This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.27
1.73
1.40
2.60
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
2.21
1.25
1.91
1.27
2.46
1.23
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.33
1.25
1.75
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.71+1.6%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 2.12-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-2 ✓
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Wehen goals ↓
Fortuna Düsseldorf goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
8.3%
8.5%
5.1%
2.3%
1
4.9%
12%
9.8%
5.9%
2.7%
2
3.4%
6.2%
5.6%
3.4%
1.5%
3
1.3%
2.4%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wehen goals (down), columns = Fortuna Düsseldorf goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Holstein Kiel
2.06
FC St. Pauli
2.03
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83
Hamburger SV
1.72
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Hannover 96
1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
Hertha BSC
1.33
FC Schalke 04
1.31
SV Elversberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
1. FC Nürnberg
1.22
1. FC Magdeburg
1.17
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.11
Hansa Rostock
0.94
Wehen
0.94
SV Wehen
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.86
Wehen is 0.89 points worse than Fortuna Düsseldorf in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.08
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Hertha BSC
1.94
Karlsruher SC
1.94
Holstein Kiel
1.92
Hamburger SV
1.89
FC St. Pauli
1.81
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.53
SV Elversberg
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.14
SV Wehen
1.08
Wehen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.89
Wehen is 1.02 goals worse than Fortuna Düsseldorf in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 2.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC St. Pauli
1.06
Holstein Kiel
1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
Hannover 96
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.25
Karlsruher SC
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
Wehen
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.50
SV Wehen
1.50
Jahn Regensburg
1.50
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
Hansa Rostock
1.64
FC Schalke 04
1.69
Hertha BSC
1.75
SV Elversberg
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg
1.83
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.86
VfL Osnabrück
1.97
Wehen is 0.28 goals worse than Fortuna Düsseldorf in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
61%
FC St. Pauli
57%
Hamburger SV
57%
SC Paderborn 07
54%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
52%
Karlsruher SC
51%
Hannover 96
51%
FC Schalke 04
50%
SV Elversberg
48%
Hertha BSC
47%
SV Wehen
46%
VfL Osnabrück
46%
1. FC Nürnberg
46%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
Hansa Rostock
43%
Eintracht Braunschweig
42%
Jahn Regensburg
32%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
W
Wehen
For 3.8 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fortuna Düsseldorf
For 3.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 8.7 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.7
10.7
4.6
4.3
4.8
23.1
22.9
23.3
vs Stronger (42)
10.7
10.3
11.1
4.4
3.8
4.9
22.3
21.8
22.7
vs Similar (8)
10.6
13.0
8.2
5.6
6.8
4.5
27.2
28.0
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
61%
70%
64%
57%
70%
62%
52%
70%
% under line
34%
39%
30%
36%
43%
30%
38%
48%
30%
This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.3
10.5
2.7
2.7
2.8
21.2
20.0
22.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
10.4
10.3
10.5
2.5
2.0
2.9
21.1
20.4
21.8
vs Weaker (10)
10.6
10.5
10.7
3.7
5.4
2.0
21.3
19.0
24.3
% over line
60%
53%
67%
40%
38%
42%
37%
33%
40%
% under line
40%
47%
33%
60%
62%
58%
63%
67%
60%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Nürnberg
11.5
VfL Osnabrück
11.2
SV Wehen
10.9
Holstein Kiel
10.8
Hamburger SV
10.8
Wehen
10.7
SC Paderborn 07
10.4
Karlsruher SC
10.4
Hansa Rostock
10.4
FC Schalke 04
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Hertha BSC
10.2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
Hannover 96
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
9.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.9
SV Elversberg
9.6
FC St. Pauli
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
5.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.8
SV Wehen
4.7
Hamburger SV
4.6
Wehen
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.5
Holstein Kiel
4.5
Hansa Rostock
4.5
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.4
SV Elversberg
4.4
FC Schalke 04
4.3
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.2
Hannover 96
4.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.0
Karlsruher SC
3.9
Hertha BSC
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
VfL Osnabrück
25.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.5
1. FC Kaiserslautern
24.8
1. FC Magdeburg
24.8
Hansa Rostock
24.6
Hannover 96
24.0
1. FC Nürnberg
23.8
Hertha BSC
23.6
Eintracht Braunschweig
23.5
Wehen
23.1
FC Schalke 04
23.0
SV Elversberg
22.8
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.5
Holstein Kiel
22.5
Hamburger SV
22.4
SV Wehen
22.1
SC Paderborn 07
21.9
FC St. Pauli
21.1
Karlsruher SC
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.6%
Under 9.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
47.0%
Under 21.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.38
vs Stronger (26)
0.54
0.46
0.67
0.50
0.43
0.43
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.80
0.67
1.00
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.71
0.73
0.82
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
1.17
0.50
1.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.03
0.79
0.79
0.69
1.25
vs Stronger (26)
0.73
1.08
0.83
0.92
0.64
1.21
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Fortuna Düsseldorf) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.47
1.07
0.40
1.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.33
0.54
1.18
0.45
1.46
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortuna Düsseldorf over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christos Tzolis50%
Felix Klaus22%
Vincent Vermeij22%
Marlon Mustapha20%
Ao Tanaka19%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson13%
Yannik Engelhardt12%
Shinta Karl Appelkamp12%
Daniel Ginczek10%
Jona Niemiec10%
Jordy de Wijs7%
Andre Hoffmann7%
Takashi Uchino6%
Dennis Jastrzembski5%
Jamil Siebert4%
Emmanuel Iyoha4%
Matthias Zimmermann4%
Marcel Sobottka0%
Christoph Daferner0%
Nicolas Gavory0%
Florian Kastenmeier0%
Tim Christopher Oberdorf0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Klaus Suso0%
King Samuel Manu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joshua Quarshie38%
Yannik Engelhardt31%
Jamil Siebert21%
Marcel Sobottka20%
Emmanuel Iyoha19%
Felix Klaus19%
Jordy de Wijs17%
Takashi Uchino17%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson16%
Christos Tzolis16%
Andre Hoffmann13%
Vincent Vermeij12%
Nicolas Gavory12%
Dennis Jastrzembski10%
Daniel Ginczek10%
Marlon Mustapha10%
Ao Tanaka9%
Matthias Zimmermann7%
Jona Niemiec7%
Florian Kastenmeier6%
Tim Christopher Oberdorf4%
Christoph Daferner0%
Shinta Karl Appelkamp0%
Klaus Suso0%
King Samuel Manu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Shinta Karl Appelkamp35%
Christos Tzolis19%
Matthias Zimmermann19%
Nicolas Gavory16%
Dennis Jastrzembski15%
Marcel Sobottka13%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson13%
Marlon Mustapha10%
Jona Niemiec10%
Ao Tanaka9%
Vincent Vermeij9%
Jordy de Wijs7%
Felix Klaus6%
Christoph Daferner6%
Yannik Engelhardt6%
Tim Christopher Oberdorf4%
Jamil Siebert4%
Emmanuel Iyoha4%
Daniel Ginczek0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Florian Kastenmeier0%
Takashi Uchino0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Klaus Suso0%
King Samuel Manu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Christos Tzolis41%
Vincent Vermeij28%
Felix Klaus22%
Marlon Mustapha10%
Shinta Karl Appelkamp8%
Jordy de Wijs7%
Christoph Daferner6%
Emmanuel Iyoha4%
Jona Niemiec3%
Ao Tanaka3%
Dennis Jastrzembski0%
Daniel Ginczek0%
Andre Hoffmann0%
Marcel Sobottka0%
Matthias Zimmermann0%
Nicolas Gavory0%
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson0%
Florian Kastenmeier0%
Tim Christopher Oberdorf0%
Yannik Engelhardt0%
Takashi Uchino0%
Jamil Siebert0%
Joshua Quarshie0%
Klaus Suso0%
King Samuel Manu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
Jahn Regensburg