This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Holstein Kiel
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.27
2.06
1.62
2.00
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
1.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
1.82
1.36
1.55
1.82
2.09
0.91
vs Weaker (6)
2.67
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.4%
@ 1.53-5.0%
Under 2.5
43.6%
@ 2.43+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.4%
No
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-1 ✓
9.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
Wehen goals ↓
Holstein Kiel goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
9.6%
11%
7.2%
3.6%
1
3.9%
11%
9.9%
6.7%
3.4%
2
2.3%
4.6%
4.6%
3.1%
1.6%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wehen goals (down), columns = Holstein Kiel goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Holstein Kiel
2.06
FC St. Pauli
2.03
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83
Hamburger SV
1.72
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Hannover 96
1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
Hertha BSC
1.33
FC Schalke 04
1.31
SV Elversberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
1. FC Nürnberg
1.22
1. FC Magdeburg
1.17
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.11
Hansa Rostock
0.94
Wehen
0.94
SV Wehen
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.86
Wehen is 1.11 points worse than Holstein Kiel in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 2.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.08
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Hertha BSC
1.94
Karlsruher SC
1.94
Holstein Kiel
1.92
Hamburger SV
1.89
FC St. Pauli
1.81
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.53
SV Elversberg
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.14
SV Wehen
1.08
Wehen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.89
Wehen is 0.86 goals worse than Holstein Kiel in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC St. Pauli
1.06
Holstein Kiel
1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
Hannover 96
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.25
Karlsruher SC
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
Wehen
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.50
SV Wehen
1.50
Jahn Regensburg
1.50
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
Hansa Rostock
1.64
FC Schalke 04
1.69
Hertha BSC
1.75
SV Elversberg
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg
1.83
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.86
VfL Osnabrück
1.97
Wehen is 0.33 goals worse than Holstein Kiel in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
61%
FC St. Pauli
57%
Hamburger SV
57%
SC Paderborn 07
54%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
52%
Karlsruher SC
51%
Hannover 96
51%
FC Schalke 04
50%
SV Elversberg
48%
Hertha BSC
47%
SV Wehen
46%
VfL Osnabrück
46%
1. FC Nürnberg
46%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
Hansa Rostock
43%
Eintracht Braunschweig
42%
Jahn Regensburg
32%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
W
Wehen
For 4.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Holstein Kiel
For 5.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.6
11.2
4.7
4.4
4.9
22.9
22.8
23.0
vs Stronger (42)
10.9
10.1
11.7
4.5
4.0
5.0
22.1
21.8
22.4
vs Similar (8)
10.6
13.0
8.2
5.6
6.8
4.5
27.2
28.0
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
58%
77%
66%
58%
73%
62%
54%
69%
% under line
32%
42%
23%
34%
42%
27%
38%
46%
31%
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Holstein Kiel
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.6
10.8
12.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
23.1
23.7
22.3
vs Stronger (3)
15.0
13.0
17.0
2.7
4.0
2.0
23.5
26.0
21.0
vs Similar (37)
11.4
10.3
12.4
2.9
2.5
3.3
22.6
24.0
21.2
vs Weaker (10)
11.3
11.4
11.0
3.8
4.7
2.5
24.7
22.6
30.0
% over line
76%
61%
93%
44%
41%
48%
48%
56%
40%
% under line
24%
39%
7%
56%
59%
52%
52%
44%
60%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Nürnberg
11.7
VfL Osnabrück
11.2
Holstein Kiel
11.0
SV Wehen
10.9
Wehen
10.9
Hamburger SV
10.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.4
Hertha BSC
10.4
Hannover 96
10.3
Hansa Rostock
10.3
SC Paderborn 07
10.3
Karlsruher SC
10.3
FC Schalke 04
10.3
1. FC Magdeburg
10.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.9
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.9
SV Elversberg
9.4
FC St. Pauli
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
SV Wehen
4.8
Wehen
4.7
VfL Osnabrück
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
Hansa Rostock
4.6
FC Schalke 04
4.5
Hamburger SV
4.5
Holstein Kiel
4.4
SV Elversberg
4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.2
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.1
Hannover 96
4.0
Hertha BSC
3.9
Karlsruher SC
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
VfL Osnabrück
26.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.8
Hansa Rostock
25.2
1. FC Magdeburg
24.9
1. FC Kaiserslautern
24.6
1. FC Nürnberg
23.7
Hannover 96
23.7
Hertha BSC
23.5
Eintracht Braunschweig
23.4
Wehen
22.9
FC Schalke 04
22.9
Holstein Kiel
22.8
Hamburger SV
22.4
SV Elversberg
22.4
SV Wehen
22.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.0
SC Paderborn 07
21.4
FC St. Pauli
21.3
Karlsruher SC
21.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
71.0%
Under 9.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.6%
Under 3.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
44.8%
Under 21.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.57
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (26)
0.46
0.54
0.58
0.58
0.36
0.50
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Holstein Kiel
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.69
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.73
0.73
1.00
1.18
0.45
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.17
1.75
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.00
0.64
0.93
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (26)
0.69
1.04
0.67
1.08
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Holstein Kiel) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Holstein Kiel
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.06
0.94
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.64
0.82
0.82
0.91
0.45
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.83
1.25
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Holstein Kiel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Holstein Kiel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Steven Skrzybski38%
Benedikt Pichler32%
Alexander Bernhardsson31%
Timo Becker25%
Niklas Niehoff25%
Jann-Fiete Arp24%
Lewis Holtby16%
Shuto Machino16%
Finn Porath15%
Jonas Sterner12%
Tom Rothe12%
Philipp Sander12%
Joshua Mees8%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson7%
Nicolai Remberg6%
Patrick Erras4%
Marvin Schulz4%
Marko Ivezić3%
Timon Weiner0%
Marco Komenda0%
Ba-Muaka Simakala0%
Thomas Dähne0%
Mikkel Kirkeskov0%
Carl Johansson0%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel0%
Lasse Rosenboom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Philipp Sander32%
Lewis Holtby26%
Tom Rothe24%
Finn Porath22%
Ba-Muaka Simakala18%
Carl Johansson17%
Joshua Mees15%
Alexander Bernhardsson15%
Marvin Schulz15%
Marko Ivezić14%
Patrick Erras12%
Nicolai Remberg12%
Jann-Fiete Arp12%
Timo Becker11%
Shuto Machino10%
Benedikt Pichler9%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel8%
Steven Skrzybski8%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson7%
Jonas Sterner6%
Marco Komenda5%
Timon Weiner3%
Thomas Dähne0%
Mikkel Kirkeskov0%
Lasse Rosenboom0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lewis Holtby23%
Tom Rothe21%
Philipp Sander16%
Shuto Machino13%
Jann-Fiete Arp12%
Steven Skrzybski12%
Finn Porath11%
Timo Becker11%
Joshua Mees8%
Marvin Schulz7%
Benedikt Pichler5%
Nicolai Remberg3%
Timon Weiner0%
Patrick Erras0%
Marco Komenda0%
Ba-Muaka Simakala0%
Thomas Dähne0%
Mikkel Kirkeskov0%
Alexander Bernhardsson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson0%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel0%
Jonas Sterner0%
Lasse Rosenboom0%
Marko Ivezić0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steven Skrzybski27%
Alexander Bernhardsson23%
Joshua Mees15%
Shuto Machino13%
Benedikt Pichler9%
Hólmbert Aron Friðjónsson7%
Lewis Holtby6%
Tom Rothe6%
Philipp Sander4%
Finn Porath4%
Timo Becker4%
Jann-Fiete Arp0%
Timon Weiner0%
Patrick Erras0%
Marco Komenda0%
Ba-Muaka Simakala0%
Thomas Dähne0%
Mikkel Kirkeskov0%
Carl Johansson0%
Marvin Schulz0%
Colin Noah Kleine-Bekel0%
Jonas Sterner0%
Lasse Rosenboom0%
Nicolai Remberg0%
Marko Ivezić0%
Niklas Niehoff0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
Jahn Regensburg