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Watford vs Burnley Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Watford
Watford
Vs
24%
31%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burnley
Burnley
England: Championship
Referee: M Donohue

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 19.0% · @ 4.97
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.47
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burnley win✓ Hit
45.0%
Avg Implied 53.7% · @ 1.76
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D12L10W01L00D12L10W12LA·MID15/02H·LUT23/02A·STO01/03H·MIL08/03H·SWA12/03A·OXF15/03H·PLY29/03A·BRI05/04H·HUL08/04A·WES12/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.270.931.001.001.53
vs Stronger (2)1.003.000.004.002.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.961.141.000.790.931.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W03L21W40W11D20W10W21W00D21WH·SHE21/02A·PRE01/03A·CAR04/03H·LUT08/03H·WES11/03A·SWA15/03H·BRI29/03A·COV05/04A·DER08/04H·NOR11/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.371.430.291.310.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.300.371.250.331.330.40
vs Weaker (3)2.000.332.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.3%
@ 2.28-4.3%
Under 2.5
62.7%
@ 1.62+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.0%
No
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
12.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
1-2 ✓
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.4%
Watford goals ↓
Burnley goals →
01234
013%13%9.5%4.1%1.3%
18.6%14%8.4%3.6%1.2%
24.4%5.7%3.7%1.6%0.5%
31.3%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Burnley goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Watford is 0.93 points worse than Burnley in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 2.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Watford is 0.35 goals worse than Burnley in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Watford is 0.98 goals worse than Burnley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Watford is 4.3 percentage points worse than Burnley in terms of average possession (53% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 6.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1906373221455416114544658910419971591013A·WESH·HULA·BRIH·PLYA·OXFH·SWAH·MILA·STOH·LUTA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

602431113213212122226324351344A·WESH·HULA·BRIH·PLYA·OXFH·SWAH·MILA·STOH·LUTA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

300121076911111181116377121513177722132022191914273014A·WESH·HULA·BRIH·PLYA·OXFH·SWAH·MILA·STOH·LUTA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurnleyBurnley

For 5.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

13055485172446264654962101269881011138H·NORA·DERA·COVH·BRIA·SWAH·WESH·LUTA·CARH·SHEA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

702224211233334324260136375H·NORA·DERA·COVH·BRIA·SWAH·WESH·LUTA·CARH·SHEA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 14.1 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

3201414814181411912121017518791016131828223220242723162631H·NORA·DERA·COVH·BRIA·SWAH·WESH·LUTA·CARH·SHEA·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.110.04.04.04.022.922.423.3
vs Stronger (6)10.810.012.02.52.03.022.020.025.0
vs Similar (44)10.010.29.84.24.34.223.022.823.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line52%52%52%60%64%56%59%57%61%
% under line48%48%48%40%36%44%41%43%39%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.69.23.53.63.523.122.124.0
vs Stronger (2)11.5-11.56.0-6.021.0-21.0
vs Similar (43)9.09.18.83.43.43.523.222.024.6
vs Weaker (5)12.214.010.53.45.52.022.223.521.0
% over line48%39%57%54%52%56%61%57%65%
% under line52%61%43%46%48%44%39%43%35%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.6
Sheffield Weds
11.3
QPR
10.9
Portsmouth
10.7
Sheffield United
10.7
Oxford
10.6
Luton
10.6
Stoke
10.6
Leeds
10.5
Millwall
10.5
Hull
10.4
Derby
10.3
Norwich
10.3
West Brom
10.3
Plymouth
10.2
Middlesbrough
10.1
Watford
10.1
Bristol City
10.0
Blackburn
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Swansea
9.7
Cardiff
9.5
Burnley
9.4
Preston
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.4
Portsmouth
4.3
Watford
4.2
Stoke
4.1
Blackburn
4.0
Luton
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Preston
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
West Brom
3.8
Sheffield Weds
3.8
QPR
3.8
Burnley
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Hull
3.6
Oxford
3.6
Bristol City
3.6
Leeds
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Plymouth
3.5
Derby
3.3
Millwall
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.5
Luton
24.2
Preston
24.0
Millwall
23.9
Sunderland
23.5
Blackburn
23.5
Sheffield Weds
23.2
Leeds
23.2
Swansea
23.2
Burnley
23.0
Plymouth
22.9
QPR
22.9
Watford
22.8
Norwich
22.6
Hull
22.3
Cardiff
22.1
Bristol City
21.8
Sheffield United
21.6
Stoke
21.4
Derby
21.3
Coventry
21.3
Middlesbrough
21.1
West Brom
21.0
Oxford
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.4%
Under 9.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.1%
Under 3.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
73.9%
Under 21.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W10W00D00D02L00D01LA·MID15/02H·LUT23/02A·STO01/03H·MIL08/03H·SWA12/03A·OXF15/03H·PLY29/03A·BRI05/04H·HUL08/04A·WES12/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.470.600.400.73
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.430.570.500.430.360.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L21W20W11D20W10W11D00D20WH·SHE21/02A·PRE01/03A·CAR04/03H·LUT08/03H·WES11/03A·SWA15/03H·BRI29/03A·COV05/04A·DER08/04H·NOR11/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.230.860.140.750.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.810.260.830.170.800.33
vs Weaker (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D02L00D01L00D10W10W11DA·MID15/02H·LUT23/02A·STO01/03H·MIL08/03H·SWA12/03A·OXF15/03H·PLY29/03A·BRI05/04H·HUL08/04A·WES12/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.470.400.600.80
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.570.500.360.570.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D20W00D00D00D10W00D01LH·SHE21/02A·PRE01/03A·CAR04/03H·LUT08/03H·WES11/03A·SWA15/03H·BRI29/03A·COV05/04A·DER08/04H·NOR11/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.130.570.140.560.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.480.110.420.170.530.07
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %87% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls73.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards73.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners73.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mileta Rajović40%
Kwadwo Baah16%
Edo Kayembe15%
Moussa Sissoko15%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo14%
Tom Dele-Bashiru13%
Rocco Vata11%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Thomas Ince8%
Ryan Porteous8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Matthew Pollock6%
Imrân Louza5%
Festy Ebosele5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze5%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mileta Rajović40%
Festy Ebosele37%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Imrân Louza30%
Francisco Sierralta29%
Ryan Porteous28%
Edo Kayembe24%
James Morris19%
Jeremy Ngakia17%
Matthew Pollock17%
Kwadwo Baah16%
James Abankwah16%
Daniel Jebbison15%
Giorgi Chakvetadze15%
Moussa Sissoko12%
Egil Selvik12%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo12%
Pierre Dwomoh9%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Ryan Andrews7%
Yasser Larouci7%
Daniel Bachmann5%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Thomas Ince3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Rocco Vata0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Tikvić33%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Imrân Louza14%
Caleb Wiley10%
Kwadwo Baah10%
Yasser Larouci10%
Matthew Pollock9%
Rocco Vata8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Ken Sema6%
Thomas Ince6%
Festy Ebosele5%
Ryan Porteous4%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Edo Kayembe2%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mileta Rajović20%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo19%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Edo Kayembe13%
Rocco Vata11%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Thomas Ince3%
Imrân Louza3%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Ryan Andrews2%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Brownhill36%
Vitinho33%
Zian Flemming28%
Manuel Benson20%
Jaidon Anthony16%
Marcus Edwards12%
Jay Rodriguez10%
Jeremy Sarmiento8%
Luca Koleosho7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Lyle Foster7%
Connor Roberts5%
Josh Cullen5%
Bashir Humphreys4%
Hannibal Mejbri3%
Josh Laurent2%
CJ Egan-Riley2%
Maxime Estève2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Joe Worrall0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Lucas Pires0%
Enock Agyei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Cullen25%
Lucas Pires22%
Hannibal Mejbri21%
Manuel Benson20%
Joe Worrall17%
CJ Egan-Riley16%
James Trafford16%
Luca Koleosho14%
Lyle Foster13%
Connor Roberts12%
Josh Brownhill11%
Han-Noah Massengo11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Josh Laurent9%
Jaidon Anthony9%
Zian Flemming8%
Bashir Humphreys7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Marcus Edwards6%
Maxime Estève6%
Jay Rodriguez5%
Vitinho0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Enock Agyei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vitinho33%
Nathan Redmond33%
Lyle Foster17%
Jaidon Anthony14%
Josh Brownhill14%
Hannibal Mejbri13%
Han-Noah Massengo11%
Zian Flemming11%
Joe Worrall8%
Bashir Humphreys7%
Connor Roberts7%
Josh Cullen7%
Ashley Barnes7%
Marcus Edwards6%
Josh Laurent5%
Lucas Pires3%
CJ Egan-Riley2%
Manuel Benson0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
John Egan0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Maxime Estève0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Enock Agyei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming36%
Vitinho33%
Jaidon Anthony19%
Josh Brownhill11%
Lyle Foster10%
Jeremy Sarmiento3%
Josh Laurent2%
Han-Noah Massengo0%
Joe Worrall0%
Manuel Benson0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Ashley Barnes0%
Nathan Redmond0%
John Egan0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Connor Roberts0%
Josh Cullen0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Václav Hladký0%
Luke McNally0%
Oliver Sonne0%
James Trafford0%
Andreas Hountondji0%
Maxime Estève0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Lucas Pires0%
Luca Koleosho0%
Enock Agyei0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Watford's squad is €27m less valuable than Burnley's (€88m vs €115m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Watford's attack is €42m less valuable than Burnley's (€28m vs €70m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Watford's midfield is €30m more valuable than Burnley's (€38m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Watford's defence is €15m less valuable than Burnley's (€22m vs €37m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
WAT wins
2
Draws
2
BUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Burnley · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
21/12/24ABurnley Vs WAT2-1
14/02/23ABurnley Vs WAT1-1
12/08/22HWAT Vs Burnley1-0
30/04/22HWAT Vs Burnley1-2
05/02/22ABurnley Vs WAT0-0

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25AWest Brom Vs WAT2-1
08/04/25HWAT Vs Hull1-0
05/04/25ABristol City Vs WAT2-1
29/03/25HWAT Vs Plymouth0-0
15/03/25AOxford Vs WAT1-0
12/03/25HWAT Vs Swansea1-0
08/03/25HWAT Vs Millwall1-2
01/03/25AStoke Vs WAT0-0
23/02/25HWAT Vs Luton2-0
15/02/25AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT0-1

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/25HBUR Vs Norwich2-1
08/04/25ADerby Vs BUR0-0
05/04/25ACoventry Vs BUR1-2
29/03/25HBUR Vs Bristol City1-0
15/03/25ASwansea Vs BUR0-2
11/03/25HBUR Vs West Brom1-1
08/03/25HBUR Vs Luton4-0
04/03/25ACardiff Vs BUR1-2
01/03/25APreston Vs BUR3-0
21/02/25HBUR Vs Sheffield Weds4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.32
HomeWLWDW1.96
AwayWDLLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%60%16%
AVG goals2.602.083.12
Over 1.5 %70%60%80%
Over 2.5 %58%48%68%
Over 3.5 %22%8%36%
Scored1.261.321.20
Conceded1.340.761.92
BTTS54%40%68%
Clean Sheet32%52%12%
Corners10.0410.139.96
Cards4.374.354.39
Burnley
Burnley
England: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.86
HomeWWDWW1.96
AwayLWWWD1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%52%48%
AVG goals1.821.911.74
Over 1.5 %56%57%56%
Over 2.5 %30%35%26%
Over 3.5 %12%17%7%
Scored1.261.391.15
Conceded0.560.520.59
BTTS32%35%30%
Clean Sheet60%65%56%
Corners9.379.579.17
Cards3.853.574.13

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches