The encounter between West Ham and Fulham is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win as the most likely outcome. The probabilities sit at 41% for West Ham, 30% for a draw and 29% for Fulham. The average goal tally is 2.5, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.1% chance. West Ham, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.82 goals scored and 1.09 conceded, while Fulham on the road averages 1.11 scored and 0.89 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (96.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.8%), Under 4.5 (89.6%) and Under 5.5 cards (89.2%). West Ham’s recent form shows a win, loss, draw, win, win, and Fulham’s recent record is win, loss, win, draw, loss, each coming off a victory. The match remains finely balanced, but the model’s pick points to a West Ham win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
West Ham win
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fulham win
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.43
1.88
1.19
1.21
1.71
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (21)
1.71
1.33
2.18
1.18
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
1.00
1.67
1.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Fulham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fulham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.20
1.60
1.00
0.93
1.40
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.43
2.00
2.00
0.50
2.75
vs Similar (21)
1.19
0.86
1.36
0.82
1.00
0.90
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
West Ham goals ↓
Fulham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
8.1%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.7%
8.7%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.5%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Fulham goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Grimsby
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Bristol City
1.50
Coventry
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Everton
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Leeds
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barnet
1.00
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.48
York
0.36
Sheffield United
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Exeter
0.00
QPR
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Watford
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Luton
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Colchester
0.00
West Ham is 1.75 points worse than Fulham in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Stockport
1.50
Grimsby
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Reading
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Derby
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.56
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.42
Blackpool
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Salford
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
West Ham is 0.75 goals better than Fulham in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Port Vale
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Bradford
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Sheffield United
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
QPR
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.31
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.45
West Ham is 2.25 goals worse than Fulham in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 0.75).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Chesterfield
71%
Ipswich
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Stevenage
58%
Oldham
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Blackpool
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Swansea
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Burton
42%
Cheltenham
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Accrington
35%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
West Ham is 13.0 percentage points worse than Fulham in terms of average possession (49% vs 62%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
West Ham
For 5.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fulham
For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.1
11.3
3.7
3.7
3.7
22.4
23.1
21.7
vs Stronger (7)
10.9
10.7
11.0
3.9
4.3
3.5
24.6
23.7
25.2
vs Similar (36)
10.9
11.1
10.8
3.8
3.6
3.9
21.6
22.0
21.1
vs Weaker (7)
13.6
11.7
16.5
3.3
3.8
2.7
25.0
29.0
19.0
% over line
66%
62%
70%
54%
46%
62%
53%
54%
52%
% under line
34%
38%
30%
46%
54%
38%
47%
46%
48%
This opponent (Fulham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fulham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.4
9.7
3.4
3.8
3.0
20.0
20.0
20.1
vs Stronger (12)
11.3
12.3
10.0
2.4
2.8
2.0
18.0
17.3
18.8
vs Similar (33)
10.2
10.8
9.5
4.0
4.5
3.4
21.4
21.8
21.0
vs Weaker (5)
11.8
12.3
11.0
2.2
1.7
3.0
15.8
15.7
16.0
% over line
69%
80%
57%
48%
54%
42%
33%
36%
30%
% under line
31%
20%
43%
52%
46%
58%
67%
64%
70%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
11.8
Barnsley
11.7
Swindon
11.4
Sheffield United
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
York
11.2
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
11.1
Leicester
11.0
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bournemouth
10.7
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Walsall
10.6
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Grimsby
10.5
Luton
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Burton
10.4
Fleetwood Town
10.3
Bradford
10.3
Chesterfield
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Huddersfield
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
Barnet
10.2
Bromley
10.2
Oldham
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Northampton
10.1
Wrexham
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Tottenham
10.1
Exeter
10.1
Derby
10.0
Chelsea
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Cheltenham
9.8
Accrington
9.8
Charlton
9.8
Brighton
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Crewe
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Salford
9.6
Burnley
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Notts County
9.4
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Rotherham
9.4
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Bristol Rvs
9.3
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Lincoln
9.2
Sunderland
9.1
Cambridge
9.0
Rochdale
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Colchester
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.7
Shrewsbury
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Crawley Town
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Chelsea
4.4
Watford
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.2
Hull
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Peterboro
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Accrington
4.1
Rotherham
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Chesterfield
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Newport County
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Gillingham
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Blackpool
3.9
Wolves
3.9
York
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Crewe
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Grimsby
3.8
West Ham
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Salford
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Walsall
3.7
QPR
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Barnet
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Wycombe
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Burton
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Port Vale
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Cheltenham
3.4
Preston
3.4
Swindon
3.4
West Brom
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Rochdale
3.2
Burnley
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crawley Town
25.1
Crewe
25.1
Colchester
24.9
Notts County
24.8
Salford
24.8
Oldham
24.7
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Barnet
24.1
Luton
23.9
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Ipswich
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Leyton Orient
23.7
Gillingham
23.6
Aston Villa
23.6
Rotherham
23.5
Rochdale
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Wolves
23.4
Wigan
23.3
Newport County
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Bournemouth
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Lincoln
23.0
Walsall
23.0
Tottenham
22.9
Derby
22.9
Doncaster
22.8
Fleetwood Town
22.8
Chelsea
22.7
Tranmere
22.7
Reading
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Shrewsbury
22.6
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Swansea
22.3
Mansfield
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
Leeds
22.1
Cheltenham
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Sheffield Weds
22.1
West Ham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Exeter
22.0
Chesterfield
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Port Vale
21.9
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Northampton
21.9
Accrington
21.8
Newcastle
21.8
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Everton
21.6
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Manchester United
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Wycombe
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
Stockport
20.8
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Barnsley
20.4
Preston
20.4
Swindon
20.3
Fulham
20.0
Burnley
19.9
Brentford
19.8
Wrexham
19.8
York
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
38.9%
Under 3.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
50.0%
Under 21.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
West Ham or Draw
70.5%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers West Ham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
West Ham or Fulham
70.6%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers West Ham + Fulham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Fulham
58.9%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers Draw + Fulham
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
West Ham over/under 0.5
Over
74.5%
Under
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5
Over
39.6%
Under
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 3.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 0.5
Over
67.5%
Under
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 1.5
Over
30.9%
Under
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 2.5
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to West Ham, so a minus line means West Ham give that many goals of a start and Fulham receive them. At -1, West Ham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal West Ham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (West Ham)
West Ham -2
7.3%
Draw -2
12.5%
Fulham +2
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (West Ham)
West Ham -1
19.8%
Draw -1
21.3%
Fulham +1
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (West Ham)
West Ham +1
70.5%
Draw +1
17.3%
Fulham -1
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (West Ham)
West Ham +2
87.7%
Draw +2
8.5%
Fulham -2
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.94
0.44
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.57
1.00
0.36
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Fulham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fulham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.67
0.27
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.57
0.67
0.67
0.00
2.25
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.29
0.55
0.18
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.94
0.75
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.76
1.18
0.82
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Fulham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fulham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.60
0.93
0.73
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.86
1.33
1.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.57
0.82
0.64
0.60
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fulham over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Bowen50%
V. Castellanos33%
J. Piroe25%
Konstantinos Mavropanos25%
D. Mukasa25%
M. Solomon20%
M. Kilman17%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Veltman0%
M. Hermansen0%
Arne Engels0%
L. Orford0%
Pablo Felipe0%
O. Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
V. Castellanos50%
D. Mukasa25%
M. Hermansen20%
J. Veltman17%
M. Kilman17%
Mohamadou Kanté17%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Piroe0%
M. Solomon0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
J. Bowen0%
Arne Engels0%
L. Orford0%
Pablo Felipe0%
O. Scarles0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Bowen50%
Pablo Felipe33%
Arne Engels25%
L. Orford20%
J. Veltman17%
Mohamadou Kanté17%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Piroe0%
M. Solomon0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
M. Hermansen0%
M. Kilman0%
V. Castellanos0%
O. Scarles0%
D. Mukasa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Bowen50%
V. Castellanos33%
Pablo Felipe33%
J. Piroe25%
Konstantinos Mavropanos25%
D. Mukasa25%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
J. Veltman0%
M. Solomon0%
M. Hermansen0%
M. Kilman0%
Arne Engels0%
L. Orford0%
O. Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Fulham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gonzalo García67%
Ryan Sessegnon0%
Calvin Bassey0%
Kevin0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Shea Charles0%
César Palacios0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Bassey33%
César Palacios33%
Ryan Sessegnon0%
Kevin0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Shea Charles0%
Gonzalo García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Sessegnon33%
Calvin Bassey0%
Kevin0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Shea Charles0%
Gonzalo García0%
César Palacios0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ryan Sessegnon0%
Calvin Bassey0%
Kevin0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Shea Charles0%
Gonzalo García0%
César Palacios0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
West Ham's squad is €55m less valuable than Fulham's (€274m vs €329m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
West Ham's attack is €94m less valuable than Fulham's (€84m vs €178m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
West Ham's midfield is €20m more valuable than Fulham's (€48m vs €28m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
West Ham's defence is €19m more valuable than Fulham's (€141m vs €123m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
West Brom
Birmingham
Sheffield United
Millwall
Wrexham
Blackburn
Watford
Bolton
Derby
Lincoln
Cardiff
Norwich
Portsmouth
Stoke
Burnley
Preston
Manchester City
Arsenal
Hull
Chelsea
Brentford
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Ipswich
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Coventry
Crystal Palace
Aston Villa
Tottenham