5
40%
8WaterfordWaterford2932
24%
1.1
3948-9
3.0
79%
45%
38%
11.6
64%
4.2
56%
22.5
64%
2
1111.31.7
39%
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United2928
21%
1.0
3348-15
2.8
76%
52%
34%
10.3
46%
4.4
64%
22.8
68%
3
1021.11.7
40%
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers2923
17%
0.8
2348-25
2.4
72%
48%
28%
10.7
57%
3.9
46%
19.2
32%
3
1110.81.7
46%
Ireland: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →

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