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Watford vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 17/08/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Watford
Watford
Vs
37%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: T Nield

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✓ Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.67
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.24
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.70
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D22D00D00D23L00D10W13L32W50WH·LEE29/03A·WES01/04H·PRE06/04A·IPS10/04A·SOU13/04H·HUL20/04H·SUN27/04A·MID04/05A·MIL10/08H·MIL13/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.141.291.691.44
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.331.330.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.521.481.091.271.861.64
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D22D03L11D30W10W40W10W20WA·HUL29/03H·HUD01/04H·WES06/04A·SWA10/04A·SHE13/04H·PLY20/04A·SOU27/04H·BRI04/05H·COV10/08A·CAR13/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.171.071.071.201.27
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.330.330.502.00
vs Similar (23)1.261.301.251.251.271.36
vs Weaker (2)1.500.00--1.500.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.6%
@ 2.05-0.8%
Under 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.77+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.0%
Watford goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
09.5%8.6%6.0%2.4%0.7%
19.3%14%7.7%3.1%0.9%
26.9%8.3%5.0%2.0%0.6%
33.0%3.6%2.2%0.9%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Watford is 0.13 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Watford is 0.17 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 0.98).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Watford is 0.02 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Watford is 6.0 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (53% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

13055333315364375378567106669712101313A·MILA·MIDH·SUNH·HULA·SOUA·IPSH·PREA·WESH·LEEA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

8032112144311221135238433103A·MILA·MIDH·SUNH·HULA·SOUA·IPSH·PREA·WESH·LEEA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 9.6 · Total 22.3

⚠️ Fouls

32015115911919131561613613136155121126142032212919192023A·MILA·MIDH·SUNH·HULA·SOUA·IPSH·PREA·WESH·LEEA·BIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 5.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

16097567873186257675876161115109812131313H·COVH·BRIA·SOUH·PLYA·SHEA·SWAH·WESH·HUDA·HULH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

7021123441332231413037564441H·COVH·BRIA·SOUH·PLYA·SHEA·SWAH·WESH·HUDA·HULH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 8.7 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

310791151441411209161588141313612716161825293116271919H·COVH·BRIA·SOUH·PLYA·SHEA·SWAH·WESH·HUDA·HULH·NOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.19.94.24.14.223.623.623.5
vs Stronger (7)9.19.78.84.13.05.025.122.727.0
vs Similar (41)10.110.210.04.24.34.223.323.822.8
vs Weaker (2)11.09.013.03.03.03.023.523.024.0
% over line55%54%56%56%52%60%65%67%64%
% under line45%46%44%44%48%40%35%33%36%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.711.34.14.33.922.322.222.3
vs Stronger (9)10.110.89.24.04.63.223.622.824.5
vs Similar (38)11.310.611.94.14.04.221.922.121.8
vs Weaker (3)10.512.09.04.79.02.523.022.024.0
% over line51%48%54%66%68%64%57%60%54%
% under line49%52%46%34%32%36%43%40%46%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
12.4
Coventry
11.8
Derby
11.3
Blackburn
11.3
Middlesbrough
11.1
QPR
11.0
Stoke
11.0
Luton
10.9
West Brom
10.8
Leeds
10.7
Sheffield United
10.6
Sheffield Weds
10.5
Burnley
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Hull
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Sunderland
10.4
Swansea
10.3
Millwall
10.1
Watford
9.9
Portsmouth
9.9
Cardiff
9.6
Preston
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Portsmouth
4.8
Sunderland
4.8
Sheffield Weds
4.3
Watford
4.3
QPR
4.3
Oxford
4.2
Coventry
4.2
Leeds
4.2
Stoke
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Hull
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Plymouth
3.9
Sheffield United
3.8
Luton
3.8
Middlesbrough
3.8
Derby
3.6
Preston
3.5
Cardiff
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Bristol City
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Portsmouth
24.8
Luton
23.7
Watford
23.6
Sunderland
23.2
Coventry
22.8
Leeds
22.7
Hull
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Swansea
22.5
QPR
22.4
Preston
22.3
Millwall
22.2
Stoke
22.0
Plymouth
22.0
Middlesbrough
21.5
Oxford
21.5
Derby
21.4
Burnley
21.2
Norwich
21.1
Bristol City
20.3
Sheffield United
20.1
Cardiff
19.7
Blackburn
19.6
West Brom
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.5%
Under 9.5
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.6%
Under 3.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.1%
Under 21.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D00D12L00D00D01L10W20WH·LEE29/03A·WES01/04H·PRE06/04A·IPS10/04A·SOU13/04H·HUL20/04H·SUN27/04A·MID04/05A·MIL10/08H·MIL13/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.500.640.560.81
vs Stronger (4)0.750.501.000.670.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.800.360.640.640.93
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L01L00D20W10W30W00D00DA·HUL29/03H·HUD01/04H·WES06/04A·SWA10/04A·SHE13/04H·PLY20/04A·SOU27/04H·BRI04/05H·COV10/08A·CAR13/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.470.470.600.73
vs Stronger (5)0.000.400.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.650.700.580.580.730.82
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L22D00D00D11D00D10W12L22D30WH·LEE29/03A·WES01/04H·PRE06/04A·IPS10/04A·SOU13/04H·HUL20/04H·SUN27/04A·MID04/05A·MIL10/08H·MIL13/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.630.640.641.120.62
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.330.670.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.000.680.730.641.210.71
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W21W02L11D10W00D10W10W20WA·HUL29/03H·HUD01/04H·WES06/04A·SWA10/04A·SHE13/04H·PLY20/04A·SOU27/04H·BRI04/05H·COV10/08A·CAR13/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.600.600.600.53
vs Stronger (5)0.400.600.330.330.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.610.610.670.670.550.55
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls80.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners77.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mileta Rajović40%
Kwadwo Baah16%
Edo Kayembe15%
Moussa Sissoko15%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo14%
Tom Dele-Bashiru13%
Rocco Vata11%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Thomas Ince8%
Ryan Porteous8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Matthew Pollock6%
Imrân Louza5%
Festy Ebosele5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze5%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mileta Rajović40%
Festy Ebosele37%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Imrân Louza30%
Francisco Sierralta29%
Ryan Porteous28%
Edo Kayembe24%
James Morris19%
Jeremy Ngakia17%
Matthew Pollock17%
Kwadwo Baah16%
James Abankwah16%
Daniel Jebbison15%
Giorgi Chakvetadze15%
Moussa Sissoko12%
Egil Selvik12%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo12%
Pierre Dwomoh9%
Mamadou Doumbia9%
Ryan Andrews7%
Yasser Larouci7%
Daniel Bachmann5%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Thomas Ince3%
Ken Sema0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Rocco Vata0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Tikvić33%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Imrân Louza14%
Caleb Wiley10%
Kwadwo Baah10%
Yasser Larouci10%
Matthew Pollock9%
Rocco Vata8%
Ryan Andrews7%
Ken Sema6%
Thomas Ince6%
Festy Ebosele5%
Ryan Porteous4%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Edo Kayembe2%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mileta Rajović20%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo19%
Giorgi Chakvetadze17%
Edo Kayembe13%
Rocco Vata11%
Tom Dele-Bashiru3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Thomas Ince3%
Imrân Louza3%
Moussa Sissoko2%
Ryan Andrews2%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Jonathan Bond0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Egil Selvik0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Yasser Larouci0%
Festy Ebosele0%
Pierre Dwomoh0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
James Abankwah0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Zavier Massiah-Edwards0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Cannon32%
Lewis Baker27%
Ryan Mmaee25%
Million Manhoef16%
Ali Al-Hamadi13%
Ben Gibson12%
Emre Tezgel12%
Andrew Moran10%
Lewis Koumas10%
Nathan Lowe10%
Sam Gallagher9%
Niall Ennis8%
Ben Wilmot7%
Jun-Ho Bae6%
Michael Rose4%
Ashley Phillips3%
Wouter Burger2%
Junior Tchamadeu2%
André Vidigal0%
Enda Stevens0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Laurent75%
Ben Pearson36%
Jordan Thompson31%
Ben Gibson28%
Junior Tchamadeu27%
Andrew Moran26%
Wouter Burger24%
Sam Gallagher23%
Ben Wilmot21%
Nathan Lowe20%
Lewis Baker18%
Ashley Phillips15%
Enda Stevens14%
Ali Al-Hamadi13%
Lynden Gooch13%
Jun-Ho Bae12%
Michael Rose12%
Thomas Cannon12%
Viktor Johansson10%
Lewis Koumas10%
Emre Tezgel6%
Million Manhoef5%
Tatsuki Seko4%
Eric Bocat3%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Niall Ennis0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Wilson-Esbrand29%
Souleymane Sidibe15%
Lewis Baker14%
Million Manhoef13%
Andrew Moran10%
Enda Stevens10%
Lynden Gooch9%
Jun-Ho Bae8%
Lewis Koumas6%
Eric Bocat6%
Sam Gallagher5%
Wouter Burger4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Thomas Cannon4%
Jordan Thompson4%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Niall Ennis0%
Ben Gibson0%
Ben Pearson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Michael Rose0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Ali Al-Hamadi0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Cannon36%
Lewis Baker14%
Million Manhoef11%
Lewis Koumas10%
Sam Gallagher9%
Niall Ennis8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Andrew Moran5%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Ben Gibson0%
Enda Stevens0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Wouter Burger0%
Michael Rose0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Watford's squad is €10m more valuable than Stoke's (€88m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Watford's attack is €8m less valuable than Stoke's (€28m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Watford's midfield is €27m more valuable than Stoke's (€38m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Watford's defence is €10m less valuable than Stoke's (€22m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
WAT wins
1
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Stoke · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/23HWAT Vs Stoke1-1
19/08/23AStoke Vs WAT1-0
08/05/23HWAT Vs Stoke2-0
02/10/22AStoke Vs WAT0-4
22/01/21AStoke Vs WAT1-2
04/11/20HWAT Vs Stoke3-2

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/24HWAT Vs Milton Keynes Dons5-0
10/08/24AMillwall Vs WAT2-3
04/05/24AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT3-1
27/04/24HWAT Vs Sunderland1-0
20/04/24HWAT Vs Hull0-0
13/04/24ASouthampton Vs WAT3-2
10/04/24AIpswich Vs WAT0-0
06/04/24HWAT Vs Preston0-0
01/04/24AWest Brom Vs WAT2-2
29/03/24HWAT Vs Leeds2-2

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/24ACarlisle Vs STK0-2
10/08/24HSTK Vs Coventry1-0
04/05/24HSTK Vs Bristol City4-0
27/04/24ASouthampton Vs STK0-1
20/04/24HSTK Vs Plymouth3-0
13/04/24ASheffield Weds Vs STK1-1
10/04/24ASwansea Vs STK3-0
06/04/24HSTK Vs West Brom2-2
01/04/24HSTK Vs Huddersfield1-1
29/03/24AHull Vs STK0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.32
HomeDDDWW1.32
AwayDDLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.762.682.84
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.461.561.36
Conceded1.301.121.48
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners10.0010.089.92
Cards4.244.254.24
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.24
HomeDDWWW1.32
AwayWLDWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.302.122.48
Over 1.5 %66%56%76%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.041.001.08
Conceded1.261.121.40
BTTS38%28%48%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners11.0210.7211.33
Cards4.204.324.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeedsLeeds46100
63%
2.2
9530+65
2.7
78%
46%
28%
10.1
59%
3.4
39%
22.5
61%
427
166981632.10.7
62%
2BurnleyBurnley46100
61%
2.2
6916+53
1.8
54%
33%
15%
9.1
43%
3.9
59%
23.4
63%
115
708371.50.3
57%
3Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4692
61%
2.0
6336+27
2.2
70%
35%
13%
10.6
63%
4.1
59%
22.4
57%
110
2932491.40.8
51%
4SunderlandSunderland4676
46%
1.7
5844+14
2.2
61%
43%
22%
9.7
46%
4.5
67%
23.5
65%
392
1571101251.31.0
49%
5CoventryCoventry4669
43%
1.5
6458+6
2.7
80%
52%
24%
11.6
70%
3.7
48%
21.3
43%
237
8552991.41.3
55%
6Bristol CityBristol City4668
37%
1.5
5955+4
2.5
80%
46%
20%
9.6
46%
3.7
54%
21.3
52%
66
2919181.31.2
51%
7BlackburnBlackburn4666
41%
1.4
5348+5
2.2
65%
39%
13%
9.9
61%
4.0
52%
24.1
72%
36
157141.21.0
49%
8MillwallMillwall4666
39%
1.4
4749-2
2.1
50%
30%
20%
10.3
63%
3.0
41%
24.6
72%
85
3029251.01.1
42%
9West BromWest Brom4664
33%
1.4
5747+10
2.3
72%
37%
17%
10.3
52%
3.8
52%
21.7
57%
52
1522151.21.0
54%
10MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4664
39%
1.4
6456+8
2.6
65%
46%
26%
10.1
59%
3.7
52%
21.5
57%
142
7427411.41.2
56%
11SwanseaSwansea4661
37%
1.3
5156-5
2.3
59%
46%
17%
9.5
43%
3.6
59%
23.6
65%
91
569261.11.2
58%
12Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4658
33%
1.3
6069-9
2.8
83%
52%
28%
11.1
67%
3.8
43%
23.8
67%
21
7681.31.5
48%
13NorwichNorwich4657
30%
1.2
7168+3
3.0
80%
52%
33%
10.0
54%
4.0
59%
22.7
57%
107
4631291.51.5
58%
14WatfordWatford4657
35%
1.2
5361-8
2.5
70%
57%
15%
10.2
57%
4.6
67%
23.1
63%
88
2838221.21.3
53%
15QPRQPR4656
30%
1.2
5363-10
2.5
83%
52%
22%
10.7
54%
3.8
54%
23.1
63%
71
2915271.21.4
47%
16PortsmouthPortsmouth4654
30%
1.2
5871-13
2.8
74%
61%
28%
11.1
63%
4.2
67%
24.0
63%
32
135141.31.5
45%
17OxfordOxford4653
28%
1.2
4965-16
2.5
72%
37%
24%
10.3
52%
3.7
54%
21.1
43%
20
6681.11.4
43%
18StokeStoke4651
26%
1.1
4562-17
2.3
70%
37%
24%
10.2
52%
4.0
65%
21.3
50%
79
3511321.01.3
47%
19DerbyDerby4650
28%
1.1
4856-8
2.3
65%
39%
17%
10.2
54%
3.4
46%
21.3
50%
57
2514181.01.2
43%
20PrestonPreston4650
22%
1.1
4859-11
2.3
74%
48%
22%
9.5
50%
4.0
59%
24.3
76%
43
173221.01.3
48%
21HullHull4649
26%
1.1
4454-10
2.1
65%
30%
13%
10.4
63%
3.5
46%
22.3
52%
105
2231521.01.2
50%
22LutonLuton4649
28%
1.1
4569-24
2.5
65%
43%
22%
10.8
65%
4.1
59%
24.3
72%
29
134121.01.5
45%
23PlymouthPlymouth4646
24%
1.0
5188-37
3.0
83%
61%
35%
9.5
41%
3.5
48%
23.0
67%
13
4361.11.9
42%
24CardiffCardiff4644
20%
1.0
4873-25
2.6
83%
43%
24%
9.7
48%
3.7
50%
22.9
65%
29
154101.01.6
47%
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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