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Watford vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 01/11/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Watford
Watford
Vs
34%
29%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: J Busby

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✓ Hit
33.6%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.62
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.34
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.62
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D01L01L21W22D21W01L21W13LA·SWA23/08H·SOU30/08H·BLA13/09A·MIL22/09H·HUL27/09A·POR01/10H·OXF04/10A·SHE18/10H·WES22/10A·COV25/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.271.121.190.711.36
vs Stronger (2)1.003.000.004.002.002.00
vs Similar (28)0.931.141.201.000.621.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W22D21W11D00D01L21W10W11DA·NOR23/08H·SHE30/08A·PRE13/09H·WES19/09A·SOU27/09H·STO30/09A·POR04/10H·IPS17/10A·SHE22/10H·WRE25/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.071.071.001.131.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.091.001.000.751.181.27
vs Weaker (7)1.141.291.332.001.000.75
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.02-0.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.76+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.3%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
Watford goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
09.3%9.1%6.8%2.9%1.0%
18.5%14%8.3%3.6%1.2%
26.0%7.8%5.1%2.2%0.7%
32.5%3.2%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Watford is 0.43 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Watford is 0.34 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.49).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Watford is 0.41 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Watford is 8.2 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (51% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 4.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

120754537933366475745271291012612111299A·COVH·WESA·SHEH·OXFA·PORH·HULA·MILH·BLAH·SOUA·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

80332134521511225536217761378A·COVH·WESA·SHEH·OXFA·PORH·HULA·MILH·BLAH·SOUA·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.3

⚠️ Fouls

280810128856915971691112141412171118201315242320262628A·COVH·WESA·SHEH·OXFA·PORH·HULA·MILH·BLAH·SOUA·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 4.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

14044565982583623435935811141013957148H·WREA·SHEH·IPSA·PORH·STOA·SOUH·WESA·PREH·SHEA·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

805133112262313315443280434H·WREA·SHEH·IPSA·PORH·STOA·SOUH·WESA·PREH·SHEA·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 11.2 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

28081748121461385171137713513141125122619132810201825H·WREA·SHEH·IPSA·PORH·STOA·SOUH·WESA·PREH·SHEA·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.39.54.54.44.622.321.822.7
vs Stronger (3)12.714.012.03.00.04.522.718.025.0
vs Similar (47)9.710.19.34.64.64.622.222.022.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%56%50%62%64%60%59%56%62%
% under line47%44%50%38%36%40%41%44%38%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.910.13.53.03.921.220.422.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (36)9.89.99.63.73.44.121.620.323.1
vs Weaker (14)10.69.811.32.92.13.620.120.819.4
% over line55%48%62%50%42%58%51%48%54%
% under line45%52%38%50%58%42%49%52%46%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.3
Sheffield Weds
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Ipswich
10.5
Oxford
10.3
Millwall
10.2
Stoke
10.1
QPR
10.1
Sheffield United
10.1
Norwich
10.1
Hull
10.0
Watford
10.0
Leicester
10.0
Southampton
10.0
Middlesbrough
9.9
West Brom
9.9
Blackburn
9.8
Derby
9.7
Bristol City
9.5
Wrexham
9.5
Preston
9.3
Charlton
9.2
Birmingham
9.0
Swansea
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.6
Portsmouth
4.2
Southampton
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Birmingham
3.9
QPR
3.9
Stoke
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Leicester
3.7
Sheffield United
3.7
Blackburn
3.7
Charlton
3.7
Preston
3.7
Derby
3.6
Swansea
3.6
Coventry
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Oxford
3.6
West Brom
3.6
Hull
3.5
Bristol City
3.5
Sheffield Weds
3.4
Wrexham
3.3
Millwall
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Birmingham
24.1
Millwall
23.9
Blackburn
23.8
Southampton
23.8
Swansea
23.5
Portsmouth
23.3
Sheffield Weds
23.2
Charlton
23.1
QPR
22.9
Ipswich
22.8
Watford
22.7
Sheffield United
22.6
Preston
22.4
Norwich
22.4
Hull
21.6
Leicester
21.6
West Brom
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Oxford
21.2
Derby
21.0
Stoke
20.8
Coventry
20.7
Bristol City
20.4
Wrexham
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.6%
Under 9.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.5%
Under 3.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
36.3%
Under 21.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D01L01L01L21W00D11D03LA·SWA23/08H·SOU30/08H·BLA13/09A·MIL22/09H·HUL27/09A·POR01/10H·OXF04/10A·SHE18/10H·WES22/10A·COV25/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.690.810.210.71
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.680.730.670.150.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L10W00D00D01L10W10W01LA·NOR23/08H·SHE30/08A·PRE13/09H·WES19/09A·SOU27/09H·STO30/09A·POR04/10H·IPS17/10A·SHE22/10H·WRE25/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.330.530.600.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.390.430.330.420.450.45
vs Weaker (7)0.710.570.331.001.000.25
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W01L00D20W21W00D01L10W10WA·SWA23/08H·SOU30/08H·BLA13/09A·MIL22/09H·HUL27/09A·POR01/10H·OXF04/10A·SHE18/10H·WES22/10A·COV25/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.440.380.500.64
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.460.470.330.460.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W21W11D11D00D00D11D00D10WA·NOR23/08H·SHE30/08A·PRE13/09H·WES19/09A·SOU27/09H·STO30/09A·POR04/10H·IPS17/10A·SHE22/10H·WRE25/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.730.470.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.700.570.670.330.730.82
vs Weaker (7)0.430.711.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls88.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards81.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls78.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Grieves20%
Rocco Vata17%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard16%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Vivaldo14%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Edoardo Bove9%
Edo Kayembe8%
Tom Ince7%
Kwadwo Baah7%
Jeremy Ngakia6%
Marc Bola5%
James Abankwah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Giorgi Chakvetadze0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Amin Nabizada0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Morris33%
Hector Kyprianou31%
Pierre Ekwah29%
Nestory Irankunda29%
Imrân Louza25%
Stephen Mfuni25%
Ryan Andrews25%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Matthew Pollock19%
James Abankwah19%
Edoardo Bove18%
Jeremy Petris17%
Formose Mendy17%
Saba Goglichidze17%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Kwadwo Baah14%
Edo Kayembe13%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Max Alleyne12%
Kévin Keben Biakolo10%
Nampalys Mendy8%
Egil Selvik7%
Vivaldo7%
Marc Bola5%
Othmane Maamma4%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Tom Ince0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Rocco Vata0%
Jack Grieves0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Rocco Vata17%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Giorgi Chakvetadze10%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Marc Bola8%
Vivaldo7%
Kévin Keben Biakolo6%
Othmane Maamma4%
Hector Kyprianou4%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Edo Kayembe3%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Tom Ince0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rocco Vata33%
Amin Nabizada33%
Nestory Irankunda21%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard14%
Vivaldo11%
Edo Kayembe11%
Tom Ince7%
Mamadou Doumbia6%
Marc Bola5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morgan Whittaker27%
David Strelec23%
Tommy Conway22%
Riley McGree21%
Hayden Hackney15%
Alan Browne10%
Leo Castledine9%
Dael Fry9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
Matt Targett7%
Sontje Hansen5%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
Luke Ayling2%
Neto Borges0%
Callum Brittain0%
George Edmundson0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Aidan Morris0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alexander Gilbert27%
Adilson Malanda20%
Abdoulaye Kanté20%
Luke Ayling19%
Callum Brittain16%
Riley McGree14%
George Edmundson14%
Tommy Conway14%
Alfie Jones13%
Samuel Silvera13%
Matt Targett11%
Hayden Hackney10%
Sverre Nypan10%
Morgan Whittaker9%
Aidan Morris9%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Mamadou Kaly Sene7%
David Strelec6%
Sontje Hansen5%
Jeremy Sarmiento5%
Alan Browne5%
Dael Fry3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
Alex Bangura0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Whittaker16%
Hayden Hackney15%
Callum Brittain11%
Riley McGree11%
Luke Ayling10%
Tommy Conway10%
Matt Targett9%
Samuel Silvera9%
Alex Bangura8%
Delano Burgzorg7%
Alan Browne7%
Aidan Morris7%
Alexander Gilbert5%
Alfie Jones4%
David Strelec3%
Solomon Brynn2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Dael Fry0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Leo Castledine0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Morgan Whittaker31%
Leo Castledine18%
Hayden Hackney12%
Riley McGree11%
Alan Browne10%
David Strelec9%
Aidan Morris7%
Tommy Conway6%
Delano Burgzorg4%
Dael Fry3%
Callum Brittain2%
Matt Targett2%
Neto Borges0%
George Edmundson0%
Alfie Jones0%
Luke Ayling0%
Alex Bangura0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
Samuel Silvera0%
Sontje Hansen0%
Adilson Malanda0%
Solomon Brynn0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Alexander Gilbert0%
Micah Hamilton0%
Finley Munroe0%
Sverre Nypan0%
Abdoulaye Kanté0%
Cruz Ibeh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Watford's squad is €54m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€88m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Watford's attack is €46m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€28m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Watford's midfield is €12m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€38m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Watford's defence is €19m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€22m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
WAT wins
1
Draws
3
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Middlesbrough · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT0-1
05/10/24HWAT Vs Middlesbrough2-1
04/05/24AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT3-1
30/09/23HWAT Vs Middlesbrough2-3
28/01/23AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT2-0
30/08/22HWAT Vs Middlesbrough2-1
05/04/21AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT1-1
11/09/20HWAT Vs Middlesbrough1-0

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25ACoventry Vs WAT3-1
22/10/25HWAT Vs West Brom2-1
18/10/25ASheffield United Vs WAT1-0
04/10/25HWAT Vs Oxford2-1
01/10/25APortsmouth Vs WAT2-2
27/09/25HWAT Vs Hull2-1
22/09/25AMillwall Vs WAT1-0
13/09/25HWAT Vs Blackburn0-1
30/08/25HWAT Vs Southampton2-2
23/08/25ASwansea Vs WAT1-1

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/25HMID Vs Wrexham1-1
22/10/25ASheffield Weds Vs MID0-1
17/10/25HMID Vs Ipswich2-1
04/10/25APortsmouth Vs MID1-0
30/09/25HMID Vs Stoke0-0
27/09/25ASouthampton Vs MID1-1
19/09/25HMID Vs West Brom2-1
13/09/25APreston Vs MID2-2
30/08/25HMID Vs Sheffield United1-0
23/08/25ANorwich Vs MID1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.12
HomeDLWWW1.60
AwayDLDLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%48%12%
AVG goals2.422.202.64
Over 1.5 %66%64%68%
Over 2.5 %54%56%52%
Over 3.5 %18%8%28%
Scored1.101.121.08
Conceded1.321.081.56
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners9.9010.289.50
Cards4.594.404.79
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.50
HomeWWDWD1.73
AwayWDDLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%33%
AVG goals2.602.233.00
Over 1.5 %64%54%75%
Over 2.5 %50%42%58%
Over 3.5 %26%19%33%
Scored1.401.231.58
Conceded1.201.001.42
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners10.009.9210.08
Cards3.533.163.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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