This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.43
1.67
1.13
0.80
1.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.58
1.45
1.45
0.92
1.69
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.50
2.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.77-6.6%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 2.02+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.5%
Wehen goals ↓
SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
8.0%
5.5%
2.2%
0.6%
1
9.5%
14%
7.5%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.3%
8.6%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.3%
3.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wehen goals (down), columns = SpVgg Greuther Fürth goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Holstein Kiel
2.06
FC St. Pauli
2.03
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.83
Hamburger SV
1.72
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
Hannover 96
1.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
Hertha BSC
1.33
FC Schalke 04
1.31
SV Elversberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.22
1. FC Nürnberg
1.22
1. FC Magdeburg
1.17
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.11
Hansa Rostock
0.94
Wehen
0.94
SV Wehen
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.86
Wehen is 0.61 points worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.08
Jahn Regensburg
2.00
Hertha BSC
1.94
Karlsruher SC
1.94
Holstein Kiel
1.92
Hamburger SV
1.89
FC St. Pauli
1.81
Hannover 96
1.72
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.69
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.58
FC Schalke 04
1.53
SV Elversberg
1.42
1. FC Magdeburg
1.33
1. FC Nürnberg
1.28
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.14
SV Wehen
1.08
Wehen
1.06
Hansa Rostock
0.92
VfL Osnabrück
0.89
Wehen is 0.52 goals worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC St. Pauli
1.06
Holstein Kiel
1.14
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.19
Hannover 96
1.25
Hamburger SV
1.25
Karlsruher SC
1.42
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
Wehen
1.47
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.50
SV Wehen
1.50
Jahn Regensburg
1.50
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
Hansa Rostock
1.64
FC Schalke 04
1.69
Hertha BSC
1.75
SV Elversberg
1.83
1. FC Nürnberg
1.83
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.86
VfL Osnabrück
1.97
Wehen is 0.03 goals worse than SpVgg Greuther Fürth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
61%
FC St. Pauli
57%
Hamburger SV
57%
SC Paderborn 07
54%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
53%
Holstein Kiel
52%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
52%
Karlsruher SC
51%
Hannover 96
51%
FC Schalke 04
50%
SV Elversberg
48%
Hertha BSC
47%
SV Wehen
46%
VfL Osnabrück
46%
1. FC Nürnberg
46%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
Hansa Rostock
43%
Eintracht Braunschweig
42%
Jahn Regensburg
32%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
W
Wehen
For 4.1 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
For 5.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
W
Wehen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.5
11.0
4.6
4.3
4.8
22.9
22.8
23.1
vs Stronger (42)
10.8
9.9
11.5
4.4
3.8
4.8
22.1
21.7
22.5
vs Similar (8)
10.6
13.0
8.2
5.6
6.8
4.5
27.2
28.0
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
57%
74%
64%
57%
70%
62%
52%
70%
% under line
34%
43%
26%
36%
43%
30%
38%
48%
30%
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.5
3.3
4.2
2.4
25.5
24.9
26.2
vs Stronger (3)
11.5
10.0
13.0
3.7
5.0
3.0
23.5
23.0
24.0
vs Similar (40)
9.5
8.9
10.1
3.2
4.1
2.4
26.3
25.5
27.1
vs Weaker (7)
11.8
11.5
13.0
3.6
4.4
1.5
22.2
23.5
17.0
% over line
69%
65%
73%
40%
52%
28%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
31%
35%
27%
60%
48%
72%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Nürnberg
11.7
VfL Osnabrück
11.1
Holstein Kiel
11.0
SV Wehen
10.9
Wehen
10.8
Hamburger SV
10.7
Hansa Rostock
10.5
Karlsruher SC
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.4
Hannover 96
10.3
SC Paderborn 07
10.3
FC Schalke 04
10.3
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.9
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.8
SV Elversberg
9.4
FC St. Pauli
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
1. FC Magdeburg
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
5.0
SV Wehen
4.7
VfL Osnabrück
4.7
Wehen
4.6
Hansa Rostock
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.5
Hamburger SV
4.5
Holstein Kiel
4.4
SV Elversberg
4.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.2
FC St. Pauli
4.1
Hannover 96
4.0
Hertha BSC
3.9
Karlsruher SC
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
VfL Osnabrück
26.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
25.6
1. FC Magdeburg
24.9
Hansa Rostock
24.8
1. FC Kaiserslautern
24.4
1. FC Nürnberg
23.9
Hannover 96
23.7
Hertha BSC
23.5
Eintracht Braunschweig
23.1
Wehen
22.9
FC Schalke 04
22.9
Holstein Kiel
22.8
SV Elversberg
22.4
Hamburger SV
22.3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
22.1
SV Wehen
22.1
SC Paderborn 07
21.4
FC St. Pauli
21.3
Karlsruher SC
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.0%
Under 9.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.2%
Under 3.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
56.2%
Under 21.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
W
Wehen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.43
0.36
0.43
0.38
0.44
vs Stronger (26)
0.38
0.46
0.42
0.42
0.36
0.50
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.53
0.60
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.75
0.45
0.82
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wehen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
W
Wehen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.93
0.64
0.79
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (26)
0.69
0.96
0.67
0.92
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (SpVgg Greuther Fürth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
1.13
0.53
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.83
1.00
0.64
0.38
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.00
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Wehen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wehen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wehen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armindo Sieb30%
Branimir Hrgota27%
Tim Lemperle19%
Julian Green16%
Dickson Abiama15%
Damian Michalski10%
Robert Wagner10%
Simon Asta6%
Jomaine Consbruch4%
Gideon Jung4%
Lukas Petkov3%
Dennis Srbeny3%
Oussama Haddadi0%
Gian-Luca Itter0%
Niko Giesselmann0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Marco Meyerhofer0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Philipp Müller0%
Leander Popp0%
Daniel Pfaffenroth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gideon Jung32%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou29%
Maximilian Dietz23%
Daniel Pfaffenroth20%
Philipp Müller17%
Julian Green16%
Simon Asta16%
Branimir Hrgota15%
Damian Michalski14%
Robert Wagner13%
Lukas Petkov10%
Niko Giesselmann10%
Oualid Mhamdi10%
Marco Meyerhofer10%
Jonas Urbig9%
Armindo Sieb9%
Dickson Abiama8%
Oussama Haddadi7%
Gian-Luca Itter7%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Tim Lemperle6%
Jomaine Consbruch4%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu0%
Leander Popp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Green20%
Tim Lemperle16%
Branimir Hrgota15%
Robert Wagner13%
Simon Asta12%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu9%
Dickson Abiama8%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Jomaine Consbruch4%
Oussama Haddadi4%
Gideon Jung4%
Damian Michalski3%
Lukas Petkov3%
Armindo Sieb3%
Gian-Luca Itter0%
Niko Giesselmann0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Marco Meyerhofer0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Philipp Müller0%
Leander Popp0%
Daniel Pfaffenroth0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Branimir Hrgota27%
Armindo Sieb21%
Dickson Abiama15%
Tim Lemperle12%
Julian Green8%
Lukas Petkov7%
Dennis Srbeny6%
Robert Wagner3%
Oussama Haddadi0%
Gideon Jung0%
Simon Asta0%
Gian-Luca Itter0%
Niko Giesselmann0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Marco Meyerhofer0%
Damian Michalski0%
Jomaine Consbruch0%
Maximilian Dietz0%
Kerim Çalhanoğlu0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Philipp Müller0%
Leander Popp0%
Daniel Pfaffenroth0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07
Karlsruher SC
Hannover 96
Hertha BSC
FC Schalke 04
SV Elversberg
Eintracht Braunschweig
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Magdeburg
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hansa Rostock
SV Wehen
VfL Osnabrück
Jahn Regensburg