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Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2025
Time: 18:00
Final 3-2
Wiltz
Wiltz
Vs
28%
29%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wiltz win✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L41W13L02L21W13L03L13L20W11DA·UNA16/02H·FOL23/02A·F9102/03H·US 09/03A·JEU12/03A·PRO16/03H·UNI30/03A·SWI06/04H·MON13/04A·AS 19/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.801.231.771.651.82
vs Stronger (17)0.942.290.432.431.302.20
vs Similar (13)2.151.152.171.002.141.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D02L11D30W31W31W10W20W21WH·BET16/02A·VIC23/02H·FC 01/03A·ROD08/03A·AS 12/03H·WIL16/03A·RAC29/03H·UNA05/04A·FOL13/04H·F9119/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.902.070.931.810.88
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (14)1.710.861.571.001.860.71
vs Weaker (14)2.360.862.831.002.000.75
Clean sheet %33% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.8%
Under 2.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
Wiltz goals ↓
Progres Niederkorn goals →
01234
09.1%10.0%8.0%3.8%1.4%
17.5%14%8.9%4.3%1.5%
24.9%7.0%5.0%2.4%0.9%
31.8%2.6%1.9%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wiltz goals (down), columns = Progres Niederkorn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.67
F91 Dudelange
2.67
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Wiltz
2.40
Bastendorf
2.25
Progres Niederkorn
2.25
The Belval Belvaux
2.25
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
UNA Strassen
2.25
Union Titus Petange
2.25
Sporting Bertrange
2.00
URB
2.00
Union Kayl-Tétange
2.00
AS Luxembourg
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Clemency
2.00
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
Minerva Lintgen
2.00
Orania Vianden
2.00
Jeunesse Canach
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Daring Echternach
1.67
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Mondercange
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Stengefort
1.50
Bourscheid
1.50
Jeunesse Useldange
1.50
Union Mertert
1.50
Obercorn
1.50
Alliance Aischdall
1.50
Red Black Egalité
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
Résidence Walferdange
1.50
Red Boys Aspelt
1.50
Lorentzweiler
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Young Boys
1.50
Ehlerange
1.50
Syra Mensdorf
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Sporting Mertzig
1.50
Schengen
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Folschette
1.50
Colmarberg
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
Fola Esch
1.50
Moutfort / Medingen
1.50
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.50
Blo-Wäiss Izeg
1.50
Rupensia Lusitanos
1.50
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.33
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.00
Luna Obercorn
0.00
Feulen
0.00
Racing Troisvierges
0.00
Brouch
0.00
Kehlen
0.00
Excelsior Grevels
0.00
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Schouweiler
0.00
Berdorf Consdorf
0.00
Munsbach
0.00
Boevange / Attert
0.00
Red Star Merl-Belair
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Grevenmacher
0.00
SC Ell
0.00
Mamer
0.00
Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
0.00
Claravallis Clervaux
0.00
Sanem
0.00
Biekerech
0.00
Koeppchen
0.00
Noertzange
0.00
Green Boys
0.00
Pratzerthal-Redange
0.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
0.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Les Ardoisiers Perlé
0.00
Koerich
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
US Esch
0.00
Hosingen
0.00
Norden
0.00
Kopstal 33
0.00
Reisdorf
0.00
Tricolore Gasperich
0.00
Berdenia Berbourg
0.00
Erpeldange
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Wincrange
0.00
Jeunesse Biwer
0.00
RM Hamm Benfica
0.00
Rambrouch
0.00
Wiltz is 0.15 points better than Progres Niederkorn in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bastendorf
5.00
Schengen
4.50
FC Differdange 03
4.33
Progres Niederkorn
4.00
Pratzerthal-Redange
4.00
Jeunesse Schieren
4.00
UNA Strassen
4.00
Mondercange
3.50
US Rumelange
3.50
F91 Dudelange
3.50
Union Titus Petange
3.50
US Hostert
3.33
Brouch
3.00
Schouweiler
3.00
The Belval Belvaux
3.00
Alliance Aischdall
3.00
Red Black Egalité
3.00
Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
3.00
Koerich
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
Wiltz
3.00
Sporting Mertzig
3.00
Hosingen
3.00
Berdenia Berbourg
3.00
Wincrange
3.00
Rupensia Lusitanos
3.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.75
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.67
Orania Vianden
2.67
Bourscheid
2.50
Young Boys
2.50
Moutfort / Medingen
2.50
Blo-Wäiss Izeg
2.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.40
Sporting Bertrange
2.33
URB
2.33
Union Kayl-Tétange
2.33
Clemency
2.33
Daring Echternach
2.33
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.33
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.00
Luna Obercorn
2.00
Jeunesse Useldange
2.00
Marisca Mersch
2.00
Racing Troisvierges
2.00
Union Mertert
2.00
Lorentzweiler
2.00
Koeppchen
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
Les Ardoisiers Perlé
2.00
Syra Mensdorf
2.00
Colmarberg
2.00
Tricolore Gasperich
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
Jeunesse Biwer
2.00
RM Hamm Benfica
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Victoria Rosport
1.67
Jeunesse Canach
1.67
Olympia Christnach
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Schifflange
1.50
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
Swift Hesperange
1.50
AS Luxembourg
1.33
Minerva Lintgen
1.20
Feulen
1.00
Kehlen
1.00
Excelsior Grevels
1.00
Berdorf Consdorf
1.00
Munsbach
1.00
Boevange / Attert
1.00
Grevenmacher
1.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.00
SC Ell
1.00
Mamer
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Sanem
1.00
Biekerech
1.00
Red Boys Aspelt
1.00
Noertzange
1.00
Green Boys
1.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
1.00
US Esch
1.00
Folschette
1.00
Kopstal 33
1.00
Erpeldange
1.00
Blô-Weiss Medernach
1.00
Rambrouch
1.00
Stengefort
0.50
Obercorn
0.50
Minière Lasauvage
0.00
Red Star Merl-Belair
0.00
Atert Bissen
0.00
Claravallis Clervaux
0.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
0.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
0.00
Sandweiler
0.00
Norden
0.00
Reisdorf
0.00
Avenir Beggen
0.00
Wiltz is 1.00 goals worse than Progres Niederkorn in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 4.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.33
US Mondorf-les-bains
0.50
Obercorn
0.50
Schifflange
0.50
The Belval Belvaux
0.75
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0.80
AS Luxembourg
1.00
Marisca Mersch
1.00
Victoria Rosport
1.00
Minière Lasauvage
1.00
Atert Bissen
1.00
Progres Niederkorn
1.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Norden
1.00
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Reisdorf
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.00
UNA Strassen
1.25
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.33
Daring Echternach
1.33
Minerva Lintgen
1.40
Wiltz
1.40
Stengefort
1.50
US Rumelange
1.50
Bettembourg
1.50
Rodange 91
1.50
Jeunesse Schieren
1.50
Alisontia Steinsel
1.50
US Hostert
1.67
Union Titus Petange
1.75
F91 Dudelange
1.83
URB
2.00
Bastendorf
2.00
Jeunesse Useldange
2.00
Feulen
2.00
Union Mertert
2.00
Munsbach
2.00
Boevange / Attert
2.00
Red Star Merl-Belair
2.00
Grevenmacher
2.00
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.00
Claravallis Clervaux
2.00
Sanem
2.00
Lorentzweiler
2.00
Jeunesse Junglinster
2.00
Orania Vianden
2.00
Kopstal 33
2.00
Fola Esch
2.00
Avenir Beggen
2.00
Moutfort / Medingen
2.00
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.00
Rambrouch
2.00
Yellow Boys Weiler
2.25
Clemency
2.33
Red Black Egalité
2.50
Young Boys
2.50
Syra Mensdorf
2.50
Sporting Mertzig
2.50
Blô-Weiss Medernach
2.50
Olympia Christnach
3.00
Berdorf Consdorf
3.00
Alliance Aischdall
3.00
Mamer
3.00
Koeppchen
3.00
Green Boys
3.00
Les Aiglons Dalheim
3.00
Heiderscheid / Eschdorf
3.00
Ehlerange
3.00
Schengen
3.00
Erpeldange
3.00
Jeunesse Biwer
3.00
RM Hamm Benfica
3.00
Sporting Bertrange
3.33
Mondercange
3.50
Folschette
3.50
Blo-Wäiss Izeg
3.50
Union Kayl-Tétange
4.00
Racing Troisvierges
4.00
SC Ell
4.00
Red Boys Aspelt
4.00
Noertzange
4.00
Jeunesse Gilsdorf
4.00
Les Ardoisiers Perlé
4.00
Koerich
4.00
US Esch
4.00
Tricolore Gasperich
4.00
Berdenia Berbourg
4.00
Wincrange
4.00
Bourscheid
4.50
Rupensia Lusitanos
4.50
Luna Obercorn
5.00
Brouch
5.00
Kehlen
5.00
Schouweiler
5.00
Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
5.00
Pratzerthal-Redange
5.00
Sandweiler
5.00
Hosingen
5.00
Excelsior Grevels
8.00
Colmarberg
8.00
Biekerech
13.00
Wiltz is 0.40 goals worse than Progres Niederkorn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wiltz or Draw✓ Hit
57.0%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers Wiltz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wiltz or Progres Niederkorn✓ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers Wiltz + Progres Niederkorn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Progres Niederkorn✗ Miss
71.8%
Avg Implied -
28%
29%
43%
covers Draw + Progres Niederkorn
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wiltz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.2%
Under
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
Under
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.9%
Under
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Wiltz, so a minus line means Wiltz give that many goals of a start and Progres Niederkorn receive them. At -1, Wiltz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wiltz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wiltz)Actual: Progres Niederkorn
Wiltz -2
3.5%
Draw -2
8.1%
Progres Niederkorn +2
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Wiltz)Actual: Draw
Wiltz -1
11.6%
Draw -1
16.6%
Progres Niederkorn +1
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Wiltz)Actual: Wiltz
Wiltz +1
57.0%
Draw +1
21.6%
Progres Niederkorn -1
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Wiltz)Actual: Wiltz
Wiltz +2
78.6%
Draw +2
13.2%
Progres Niederkorn -2
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WiltzWiltz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W01L00D00D00D03L10W01LA·UNA16/02H·FOL23/02A·F9102/03H·US 09/03A·JEU12/03A·PRO16/03H·UNI30/03A·SWI06/04H·MON13/04A·AS 19/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.500.930.440.81
vs Stronger (17)0.241.120.251.380.220.89
vs Similar (13)0.770.540.830.330.710.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L20W00D20W10W10W11DH·BET16/02A·VIC23/02H·FC 01/03A·ROD08/03A·AS 12/03H·WIL16/03A·RAC29/03H·UNA05/04A·FOL13/04H·F9119/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.930.400.670.47
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.380.860.430.330.33
vs Weaker (15)1.000.401.000.431.000.38
Clean sheet %63% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WiltzWiltz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L31W03L01L21W13L03L10W10W10WA·UNA16/02H·FOL23/02A·F9102/03H·US 09/03A·JEU12/03A·PRO16/03H·UNI30/03A·SWI06/04H·MON13/04A·AS 19/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.000.790.861.061.12
vs Stronger (17)0.591.290.381.000.781.56
vs Similar (13)1.380.621.330.671.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L10W10W31W11D00D10W10WH·BET16/02A·VIC23/02H·FC 01/03A·ROD08/03A·AS 12/03H·WIL16/03A·RAC29/03H·UNA05/04A·FOL13/04H·F9119/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.070.670.730.47
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.540.710.570.500.50
vs Weaker (15)1.270.601.570.861.000.38
Clean sheet %47% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.5%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals89.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.588.5%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap88.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals82.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap78.6%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals76.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.5%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away71.8%-------✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap71.8%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away71.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Wiltz's squad is €2m less valuable than Progres Niederkorn's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Wiltz and Progres Niederkorn have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Wiltz's defence is €1m less valuable than Progres Niederkorn's (€0m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
WIL wins
1
Draws
5
PN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn · H/A from WIL
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/25AProgres Niederkorn Vs WIL3-1
21/09/24HWIL Vs Progres Niederkorn1-2
30/03/24AProgres Niederkorn Vs WIL3-0
27/09/23HWIL Vs Progres Niederkorn2-2
05/03/23AProgres Niederkorn Vs WIL3-0
04/09/22HWIL Vs Progres Niederkorn1-2

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs WIL1-1
13/04/25HWIL Vs Mondercange2-0
06/04/25ASwift Hesperange Vs WIL3-1
30/03/25HWIL Vs Union Titus Petange0-3
16/03/25AProgres Niederkorn Vs WIL3-1
12/03/25AJeunesse Canach Vs WIL1-2
09/03/25HWIL Vs US Mondorf-les-bains0-2
02/03/25AF91 Dudelange Vs WIL3-1
23/02/25HWIL Vs Fola Esch4-1
16/02/25AUNA Strassen Vs WIL3-0

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25HPN Vs F91 Dudelange2-1
13/04/25AFola Esch Vs PN0-2
05/04/25HPN Vs UNA Strassen1-0
29/03/25ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs PN1-3
16/03/25HPN Vs Wiltz3-1
12/03/25AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs PN0-3
08/03/25ARodange 91 Vs PN1-1
01/03/25HPN Vs FC Differdange 030-2
23/02/25AVictoria Rosport Vs PN0-0
16/02/25HPN Vs Bettembourg1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Wiltz
Wiltz
Luxembourg: Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.14
HomeWWLLW1.09
AwayLWLLD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%26%33%
AVG goals3.283.173.37
Over 1.5 %84%87%81%
Over 2.5 %62%61%63%
Over 3.5 %42%39%44%
Scored1.481.391.56
Conceded1.801.781.81
BTTS62%65%59%
Clean Sheet14%13%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.94
HomeWLWWW2.29
AwayDDWWW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%71%46%
AVG goals2.722.832.62
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.802.001.62
Conceded0.920.831.00
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet40%38%42%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033078
83%
2.6
697+62
2.5
70%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.2
-
2UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3060
60%
2.0
6223+39
2.8
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.8
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3057
57%
1.9
6734+33
3.4
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.1
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3057
57%
1.9
5022+28
2.4
67%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.70.7
-
5Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5430+24
2.8
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3054
53%
1.8
5634+22
3.0
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.1
-
7US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3053
53%
1.8
5339+14
3.1
90%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.3
-
8AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3042
37%
1.4
4148-7
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.6
-
9Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3041
37%
1.4
4132+9
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
10US HostertUS Hostert3038
37%
1.3
5069-19
4.0
93%
83%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.3
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3034
27%
1.1
2945-16
2.5
80%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
12WiltzWiltz3130
26%
1.0
3862-24
3.2
84%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13Rodange 91Rodange 913029
23%
1.0
4062-22
3.4
87%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
14BettembourgBettembourg3123
23%
0.7
2960-31
2.9
77%
65%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
15Fola EschFola Esch3013
13%
0.4
1878-60
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
16MondercangeMondercange3012
10%
0.4
2174-53
3.2
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.5
-
17Atert BissenAtert Bissen13
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.0
-
18Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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