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Watford vs Cardiff Result & Analysis

Date: 29/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Watford
Watford
Vs
56%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cardiff
Cardiff
England: Championship
Referee: S Allison

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✗ Miss
55.6%
Avg Implied 51.4% · @ 1.84
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.58
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cardiff win✓ Hit
19.0%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.28
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-662W01L10W22D10W00D11D21W12L21WA·SHE02/11A·SWA05/11H·OXF08/11A·PLY22/11H·BRI26/11H·QPR30/11A·HUL11/12H·WES15/12A·BUR21/12H·POR26/12
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.231.670.401.272.07
vs Stronger (5)1.001.001.500.500.671.33
vs Similar (25)1.561.281.690.381.422.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L13L11D02L22D02L22D02L23LH·NOR02/11A·LUT06/11H·BLA09/11A·SHE23/11H·QPR27/11A·COV30/11H·PRE11/12A·STO14/12H·SHE21/12A·OXF26/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.931.251.811.002.07
vs Stronger (5)0.602.400.252.502.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.171.781.551.730.831.83
vs Weaker (2)2.002.502.000.002.005.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.91+1.8%
Under 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.88-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.6%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
1-2 ✓
5.3%
Watford goals ↓
Cardiff goals →
01234
07.6%5.1%3.0%0.9%0.2%
110%12%5.3%1.7%0.4%
210%9.8%4.7%1.5%0.4%
36.1%5.8%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.7%2.6%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Cardiff goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Watford is 0.28 points better than Cardiff in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Watford is 0.11 goals better than Cardiff in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.04).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Watford is 0.26 goals better than Cardiff in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Watford is 6.0 percentage points better than Cardiff in terms of average possession (53% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 5.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

16011537452675368211486261610981291015148H·PORA·BURH·WESA·HULH·QPRH·BRIA·PLYH·OXFA·SWAA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

80261323322322125223338455543756H·PORA·BURH·WESA·HULH·QPRH·BRIA·PLYH·OXFA·SWAA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

310121316129771517141511135128109161425281622312618201930H·PORA·BURH·WESA·HULH·QPRH·BRIA·PLYH·OXFA·SWAA·SHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CardiffCardiff

For 5.3 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1803364472151442612166443989618813128A·OXFH·SHEA·STOH·PREA·COVH·QPRA·SHEH·BLAA·LUTH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

70113114255111312322457611335A·OXFH·SHEA·STOH·PREA·COVH·QPRA·SHEH·BLAA·LUTH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.3

⚠️ Fouls

27071413111010111615101251381161312111521242027251721172526A·OXFH·SHEA·STOH·PREA·COVH·QPRA·SHEH·BLAA·LUTH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.410.94.24.44.023.423.123.6
vs Stronger (6)10.09.710.52.02.02.021.820.723.5
vs Similar (43)10.710.510.94.54.84.323.523.523.5
vs Weaker (1)13.0-13.03.0-3.024.0-24.0
% over line60%50%68%64%71%58%62%59%64%
% under line40%50%32%36%29%42%38%41%36%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CardiffCardiff

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.09.73.63.14.121.420.822.0
vs Stronger (9)7.67.67.52.82.34.519.018.620.5
vs Similar (39)9.79.59.93.93.64.222.221.722.5
vs Weaker (2)10.0-10.00.50.01.015.0-15.0
% over line46%38%54%52%46%58%50%50%50%
% under line54%62%46%48%54%42%50%50%50%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.7
Luton
11.5
Sheffield Weds
11.4
Sheffield United
11.3
QPR
11.2
Stoke
11.2
West Brom
11.0
Plymouth
10.7
Derby
10.7
Middlesbrough
10.6
Watford
10.6
Millwall
10.5
Hull
10.4
Bristol City
10.4
Leeds
10.3
Blackburn
10.3
Portsmouth
10.2
Swansea
10.2
Norwich
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Burnley
10.1
Oxford
10.0
Cardiff
9.3
Preston
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Portsmouth
4.7
Sunderland
4.6
Watford
4.5
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Blackburn
4.2
Swansea
4.1
Hull
4.1
QPR
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Luton
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Norwich
4.0
Burnley
4.0
Leeds
4.0
Preston
4.0
Plymouth
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.8
Oxford
3.8
Derby
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Bristol City
3.7
West Brom
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
25.1
Luton
24.4
Leeds
23.6
Preston
23.6
Sunderland
23.6
Millwall
23.5
Watford
23.4
Plymouth
23.0
Swansea
23.0
Sheffield Weds
22.9
Coventry
22.5
Hull
22.2
QPR
22.2
Burnley
21.9
Norwich
21.7
Derby
21.5
Cardiff
21.4
Oxford
21.4
Bristol City
21.2
Blackburn
21.2
Stoke
21.0
Sheffield United
20.7
Middlesbrough
20.6
West Brom
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.8%
Under 9.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.5%
Under 3.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.1%
Under 21.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D21W00D00D00D10W01L01LA·SHE02/11A·SWA05/11H·OXF08/11A·PLY22/11H·BRI26/11H·QPR30/11A·HUL11/12H·WES15/12A·BUR21/12H·POR26/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.400.200.401.00
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.500.000.001.33
vs Similar (25)0.440.560.380.230.500.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CardiffCardiff

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L11D01L11D00D11D00D01LH·NOR02/11A·LUT06/11H·BLA09/11A·SHE23/11H·QPR27/11A·COV30/11H·PRE11/12A·STO14/12H·SHE21/12A·OXF26/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.380.620.431.00
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.751.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.430.780.550.640.330.92
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W00D10W01L10W00D11D11D11D20WA·SHE02/11A·SWA05/11H·OXF08/11A·PLY22/11H·BRI26/11H·QPR30/11A·HUL11/12H·WES15/12A·BUR21/12H·POR26/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.631.270.200.871.07
vs Stronger (5)0.800.201.000.500.670.00
vs Similar (25)1.120.721.310.150.921.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CardiffCardiff

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L12L00D01L11D02L11D02L22DH·NOR02/11A·LUT06/11H·BLA09/11A·SHE23/11H·QPR27/11A·COV30/11H·PRE11/12A·STO14/12H·SHE21/12A·OXF26/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.130.881.190.571.07
vs Stronger (5)0.401.600.251.751.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.741.001.001.090.500.92
vs Weaker (2)1.501.502.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mileta Rajović40%
Kwadwo Baah16%
Edo Kayembe15%
Moussa Sissoko15%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo14%
Tom Dele-Bashiru13%
Rocco Vata11%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Thomas Ince8%
Ryan Porteous8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Matthew Pollock6%
Imrân Louza5%
Festy Ebosele5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze5%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mileta Rajović40%
Festy Ebosele37%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Imrân Louza30%
Francisco Sierralta29%
Ryan Porteous28%
Edo Kayembe24%
James Morris19%
Jeremy Ngakia17%
Matthew Pollock17%
Kwadwo Baah16%
James Abankwah16%
Daniel Jebbison15%
Giorgi Chakvetadze15%
Moussa Sissoko12%
Egil Selvik12%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo12%
Pierre Dwomoh9%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Ryan Andrews7%
Yasser Larouci7%
Daniel Bachmann5%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Thomas Ince3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Rocco Vata0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Tikvić33%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Imrân Louza14%
Caleb Wiley10%
Kwadwo Baah10%
Yasser Larouci10%
Matthew Pollock9%
Rocco Vata8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Ken Sema6%
Thomas Ince6%
Festy Ebosele5%
Ryan Porteous4%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Edo Kayembe2%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mileta Rajović20%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo19%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Edo Kayembe13%
Rocco Vata11%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Thomas Ince3%
Imrân Louza3%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Ryan Andrews2%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Salech36%
Callum Robinson29%
Isaak Davies20%
Anwar El Ghazi11%
Alex Robertson10%
Cian Ashford10%
Yakou Méïté9%
Rubin Colwill8%
Will Alves7%
Ollie Tanner6%
Chris Willock6%
David Turnbull5%
Calum Chambers5%
Callum O'Dowda5%
Dimitris Goutas3%
Perry Ng3%
Ethan Horvath0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Jamilu Collins0%
Joe Ralls0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Wilfried Kanga0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Jesper Daland0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
William Fish0%
Malachi Walcott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Michael Reindorf0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Luey Giles0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamilu Collins33%
Malachi Walcott33%
Sivert Mannsverk27%
Joe Ralls26%
Perry Ng24%
William Fish21%
Calum Chambers19%
Callum O'Dowda19%
Manolis Siopis18%
Alex Robertson18%
Andy Rinomhota18%
Joel Bagan11%
David Turnbull11%
Rubin Colwill10%
Aaron Ramsey10%
Isaak Davies10%
Jesper Daland9%
Yousef Salech9%
Dimitris Goutas8%
Jak Alnwick6%
Ollie Tanner3%
Yakou Méïté3%
Callum Robinson3%
Ethan Horvath0%
Anwar El Ghazi0%
Wilfried Kanga0%
Chris Willock0%
Will Alves0%
Michael Reindorf0%
Cian Ashford0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Luey Giles0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Reindorf25%
Will Alves20%
Ronan Kpakio17%
Ollie Tanner10%
Cian Ashford10%
Alex Robertson8%
Anwar El Ghazi7%
Callum O'Dowda7%
Sivert Mannsverk7%
Rubin Colwill6%
Chris Willock6%
Joel Bagan6%
Yousef Salech5%
Joe Ralls4%
Andy Rinomhota3%
Callum Robinson3%
Dimitris Goutas3%
Perry Ng3%
Calum Chambers2%
Ethan Horvath0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Jamilu Collins0%
Yakou Méïté0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Wilfried Kanga0%
David Turnbull0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Jesper Daland0%
William Fish0%
Malachi Walcott0%
Isaak Davies0%
Luey Giles0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Salech27%
Rubin Colwill19%
David Turnbull16%
Yakou Méïté15%
Callum Robinson14%
William Fish8%
Anwar El Ghazi7%
Ollie Tanner6%
Cian Ashford3%
Dimitris Goutas3%
Perry Ng3%
Callum O'Dowda2%
Ethan Horvath0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Jamilu Collins0%
Joe Ralls0%
Calum Chambers0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Wilfried Kanga0%
Chris Willock0%
Manolis Siopis0%
Jesper Daland0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
Malachi Walcott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Will Alves0%
Michael Reindorf0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Luey Giles0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Watford's squad is €59m more valuable than Cardiff's (€88m vs €29m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Watford's attack is €12m more valuable than Cardiff's (€28m vs €15m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Watford's midfield is €35m more valuable than Cardiff's (€38m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Watford's defence is €12m more valuable than Cardiff's (€22m vs €10m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
WAT wins
1
Draws
3
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Cardiff · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/24HWAT Vs Cardiff0-1
07/10/23ACardiff Vs WAT1-1
19/04/23HWAT Vs Cardiff1-3
02/11/22ACardiff Vs WAT1-2
13/03/21ACardiff Vs WAT1-2
05/12/20HWAT Vs Cardiff0-1

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/24HWAT Vs Portsmouth2-1
21/12/24ABurnley Vs WAT2-1
15/12/24HWAT Vs West Brom2-1
11/12/24AHull Vs WAT1-1
30/11/24HWAT Vs QPR0-0
26/11/24HWAT Vs Bristol City1-0
22/11/24APlymouth Vs WAT2-2
08/11/24HWAT Vs Oxford1-0
05/11/24ASwansea Vs WAT1-0
02/11/24ASheffield Weds Vs WAT2-6

CardiffCardiff

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/24AOxford Vs CAR3-2
21/12/24HCAR Vs Sheffield United0-2
14/12/24AStoke Vs CAR2-2
11/12/24HCAR Vs Preston0-2
30/11/24ACoventry Vs CAR2-2
27/11/24HCAR Vs QPR0-2
23/11/24ASheffield Weds Vs CAR1-1
09/11/24HCAR Vs Blackburn1-3
06/11/24ALuton Vs CAR1-0
02/11/24HCAR Vs Norwich2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLW1.42
HomeWWDWW1.79
AwayWLDDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals2.742.253.19
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %58%50%65%
Over 3.5 %26%12%38%
Scored1.421.381.46
Conceded1.320.881.73
BTTS60%54%65%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Corners10.6610.3610.92
Cards4.474.824.16
Cardiff
Cardiff
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.06
HomeWLLLL1.12
AwayLDDDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.802.692.92
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %30%23%38%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.781.651.92
BTTS46%35%58%
Clean Sheet20%23%17%
Corners9.318.969.67
Cards3.753.384.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches