This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.57
1.56
1.69
1.21
1.43
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
2.56
1.20
2.40
0.75
2.75
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.14
1.73
1.36
1.40
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.3%
No
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
14.1%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
Willem II goals ↓
Sparta Rotterdam goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
14%
12%
6.6%
2.6%
1
5.9%
13%
9.2%
4.9%
2.0%
2
2.6%
4.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.7%
3
0.7%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Willem II goals (down), columns = Sparta Rotterdam goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Heracles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
De Graafschap
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
FC Volendam
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Ajax
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Dovo
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Spakenburg
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Hoogeveen
0.99
Walcheren
0.99
Dongen
0.99
ARC
0.99
Groene Ster
0.99
Halsteren
0.99
Velocitas
0.99
Sportclub 25
0.99
't Zand
0.99
Westlandia
0.99
Erp
0.99
AWC
0.99
VV Scherpenzeel
0.99
HZVV
0.99
Staphorst
0.99
Roosendaal
0.99
DVO
0.99
Zwaluwen
0.99
Heino
0.99
VVOG
0.99
Kampong
0.99
Aalsmeer
0.99
De Foresters
0.99
Mierlo-Hout
0.99
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ACV
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Huizen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
UNA
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Roda
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Willem II is 0.50 points worse than Sparta Rotterdam in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Katwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
URK
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
TEC
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Hoogeveen
1.42
Walcheren
1.42
Dongen
1.42
ARC
1.42
Groene Ster
1.42
Halsteren
1.42
Velocitas
1.42
Sportclub 25
1.42
't Zand
1.42
Westlandia
1.42
Erp
1.42
AWC
1.42
VV Scherpenzeel
1.42
HZVV
1.42
Staphorst
1.42
Roosendaal
1.42
DVO
1.42
Zwaluwen
1.42
Heino
1.42
VVOG
1.42
Kampong
1.42
Aalsmeer
1.42
De Foresters
1.42
Mierlo-Hout
1.42
Heracles
1.40
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
UNA
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Roda
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Willem II is 0.50 goals better than Sparta Rotterdam in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Blauw Geel
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Hoogeveen
1.95
Walcheren
1.95
Dongen
1.95
ARC
1.95
Groene Ster
1.95
Halsteren
1.95
Velocitas
1.95
Sportclub 25
1.95
't Zand
1.95
Westlandia
1.95
Erp
1.95
AWC
1.95
VV Scherpenzeel
1.95
HZVV
1.95
Staphorst
1.95
Roosendaal
1.95
DVO
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.95
Heino
1.95
VVOG
1.95
Kampong
1.95
Aalsmeer
1.95
De Foresters
1.95
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Huizen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
TEC
3.00
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
De Treffers
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
TOGB
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
ACV
5.00
Willem II is 1.00 goals worse than Sparta Rotterdam in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Willem II
For 6.4 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sparta Rotterdam
For 5.4 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Willem II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.4
11.2
2.9
3.0
2.8
20.6
21.0
20.1
vs Stronger (10)
10.0
10.7
9.0
2.7
2.7
2.8
17.9
18.2
17.5
vs Similar (39)
10.9
10.1
11.6
2.8
2.9
2.8
21.1
21.7
20.6
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
14.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
59%
56%
62%
30%
36%
24%
45%
52%
38%
% under line
41%
44%
38%
70%
64%
76%
55%
48%
62%
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.6
10.6
3.2
2.9
3.6
18.5
18.8
18.3
vs Stronger (14)
10.5
9.8
11.5
3.1
3.6
2.5
17.0
18.9
14.5
vs Similar (34)
10.6
10.8
10.4
3.4
2.6
4.1
19.4
19.2
19.6
vs Weaker (2)
11.5
15.0
8.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
16.0
12.0
20.0
% over line
58%
56%
61%
40%
35%
46%
25%
20%
30%
% under line
42%
44%
39%
60%
65%
54%
75%
80%
70%
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gemert
16.0
Sparta Nijkerk
14.0
Quick Boys
12.0
Excelsior Maassluis
12.0
Den Bosch
11.7
Dordrecht
11.6
VVV Venlo
11.4
Waalwijk
11.3
De Graafschap
11.3
FC OSS
10.9
Almere City FC
10.8
GO Ahead Eagles
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Willem II
10.6
PSV Eindhoven
10.5
Helmond Sport
10.4
FC Volendam
10.4
Heracles
10.4
MVV
10.4
Telstar
10.3
Vitesse
10.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.3
NEC Nijmegen
10.3
Roda
10.0
Emmen
10.0
De Treffers
10.0
AZ Alkmaar
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
FC Eindhoven
9.9
ADO Den Haag
9.9
Heerenveen
9.9
Feyenoord
9.8
Utrecht
9.7
NAC Breda
9.6
Katwijk
9.5
Ajax
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.4
Groningen
9.4
Twente
9.2
Cambuur
9.2
Hoek
9.0
AFC Amsterdam
9.0
Hoogeveen
9.0
GVVV Veenendaal
9.0
HHC
8.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
De Treffers
8.0
Sparta Nijkerk
6.0
AFC Amsterdam
5.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.4
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Twente
4.1
FC OSS
4.1
Dordrecht
4.1
Vitesse
4.1
Gemert
4.0
Hoek
4.0
Excelsior Maassluis
4.0
HHC
4.0
Rijnsburgse Boys
4.0
Ajax
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Fortuna Sittard
3.9
Groningen
3.9
Cambuur
3.8
Heracles
3.8
Emmen
3.7
NAC Breda
3.7
Excelsior
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
PEC Zwolle
3.7
Sparta Rotterdam
3.6
Feyenoord
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
Den Bosch
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
VVV Venlo
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
Roda
3.4
Telstar
3.3
Heerenveen
3.3
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
FC Eindhoven
3.3
Almere City FC
3.3
MVV
3.2
Willem II
3.0
Katwijk
3.0
Quick Boys
3.0
GVVV Veenendaal
3.0
Waalwijk
2.9
Hoogeveen
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rijnsburgse Boys
32.0
FC OSS
29.4
Vitesse
27.4
Helmond Sport
27.0
Cambuur
26.9
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Dordrecht
26.4
Emmen
25.8
AFC Amsterdam
25.0
Telstar
24.5
Roda
24.1
MVV
24.1
Sparta Nijkerk
24.0
HHC
24.0
VVV Venlo
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.6
De Graafschap
23.5
Heracles
23.4
NEC Nijmegen
23.4
FC Volendam
23.4
Ajax
23.2
Den Bosch
23.1
Gemert
23.0
De Treffers
23.0
Excelsior
23.0
Utrecht
22.8
PEC Zwolle
22.7
FC Eindhoven
22.2
Heerenveen
22.1
AZ Alkmaar
22.0
Twente
21.9
NAC Breda
21.9
Feyenoord
21.4
Quick Boys
21.0
GVVV Veenendaal
21.0
Groningen
20.9
Almere City FC
20.9
Waalwijk
20.8
Willem II
20.6
Excelsior Maassluis
20.5
GO Ahead Eagles
19.3
Hoek
19.0
PSV Eindhoven
18.7
Sparta Rotterdam
18.5
Katwijk
17.0
Hoogeveen
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.4%
Under 3.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
45.2%
Under 21.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Willem II or Draw✗ Miss
43.2%
Avg Implied -
16%
27%
57%
covers Willem II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Willem II or Sparta Rotterdam✓ Hit
72.9%
Avg Implied -
16%
27%
57%
covers Willem II + Sparta Rotterdam
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sparta Rotterdam✓ Hit
83.9%
Avg Implied -
16%
27%
57%
covers Draw + Sparta Rotterdam
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Willem II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
52.7%
Under
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.0%
Under
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
47.8%
Under
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
21.9%
Under
78.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.0%
Under
92.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Willem II, so a minus line means Willem II give that many goals of a start and Sparta Rotterdam receive them. At -1, Willem II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Willem II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Willem II)Actual: Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II -2
1.1%
Draw -2
3.9%
Sparta Rotterdam +2
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Willem II)Actual: Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II -1
4.9%
Draw -1
11.1%
Sparta Rotterdam +1
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Willem II)Actual: Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II +1
43.2%
Draw +1
25.3%
Sparta Rotterdam -1
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Willem II)Actual: Sparta Rotterdam
Willem II +2
68.5%
Draw +2
18.0%
Sparta Rotterdam -2
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Willem II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.87
0.47
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.64
0.93
0.50
0.79
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.62
0.56
0.43
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.89
0.40
0.60
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.52
0.73
0.55
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Willem II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.87
0.73
0.73
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.86
0.71
0.71
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Rotterdam) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sparta Rotterdam
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
0.94
1.12
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.67
0.80
1.80
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.62
1.00
0.82
0.90
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Rotterdam over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Willem II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Devin Haen43%
Thomas Verheydt33%
Emilio Kehrer22%
Calvin Twigt15%
Nick Doodeman15%
Armin Culum14%
Mounir El Allouchi12%
Justin Hoogma9%
Raffael Behounek8%
Finn Stam5%
Per van Loon5%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Samuel Bamba3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Gijs Besselink3%
Uriel van Aalst3%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Jari Schuurman0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Amine Et-Taibi0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Jens Mathijsen0%
Karst de Leeuw0%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard0%
Kayen Scheepens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson67%
Karst de Leeuw33%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard33%
Jens Mathijsen25%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On24%
Finn Stam19%
Kayen Scheepens17%
Calvin Twigt15%
Justin Hoogma15%
Alessandro Ciranni14%
Jari Schuurman12%
Thomas Verheydt11%
Gijs Besselink11%
Mounir El Allouchi9%
Devin Haen9%
Armin Culum7%
Uriel van Aalst5%
Anass Zarrouk5%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Samuel Bamba3%
Raffael Behounek3%
Nick Doodeman2%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Amine Et-Taibi0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Per van Loon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Doodeman32%
Amine Et-Taibi25%
Calvin Twigt15%
Armin Culum14%
Mounir El Allouchi12%
Devin Haen11%
Thomas Verheydt11%
Alessandro Ciranni10%
Per van Loon9%
Uriel van Aalst8%
Justin Hoogma6%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Samuel Bamba3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Raffael Behounek3%
Gijs Besselink3%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jari Schuurman0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Finn Stam0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Jens Mathijsen0%
Karst de Leeuw0%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard0%
Kayen Scheepens0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Devin Haen49%
Thomas Verheydt26%
Emilio Kehrer22%
Mounir El Allouchi19%
Samuel Bamba17%
Calvin Twigt8%
Nick Doodeman8%
Armin Culum7%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On6%
Per van Loon5%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Raffael Behounek3%
Uriel van Aalst3%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Jari Schuurman0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Amine Et-Taibi0%
Finn Stam0%
Gijs Besselink0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Jens Mathijsen0%
Karst de Leeuw0%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard0%
Kayen Scheepens0%
Sparta Rotterdam
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Lauritsen38%
Milan Zonneveld36%
Shunsuke Mito26%
Sayfallah Ltaief17%
Joshua Kitolano12%
Casper Terho11%
Ayoub Oufkir11%
Mitchell Van Bergen10%
Nökkvi Þórisson8%
Patrick van Aanholt7%
Pelle Clement7%
Ayoni Santos7%
Bruno Martins Indi7%
Lance Duijvestijn7%
Teo Quintero3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Joël Drommel0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Vito van Crooij0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Shurandy Sambo0%
Julian Baas0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Mike Kleijn0%
Marvin Young0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lushendry Edward Martes33%
Vito van Crooij30%
Jens Toornstra25%
Teo Quintero24%
Julian Baas24%
Shurandy Sambo22%
Bruno Martins Indi20%
Marvin Young20%
Patrick van Aanholt14%
Pelle Clement14%
Lance Duijvestijn13%
Casper Terho11%
Ayoub Oufkir11%
Tobias Lauritsen11%
Joshua Kitolano9%
Ayoni Santos7%
Mitchell Van Bergen3%
Joël Drommel3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Nökkvi Þórisson0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Shunsuke Mito0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Mike Kleijn0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Patrick van Aanholt21%
Shunsuke Mito19%
Tobias Lauritsen16%
Mitchell Van Bergen16%
Nökkvi Þórisson15%
Casper Terho11%
Ayoub Oufkir11%
Vito van Crooij10%
Pelle Clement7%
Mike Kleijn7%
Lance Duijvestijn7%
Lushendry Edward Martes7%
Joshua Kitolano6%
Teo Quintero6%
Jens Toornstra5%
Shurandy Sambo4%
Ayoni Santos3%
Marvin Young3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Joël Drommel0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Sayfallah Ltaief0%
Julian Baas0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mitchell Van Bergen26%
Tobias Lauritsen22%
Sayfallah Ltaief17%
Ayoub Oufkir17%
Lance Duijvestijn13%
Casper Terho11%
Shunsuke Mito11%
Vito van Crooij10%
Nökkvi Þórisson8%
Julian Baas4%
Ayoni Santos3%
Joshua Kitolano3%
Teo Quintero3%
Jonathan de Guzmán0%
Patrick van Aanholt0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Joël Drommel0%
Saïd Bakari0%
Pelle Clement0%
Filip Bednarek0%
Jens Toornstra0%
Tijs Velthuis0%
Shurandy Sambo0%
Milan Zonneveld0%
Alwande Roaldsoy0%
Mike Kleijn0%
Marvin Young0%
Giannino Vianello0%
Lushendry Edward Martes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Willem II's squad is €15m less valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€13m vs €28m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
Willem II's attack is €10m less valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€4m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Willem II's midfield is €2m more valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Willem II's defence is €8m less valuable than Sparta Rotterdam's (€5m vs €12m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
Sparta Rotterdam plays in Netherlands - Eredivisie
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Waalwijk
Roda
Vitesse
Jong PSV U21
Den Bosch
Dordrecht
FC Eindhoven
Jong Utrecht
VVV Venlo
Emmen
FC OSS
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
MVV
Jong Ajax
FC Volendam
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Groningen
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
NAC Breda
Heracles