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Waterford vs Galway United Result & Analysis

Date: 12/08/2022
Time: 18:45
Final 2-1
Waterford
Waterford
Vs
25%
26%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Galway United
Galway United
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Waterford win✓ Hit
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Galway United win✗ Miss
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

WaterfordWaterford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W30W40W10W52W01L13L50W12L21WH·COB13/05A·LON21/05H·TRE27/05H·BRA24/06A·ATH27/06A·GAL01/07H·WEX08/07A·COB15/07H·LON22/07A·TRE05/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.091.551.092.751.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.181.361.001.671.401.00
vs Weaker (12)3.080.832.200.403.711.14
Clean sheet %35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Galway UnitedGalway United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W01L51W00D02L10W30W00D31W22DH·ATH20/05H·COR27/05A·BRA17/06H·TRE24/06A·LON27/06H·WAT01/07H·COB08/07A·COR15/07A·ATH22/07H·WEX05/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.920.711.580.582.250.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.250.831.331.001.170.67
vs Weaker (12)2.580.581.830.173.331.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Waterford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.2%
Under 3.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
7.1%
2-1 ✓
6.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
Waterford goals ↓
Galway United goals →
01234
07.1%8.9%8.5%4.7%2.0%
15.6%13%9.6%5.4%2.3%
23.8%6.5%5.4%3.1%1.3%
31.5%2.4%2.1%1.2%0.5%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Waterford goals (down), columns = Galway United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.12
Waterford
2.03
Galway United
1.83
Longford Town
1.56
Treaty United
1.32
Wexford
1.28
Bray Wanderers
0.84
Athlone Town
0.75
Cobh Ramblers
0.53
Waterford is 0.20 points better than Galway United in terms of average points per game (2.03 vs 1.83).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Waterford
2.29
Cork City
1.97
Galway United
1.74
Longford Town
1.50
Wexford
1.41
Athlone Town
1.38
Treaty United
1.21
Cobh Ramblers
1.16
Bray Wanderers
0.94
Waterford is 0.54 goals better than Galway United in terms of goals scored per game (2.29 vs 1.74).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.69
Galway United
0.97
Waterford
1.09
Longford Town
1.35
Wexford
1.47
Treaty United
1.47
Bray Wanderers
1.94
Athlone Town
2.34
Cobh Ramblers
2.44
Waterford is 0.11 goals worse than Galway United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.97).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WaterfordWaterford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W00D00D31W00D00D20W10W20WH·COB13/05A·LON21/05H·TRE27/05H·BRA24/06A·ATH27/06A·GAL01/07H·WEX08/07A·COB15/07H·LON22/07A·TRE05/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.430.450.551.420.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.550.500.670.800.40
vs Weaker (12)1.250.330.400.401.860.29
Clean sheet %65% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Galway UnitedGalway United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W00D00D00D10W00D10W12LH·ATH20/05H·COR27/05A·BRA17/06H·TRE24/06A·LON27/06H·WAT01/07H·COB08/07A·COR15/07A·ATH22/07H·WEX05/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.330.420.501.000.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.580.171.001.000.17
vs Weaker (12)0.830.080.670.001.000.17
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Waterford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Waterford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WaterfordWaterford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W20W40W10W21W01L13L30W02L01LH·COB13/05A·LON21/05H·TRE27/05H·BRA24/06A·ATH27/06A·GAL01/07H·WEX08/07A·COB15/07H·LON22/07A·TRE05/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.220.651.090.551.330.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.820.501.000.600.60
vs Weaker (12)1.830.501.800.001.860.86
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Galway United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Galway UnitedGalway United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D31W00D02L10W20W00D21W10WH·ATH20/05H·COR27/05A·BRA17/06H·TRE24/06A·LON27/06H·WAT01/07H·COB08/07A·COR15/07A·ATH22/07H·WEX05/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.210.381.170.081.250.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.251.170.000.170.50
vs Weaker (12)1.750.501.170.172.330.83
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Waterford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Waterford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waterford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Galway United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.3%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Waterford · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Lonergan42%
John Mahon19%
PÃĄdraig Amond19%
J. VoilÃĨs13%
K. Long11%
D. McMenamy4%
Benny Couto4%
Conan Noonan4%
Luke Heeney0%
Jordan Faria0%
Jordan Houston0%
Trae Coyle0%
H. Cann0%
Arlo Doherty0%
Conor Carty0%
S. Glenfield0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Evan McLaughlin0%
Noah Mawene0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Will Johnson0%
Cian Barrett0%
Ronan Mansfield0%
Alan Zborowski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Johnson45%
Ronan Mansfield43%
S. Glenfield29%
Luke Heeney27%
John Mahon27%
Evan McLaughlin25%
Noah Mawene25%
Tom Lonergan19%
Jordan Houston18%
K. Long17%
Benny Couto16%
H. Cann14%
D. McMenamy13%
Conan Noonan12%
Cian Barrett9%
J. VoilÃĨs9%
Conor Carty7%
PÃĄdraig Amond4%
Jordan Faria0%
Trae Coyle0%
Arlo Doherty0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Alan Zborowski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benny Couto16%
J. VoilÃĨs13%
Evan McLaughlin12%
Conan Noonan12%
Tom Lonergan12%
D. McMenamy9%
Jordan Houston6%
K. Long6%
John Mahon4%
PÃĄdraig Amond4%
H. Cann4%
Luke Heeney0%
Jordan Faria0%
Trae Coyle0%
Arlo Doherty0%
Conor Carty0%
S. Glenfield0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Noah Mawene0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Will Johnson0%
Cian Barrett0%
Ronan Mansfield0%
Alan Zborowski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tom Lonergan42%
PÃĄdraig Amond15%
Benny Couto8%
Conor Carty7%
K. Long6%
J. VoilÃĨs4%
John Mahon4%
H. Cann4%
Luke Heeney0%
Jordan Faria0%
Jordan Houston0%
Trae Coyle0%
Conan Noonan0%
D. McMenamy0%
Arlo Doherty0%
S. Glenfield0%
Stephen McMullan0%
Evan McLaughlin0%
Noah Mawene0%
Jesse Dempsey0%
Will Johnson0%
Cian Barrett0%
Ronan Mansfield0%
Alan Zborowski0%
Galway United · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kristopher Twardek29%
Frantz Pierrot22%
J. Keohane13%
Francely Lomboto11%
M. Wolfe9%
A. Bolger8%
S. Walsh8%
E. McCarthy8%
Axel Piesold8%
D. Hurley7%
Killian Brouder5%
Wasiri Ola Williams4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leigh Kavanagh20%
Wasiri Ola Williams20%
S. Walsh19%
D. Hurley19%
M. Wolfe18%
Gianfranco Facchineri17%
A. Bolger16%
Lee Devitt16%
Connor Barratt16%
Al-Amin Kazeem15%
Kristopher Twardek14%
J. Keohane13%
Evan Watts10%
Frantz Pierrot9%
Conor McCormack8%
Arthur Parker8%
E. McCarthy8%
Axel Piesold8%
Francely Lomboto5%
Killian Brouder5%
Dylan Connolly0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kristopher Twardek24%
D. Hurley22%
J. Keohane13%
S. Walsh12%
A. Bolger8%
Axel Piesold8%
M. Wolfe5%
Wasiri Ola Williams4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Frantz Pierrot0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Francely Lomboto0%
E. McCarthy0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Walsh15%
Frantz Pierrot13%
Francely Lomboto11%
Kristopher Twardek10%
J. Keohane9%
D. Hurley7%
M. Wolfe5%
A. Bolger4%
E. McCarthy4%
Dylan Connolly0%
Conor McCormack0%
Killian Brouder0%
Al-Amin Kazeem0%
Gianfranco Facchineri0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Hugo Cunha0%
Connor Barratt0%
Arthur Parker0%
Wasiri Ola Williams0%
Axel Piesold0%
Evan Watts0%
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau0%
Lee Devitt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Waterford and Galway United have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
Waterford and Galway United have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Waterford and Galway United have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Waterford and Galway United have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
WAT wins
1
Draws
2
GU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Waterford vs Galway United · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
01/07/22AGalway United Vs WAT1-0
15/04/22HWAT Vs Galway United0-1
04/03/22AGalway United Vs WAT2-2

WaterfordWaterford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/22ATreaty United Vs WAT1-2
22/07/22HWAT Vs Longford Town1-2
15/07/22ACobh Ramblers Vs WAT0-5
08/07/22HWAT Vs Wexford1-3
01/07/22AGalway United Vs WAT1-0
27/06/22AAthlone Town Vs WAT2-5
24/06/22HWAT Vs Bray Wanderers1-0
27/05/22HWAT Vs Treaty United4-0
21/05/22ALongford Town Vs WAT0-3
13/05/22HWAT Vs Cobh Ramblers4-2

Galway UnitedGalway United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/22HGU Vs Wexford2-2
22/07/22AAthlone Town Vs GU1-3
15/07/22ACork City Vs GU0-0
08/07/22HGU Vs Cobh Ramblers3-0
01/07/22HGU Vs Waterford1-0
27/06/22ALongford Town Vs GU2-0
24/06/22HGU Vs Treaty United0-0
17/06/22ABray Wanderers Vs GU1-5
27/05/22HGU Vs Cork City0-1
20/05/22HGU Vs Athlone Town3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Waterford
Waterford
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.91
HomeWWWLL1.73
AwayWWLWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %61%55%67%
AVG goals3.262.643.83
Over 1.5 %78%64%92%
Over 2.5 %65%55%75%
Over 3.5 %39%27%50%
Scored2.171.552.75
Conceded1.091.091.08
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet35%36%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Galway United
Galway United
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD2.21
HomeLDWWD2.08
AwayWWLDW2.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%58%75%
AVG goals2.622.173.08
Over 1.5 %71%67%75%
Over 2.5 %54%42%67%
Over 3.5 %33%17%50%
Scored1.921.582.25
Conceded0.710.580.83
BTTS42%33%50%
Clean Sheet50%58%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1WaterfordWaterford3571
63%
2.0
8038+42
3.4
83%
74%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.31.1
-
2Cork CityCork City3268
62%
2.1
6322+41
2.7
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
3Galway UnitedGalway United3564
51%
1.8
6134+27
2.7
77%
60%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.0
-
4Longford TownLongford Town3453
41%
1.6
5146+5
2.9
88%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3445
32%
1.3
4150-9
2.7
82%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
6WexfordWexford3241
31%
1.3
4547-2
2.9
81%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3227
19%
0.8
3062-32
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
8Athlone TownAthlone Town3224
22%
0.8
4475-31
3.7
97%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
9Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3217
12%
0.5
3778-41
3.6
84%
66%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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