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Watford vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 20/12/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Watford
Watford
Vs
47%
28%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: B Toner

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✓ Hit
46.6%
Avg Implied 46.6% · @ 2.02
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.39
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
25.3%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.67
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L30W11D11D32W11D12L32W11D22DA·COV25/10H·MID01/11A·IPS04/11H·BRI07/11A·DER22/11H·PRE25/11A·BIR01/12H·NOR06/12H·SHE09/12A·WRE13/12
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.441.061.001.64
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)1.241.341.441.061.001.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W51W30W01L12L30W12L04L01L21WA·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11H·HUL29/11A·SHE06/12A·IPS10/12H·SWA13/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.101.330.930.871.27
vs Stronger (4)0.252.000.500.500.003.50
vs Similar (25)1.281.001.581.081.000.92
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.2%
Under 1.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.9%
@ 2.03+1.8%
Under 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.73-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0 ✓
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
Watford goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
08.7%6.8%4.3%1.5%0.4%
110%13%6.5%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.3%4.9%1.8%0.5%
34.4%4.7%2.5%0.9%0.2%
41.7%1.8%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Watford is 0.04 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Watford is 0.04 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Watford is 0.20 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Watford is 0.7 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 4.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

120177465666239645217758111112812107812A·WREH·SHEH·NORA·BIRH·PREA·DERH·BRIA·IPSH·MIDA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

90631112232412212121339235633336A·WREH·SHEH·NORA·BIRH·PREA·DERH·BRIA·IPSH·MIDA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 8.0 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

26091014412510111110158109142151181019181721212319162618A·WREH·SHEH·NORA·BIRH·PREA·DERH·BRIA·IPSH·MIDA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 5.5 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

1706743797851036710410261371615510917148H·SWAA·IPSA·SHEH·HULH·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

8034112124112633313327236286435H·SWAA·IPSA·SHEH·HULH·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

3001614111113812151313111699136131015830222127262718192323H·SWAA·IPSA·SHEH·HULH·CHAA·LEIH·COVA·OXFH·BRIA·POR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.09.34.33.94.721.720.922.5
vs Stronger (3)10.314.08.53.00.04.522.018.024.0
vs Similar (47)9.69.89.34.44.14.721.621.022.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%58%48%54%50%58%53%46%61%
% under line47%42%52%46%50%42%47%54%39%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.710.03.93.93.921.823.520.0
vs Stronger (8)9.710.88.33.24.81.818.418.818.0
vs Similar (41)9.89.510.24.03.84.322.424.620.3
vs Weaker (1)10.010.0-3.03.0-21.021.0-
% over line54%54%54%54%56%52%50%67%33%
% under line46%46%46%46%44%48%50%33%67%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.1
Sheffield Weds
10.9
Oxford
10.7
Norwich
10.5
Portsmouth
10.5
Sheffield United
10.4
Millwall
10.2
Hull
10.1
Leicester
10.0
QPR
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
Southampton
10.0
Derby
9.9
Ipswich
9.9
Stoke
9.9
Preston
9.7
West Brom
9.7
Watford
9.6
Wrexham
9.6
Bristol City
9.5
Birmingham
9.4
Swansea
9.3
Charlton
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.2
Stoke
4.1
Ipswich
4.0
QPR
3.8
Norwich
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Swansea
3.7
Southampton
3.7
Preston
3.6
Blackburn
3.6
Sheffield United
3.5
Charlton
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Derby
3.5
Middlesbrough
3.5
Hull
3.5
Leicester
3.4
Wrexham
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Oxford
3.3
Bristol City
3.3
Sheffield Weds
3.3
Millwall
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Blackburn
23.7
Southampton
23.5
Birmingham
23.3
Millwall
23.0
Swansea
22.9
Portsmouth
22.8
Charlton
22.6
QPR
22.6
Middlesbrough
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.4
Ipswich
22.4
Norwich
22.2
Sheffield United
22.2
Stoke
21.7
Hull
21.7
Watford
21.7
Leicester
21.4
Preston
21.4
West Brom
21.2
Derby
21.1
Oxford
21.1
Coventry
20.7
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.1%
Under 21.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L20W11D11D01L11D02L12L01L21WA·COV25/10H·MID01/11A·IPS04/11H·BRI07/11A·DER22/11H·PRE25/11A·BIR01/12H·NOR06/12H·SHE09/12A·WRE13/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.750.880.291.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.520.930.750.880.231.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W20W00D02L30W10W03L01L10WA·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11H·HUL29/11A·SHE06/12A·IPS10/12H·SWA13/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.730.330.200.93
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.500.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.520.520.830.420.230.62
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D00D31W00D10W20W10W01LA·COV25/10H·MID01/11A·IPS04/11H·BRI07/11A·DER22/11H·PRE25/11A·BIR01/12H·NOR06/12H·SHE09/12A·WRE13/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.690.190.710.64
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.720.410.690.190.770.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W10W01L10W00D02L01L00D11DA·POR25/10H·BRI01/11A·OXF04/11H·COV08/11A·LEI22/11H·CHA25/11H·HUL29/11A·SHE06/12A·IPS10/12H·SWA13/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.600.600.670.33
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.500.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.760.480.750.670.770.31
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls74.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Grieves20%
Rocco Vata17%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard16%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Vivaldo14%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Edoardo Bove9%
Edo Kayembe8%
Tom Ince7%
Kwadwo Baah7%
Jeremy Ngakia6%
Marc Bola5%
James Abankwah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Giorgi Chakvetadze0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Amin Nabizada0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Morris33%
Hector Kyprianou31%
Pierre Ekwah29%
Nestory Irankunda29%
Imrân Louza25%
Stephen Mfuni25%
Ryan Andrews25%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Matthew Pollock19%
James Abankwah19%
Edoardo Bove18%
Jeremy Petris17%
Formose Mendy17%
Saba Goglichidze17%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Kwadwo Baah14%
Edo Kayembe13%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Max Alleyne12%
Kévin Keben Biakolo10%
Nampalys Mendy8%
Egil Selvik7%
Vivaldo7%
Marc Bola5%
Othmane Maamma4%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Tom Ince0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Rocco Vata0%
Jack Grieves0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Rocco Vata17%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Giorgi Chakvetadze10%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Marc Bola8%
Vivaldo7%
Kévin Keben Biakolo6%
Othmane Maamma4%
Hector Kyprianou4%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Edo Kayembe3%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Tom Ince0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rocco Vata33%
Amin Nabizada33%
Nestory Irankunda21%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard14%
Vivaldo11%
Edo Kayembe11%
Tom Ince7%
Mamadou Doumbia6%
Marc Bola5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven​ N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven​ N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven​ N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Watford's squad is €10m more valuable than Stoke's (€88m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Watford's attack is €8m less valuable than Stoke's (€28m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Watford's midfield is €27m more valuable than Stoke's (€38m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Watford's defence is €10m less valuable than Stoke's (€22m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
WAT wins
2
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Stoke · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/25AStoke Vs WAT0-0
17/08/24HWAT Vs Stoke3-0
29/12/23HWAT Vs Stoke1-1
19/08/23AStoke Vs WAT1-0
08/05/23HWAT Vs Stoke2-0
02/10/22AStoke Vs WAT0-4
22/01/21AStoke Vs WAT1-2
04/11/20HWAT Vs Stoke3-2

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25AWrexham Vs WAT2-2
09/12/25HWAT Vs Sheffield Weds1-1
06/12/25HWAT Vs Norwich3-2
01/12/25ABirmingham Vs WAT2-1
25/11/25HWAT Vs Preston1-1
22/11/25ADerby Vs WAT2-3
07/11/25HWAT Vs Bristol City1-1
04/11/25AIpswich Vs WAT1-1
01/11/25HWAT Vs Middlesbrough3-0
25/10/25ACoventry Vs WAT3-1

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25HSTK Vs Swansea2-1
10/12/25AIpswich Vs STK1-0
06/12/25ASheffield United Vs STK4-0
29/11/25HSTK Vs Hull1-2
25/11/25HSTK Vs Charlton3-0
22/11/25ALeicester Vs STK2-1
08/11/25HSTK Vs Coventry0-1
04/11/25AOxford Vs STK0-3
01/11/25HSTK Vs Bristol City5-1
25/10/25APortsmouth Vs STK0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDD1.10
HomeWDDWD1.50
AwayLDWLD0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%42%12%
AVG goals2.562.542.58
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %20%12%29%
Scored1.161.311.00
Conceded1.401.231.58
BTTS68%69%67%
Clean Sheet16%19%12%
Corners9.6510.009.26
Cards4.393.924.91
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.30
HomeWLWLW1.60
AwayWWLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.302.242.36
Over 1.5 %64%60%68%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.081.280.88
Conceded1.220.961.48
BTTS40%40%40%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners9.839.719.96
Cards4.064.044.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CoventryCoventry4695
61%
2.1
9745+52
3.1
83%
63%
37%
9.6
41%
3.7
48%
20.8
43%
237
8552992.11.0
55%
2IpswichIpswich4684
50%
1.8
8047+33
2.8
85%
52%
26%
9.6
39%
4.4
63%
24.5
72%
280
13066851.71.0
56%
3MillwallMillwall4884
50%
1.8
6451+13
2.4
79%
46%
21%
11.1
56%
3.6
46%
21.0
35%
85
3029251.31.1
48%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4882
46%
1.7
8357+26
2.9
85%
60%
33%
10.7
62%
4.1
62%
22.8
58%
205
7253791.71.2
56%
5MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4982
45%
1.7
7349+24
2.5
67%
51%
29%
11.0
57%
3.8
55%
21.8
49%
142
7427411.51.0
59%
6HullHull4980
47%
1.6
7366+7
2.8
76%
61%
35%
10.3
61%
4.2
59%
21.2
41%
105
2231521.51.3
45%
7WrexhamWrexham4671
41%
1.5
6965+4
2.9
83%
50%
33%
9.9
50%
3.4
50%
19.2
30%
77
1523391.51.4
48%
8DerbyDerby4669
43%
1.5
6759+8
2.7
76%
52%
24%
10.0
48%
4.2
57%
22.9
61%
57
2514181.51.3
44%
9NorwichNorwich4665
41%
1.4
6356+7
2.6
83%
48%
15%
10.3
59%
3.9
59%
21.2
41%
107
4631291.41.2
54%
10BirminghamBirmingham4664
37%
1.4
5756+1
2.5
78%
46%
17%
9.9
50%
3.8
48%
22.1
48%
93
4612351.21.2
54%
11SwanseaSwansea4664
39%
1.4
5759-2
2.5
76%
50%
20%
9.9
50%
4.1
63%
22.7
61%
91
569261.21.3
55%
12Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5959+0
2.6
72%
46%
26%
9.9
52%
3.8
57%
21.3
48%
66
2919181.31.3
49%
13Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4660
39%
1.3
6666+0
2.9
74%
59%
33%
11.7
70%
4.1
57%
21.5
43%
110
2932491.41.4
52%
14PrestonPreston4660
33%
1.3
5562-7
2.5
80%
48%
24%
10.8
59%
3.4
48%
19.9
28%
43
173221.21.3
46%
15QPRQPR4658
35%
1.3
6173-12
2.9
76%
63%
37%
10.0
50%
3.7
57%
20.5
41%
71
2915271.31.6
46%
16WatfordWatford4657
30%
1.2
5365-12
2.6
80%
48%
24%
10.2
57%
4.5
57%
21.2
41%
88
2838221.21.4
51%
17StokeStoke4655
33%
1.2
5156-5
2.3
70%
43%
20%
10.8
59%
4.0
43%
20.3
39%
79
3511321.11.2
52%
18PortsmouthPortsmouth4655
30%
1.2
4964-15
2.5
67%
43%
24%
10.7
65%
4.0
50%
21.8
57%
32
135141.11.4
50%
19West BromWest Brom4653
28%
1.2
4858-10
2.3
67%
46%
17%
9.1
43%
3.4
39%
20.8
41%
52
1522151.01.3
52%
20CharltonCharlton4653
28%
1.2
4458-14
2.2
67%
39%
15%
9.7
48%
3.6
48%
21.6
48%
31
183101.01.3
42%
21LeicesterLeicester4652
26%
1.1
5868-10
2.7
85%
54%
28%
11.1
63%
3.6
41%
21.7
50%
69
2013361.31.5
52%
22BlackburnBlackburn4652
28%
1.1
4256-14
2.1
70%
39%
13%
10.4
59%
3.8
54%
20.7
43%
36
157140.91.2
48%
23OxfordOxford4647
24%
1.0
4559-14
2.3
67%
46%
20%
11.2
70%
3.4
43%
21.6
46%
20
6681.01.3
40%
24Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4618
4%
0.4
2989-60
2.6
80%
52%
24%
10.4
54%
3.0
41%
21.7
50%
21
7680.61.9
45%
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

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