This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.40
1.36
1.00
1.38
1.75
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.20
1.33
0.67
1.50
4.50
vs Similar (9)
1.22
0.89
1.25
1.00
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (16)
1.44
1.44
1.43
1.14
1.44
1.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.94+8.7%
Under 2.5
42.5%
@ 1.85-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1 ✓
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
2-1
5.3%
Willem II goals ↓
Twente goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
8.8%
9.5%
6.2%
3.0%
1
4.2%
11%
9.9%
6.5%
3.2%
2
2.7%
5.3%
5.2%
3.4%
1.6%
3
0.9%
1.8%
1.8%
1.2%
0.6%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Willem II goals (down), columns = Twente goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ajax
2.44
PSV Eindhoven
2.38
Feyenoord
2.09
Twente
2.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.79
Vitesse
1.50
Utrecht
1.38
Heerenveen
1.21
Cambuur
1.15
NEC Nijmegen
1.12
Waalwijk
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.06
Groningen
1.06
Sparta Rotterdam
1.03
Fortuna Sittard
1.03
Heracles
1.00
Willem II
0.97
PEC Zwolle
0.79
Willem II is 1.03 points worse than Twente in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ajax
2.88
PSV Eindhoven
2.53
Feyenoord
2.24
AZ Alkmaar
1.88
Twente
1.62
Cambuur
1.56
Utrecht
1.50
Vitesse
1.24
Groningen
1.21
Waalwijk
1.18
NEC Nijmegen
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.09
Heerenveen
1.09
Fortuna Sittard
1.06
Heracles
0.97
Willem II
0.94
Sparta Rotterdam
0.88
PEC Zwolle
0.76
Willem II is 0.68 goals worse than Twente in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
0.56
Feyenoord
1.00
Twente
1.09
PSV Eindhoven
1.24
AZ Alkmaar
1.29
Utrecht
1.35
Sparta Rotterdam
1.41
Heracles
1.44
Heerenveen
1.47
Vitesse
1.50
GO Ahead Eagles
1.50
Waalwijk
1.50
PEC Zwolle
1.53
NEC Nijmegen
1.53
Groningen
1.62
Willem II
1.68
Fortuna Sittard
1.97
Cambuur
2.06
Willem II is 0.59 goals worse than Twente in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Willem II
For 5.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.4 · Total 17.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Twente
For 3.3 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Willem II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.3
8.2
3.0
2.6
3.5
20.3
19.4
21.3
vs Stronger (20)
8.0
7.9
8.0
2.8
2.1
3.4
19.1
19.0
19.1
vs Similar (30)
9.3
10.1
8.3
3.2
2.8
3.6
21.2
19.6
23.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
52%
36%
34%
28%
40%
42%
28%
56%
% under line
56%
48%
64%
66%
72%
60%
58%
72%
44%
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.8
9.3
3.1
3.4
2.8
21.6
23.2
20.0
vs Stronger (11)
9.6
9.9
9.2
2.4
2.9
1.5
19.1
20.9
16.0
vs Similar (14)
9.1
9.7
8.6
3.8
4.0
3.6
20.2
23.5
17.8
vs Weaker (25)
8.8
7.5
9.8
3.0
3.4
2.6
23.4
24.5
22.5
% over line
48%
38%
58%
32%
29%
35%
44%
54%
35%
% under line
52%
62%
42%
68%
71%
65%
56%
46%
65%
This opponent (Willem II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heerenveen
10.7
Ajax
10.5
NEC Nijmegen
10.3
Feyenoord
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
PEC Zwolle
10.0
GO Ahead Eagles
9.8
Utrecht
9.8
Waalwijk
9.5
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
PSV Eindhoven
9.4
Fortuna Sittard
9.4
Heracles
9.3
Sparta Rotterdam
9.2
Groningen
9.1
Twente
9.1
Vitesse
9.0
Willem II
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
3.8
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
GO Ahead Eagles
3.4
Utrecht
3.3
Heracles
3.2
Groningen
3.2
Feyenoord
3.1
Twente
3.1
Willem II
3.0
Cambuur
3.0
AZ Alkmaar
3.0
Waalwijk
2.9
Sparta Rotterdam
2.8
Fortuna Sittard
2.8
Heerenveen
2.7
PEC Zwolle
2.7
PSV Eindhoven
2.4
Ajax
2.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vitesse
25.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.8
PEC Zwolle
22.7
Groningen
22.6
Utrecht
22.2
Fortuna Sittard
21.8
Twente
21.6
Heracles
21.5
Waalwijk
21.4
Feyenoord
21.0
Cambuur
20.8
Willem II
20.3
AZ Alkmaar
20.0
Ajax
19.9
Sparta Rotterdam
19.4
PSV Eindhoven
19.4
GO Ahead Eagles
19.3
Heerenveen
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.0%
Under 9.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
30.7%
Under 21.5
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Willem II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.36
0.50
0.50
0.81
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.17
0.20
1.00
0.43
1.29
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.33
0.44
0.22
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.71
0.43
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.20
0.67
0.33
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.11
0.25
0.00
0.60
0.20
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.56
1.00
0.71
0.67
0.44
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Willem II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.07
0.57
0.93
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.17
0.20
0.80
0.43
1.43
vs Similar (18)
0.89
1.00
0.78
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Twente) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Twente
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.87
0.64
0.57
0.62
1.12
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (9)
0.78
0.78
1.00
1.00
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (16)
0.62
0.88
0.43
0.43
0.78
1.22
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Twente over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Willem II · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Devin Haen67%
Uriel van Aalst33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathan Tjoe-A-On33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Devin Haen0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Tjoe-A-On67%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Devin Haen0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Jaden Slory0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nathan Tjoe-A-On33%
Devin Haen33%
Jaden Slory33%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Finn Stam0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Per van Loon0%
Uriel van Aalst0%
Twente · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marko Pjaca57%
Max Bruns50%
Younes Taha50%
Wout Weghorst33%
Daan Rots33%
Daouda Weidmann33%
Ruud Nijstad20%
Robin Pröpper14%
Ramiz Zerrouki14%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Sondre Ørjasæter0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Rots33%
Robin Pröpper29%
Ramiz Zerrouki29%
Younes Taha25%
Wout Weghorst17%
Daouda Weidmann17%
Sondre Ørjasæter17%
Aske Adelgaard17%
Marko Pjaca0%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Max Bruns0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daouda Weidmann50%
Sondre Ørjasæter50%
Wout Weghorst33%
Marko Pjaca14%
Bart van Rooij14%
Ramiz Zerrouki14%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Robin Pröpper0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Daan Rots0%
Max Bruns0%
Younes Taha0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Younes Taha50%
Daouda Weidmann50%
Wout Weghorst33%
Daan Rots33%
Marko Pjaca29%
Max Bruns17%
Thomas Van den Belt0%
Sam Lammers0%
Robin Pröpper0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Lars Unnerstall0%
Ramiz Zerrouki0%
Mathias Kjølø0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Sondre Ørjasæter0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
Guilherme Peixoto0%
Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink0%
Ruud Nijstad0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
HER (28)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
Willem II's squad is €74m less valuable than Twente's (€13m vs €87m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
Willem II's attack is €30m less valuable than Twente's (€4m vs €34m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
Willem II's midfield is €9m less valuable than Twente's (€4m vs €13m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
WI (12)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
Willem II's defence is €34m less valuable than Twente's (€5m vs €39m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
Vitesse
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Cambuur
Waalwijk
NEC Nijmegen
Groningen
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles
PEC Zwolle