This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
2.20
0.87
1.73
0.80
2.67
vs Stronger (21)
0.86
2.67
1.00
2.00
0.73
3.27
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.11
0.60
1.20
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.81+9.8%
Under 2.5
37.8%
@ 1.99-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-0
5.1%
Willem II goals ↓
Den Haag goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.5%
3.7%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.5%
11%
6.9%
3.1%
1.1%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.4%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.3%
5.8%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.0%
2.7%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Willem II goals (down), columns = Den Haag goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.59
PSV Eindhoven
2.12
AZ Alkmaar
2.09
Vitesse
1.79
Feyenoord
1.74
Utrecht
1.56
Groningen
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.38
Heracles
1.29
Twente
1.21
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
Heerenveen
1.15
PEC Zwolle
1.12
Willem II
0.91
Waalwijk
0.88
Emmen
0.88
VVV Venlo
0.68
Den Haag
0.65
Willem II is 0.26 points better than Den Haag in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 0.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
3.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.21
PSV Eindhoven
2.18
Feyenoord
1.88
Vitesse
1.53
Utrecht
1.53
Fortuna Sittard
1.47
Sparta Rotterdam
1.44
Twente
1.41
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Heerenveen
1.26
VVV Venlo
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Willem II
1.18
Groningen
1.18
Emmen
1.18
Waalwijk
0.97
Den Haag
0.85
Willem II is 0.32 goals better than Den Haag in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 0.85).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.68
PSV Eindhoven
1.03
Feyenoord
1.06
Groningen
1.09
Vitesse
1.12
AZ Alkmaar
1.21
Utrecht
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.41
Heerenveen
1.44
Twente
1.47
PEC Zwolle
1.56
Heracles
1.56
Waalwijk
1.62
Fortuna Sittard
1.71
Willem II
2.00
Emmen
2.00
Den Haag
2.24
VVV Venlo
2.68
Willem II is 0.24 goals better than Den Haag in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Willem II
For 2.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 0.9 · Total 1.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
DH
Den Haag
For 3.7 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 0.7 · Total 2.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Willem II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.5
9.1
3.2
3.0
3.5
22.8
22.8
22.8
vs Stronger (18)
10.2
10.6
9.8
3.2
3.2
3.2
20.6
20.9
20.4
vs Similar (32)
8.8
9.0
8.7
3.2
2.8
3.7
24.0
23.8
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
56%
48%
38%
36%
40%
54%
48%
60%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
62%
64%
60%
46%
52%
40%
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.4
10.1
3.5
3.4
3.6
21.7
23.1
20.3
vs Stronger (34)
11.1
11.4
10.8
3.1
2.8
3.5
21.3
22.7
19.9
vs Similar (16)
8.5
8.5
8.5
4.4
4.8
4.0
22.6
23.9
21.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
60%
40%
42%
40%
44%
50%
60%
40%
% under line
50%
40%
60%
58%
60%
56%
50%
40%
60%
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heerenveen
11.4
PEC Zwolle
10.7
Ajax
10.6
Utrecht
10.5
Fortuna Sittard
10.4
Feyenoord
10.3
Den Haag
10.3
PSV Eindhoven
10.2
AZ Alkmaar
10.2
Sparta Rotterdam
10.1
Heracles
9.9
Emmen
9.9
VVV Venlo
9.8
Groningen
9.6
Twente
9.6
Willem II
9.3
Vitesse
9.3
Waalwijk
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Heracles
3.6
Vitesse
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
Den Haag
3.5
Emmen
3.4
Waalwijk
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.2
Willem II
3.2
Twente
3.2
Feyenoord
3.1
PEC Zwolle
3.1
Groningen
3.0
Utrecht
3.0
VVV Venlo
3.0
AZ Alkmaar
2.9
PSV Eindhoven
2.9
Ajax
2.7
Heerenveen
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vitesse
24.2
Heracles
23.7
VVV Venlo
23.6
Willem II
22.8
Fortuna Sittard
22.7
Twente
22.5
Feyenoord
22.5
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Emmen
22.4
Waalwijk
22.1
Groningen
21.7
Den Haag
21.7
Sparta Rotterdam
21.6
Utrecht
21.4
AZ Alkmaar
21.3
Ajax
20.4
PSV Eindhoven
20.0
Heerenveen
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
42.8%
Under 21.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Willem II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.60
0.67
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.33
0.20
1.40
0.29
1.29
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.56
0.80
0.30
0.25
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.83
0.27
0.73
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
1.00
0.30
0.90
0.36
1.09
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.44
0.20
0.40
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Willem II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.30
0.73
1.27
0.67
1.33
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.75
0.40
1.60
0.71
1.86
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.00
0.90
1.10
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Haag) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
DH
Den Haag
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.37
0.60
1.00
0.33
1.73
vs Stronger (21)
0.52
1.67
0.70
1.10
0.36
2.18
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.80
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Haag over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Willem II · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Devin Haen67%
Uriel van Aalst33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Tjoe-A-On33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Devin Haen0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Tjoe-A-On67%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Devin Haen0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nathan Tjoe-A-On33%
Devin Haen33%
Jaden Slory33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Willem II
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Waalwijk
Emmen
VVV Venlo