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Wiltz vs Swift Hesperange Result & Analysis

Date: 07/05/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 0-6
Wiltz
Wiltz
Vs
15%
19%
67%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wiltz win✗ Miss
14.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange win✓ Hit
66.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W03L22D10W21W12L30W21W12L03LH·AS 26/02A·PRO05/03H·US 12/03A·RAC19/03H·UNA29/03A·UNI02/04H·ETZ08/04A·FOL16/04H·FC 22/04A·US 30/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.812.001.921.361.71
vs Stronger (12)1.252.671.332.331.173.00
vs Similar (13)1.921.232.501.831.430.71
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-630W12L22D10W40W40W21W43W60W51WH·UNA26/02A·UNI05/03H·ETZ12/03A·FOL19/03H·FC 29/03A·US 02/04H·MON08/04H·F9116/04A·UN 23/04H·VIC30/04
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.370.933.731.332.920.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)3.001.003.111.222.860.71
vs Weaker (11)3.910.824.671.503.000.00
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%516%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.7%
Under 1.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.6%
Under 2.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.6%
Under 3.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
6.9%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
4.9%
Wiltz goals ↓
Swift Hesperange goals →
01234
03.3%5.8%8.2%6.9%4.3%
12.2%8.2%9.3%7.8%4.9%
21.7%4.2%5.3%4.4%2.8%
30.6%1.6%2.0%1.7%1.1%
40.2%0.5%0.6%0.5%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wiltz goals (down), columns = Swift Hesperange goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
Wiltz is 1.37 points worse than Swift Hesperange in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 2.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
Wiltz is 1.73 goals worse than Swift Hesperange in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 3.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
Wiltz is 1.03 goals worse than Swift Hesperange in terms of goals conceded per game (1.97 vs 0.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WiltzWiltz

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

WiltzWiltz

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (13)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (11)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WiltzWiltz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L01L00D10W01L10W11D00D00DH·AS 26/02A·PRO05/03H·US 12/03A·RAC19/03H·UNA29/03A·UNI02/04H·ETZ08/04A·FOL16/04H·FC 22/04A·US 30/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.780.620.620.790.93
vs Stronger (12)0.671.170.500.670.831.67
vs Similar (13)0.770.540.670.670.860.43
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W12L11D00D00D20W11D11D40W31WH·UNA26/02A·UNI05/03H·ETZ12/03A·FOL19/03H·FC 29/03A·US 02/04H·MON08/04H·F9116/04A·UN 23/04H·VIC30/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.480.561.530.871.420.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.310.501.220.671.430.29
vs Weaker (11)1.730.642.001.171.400.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WiltzWiltz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D21W10W11D11D20W10W12L03LH·AS 26/02A·PRO05/03H·US 12/03A·RAC19/03H·UNA29/03A·UNI02/04H·ETZ08/04A·FOL16/04H·FC 22/04A·US 30/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.961.041.381.310.570.79
vs Stronger (12)0.581.500.831.670.331.33
vs Similar (13)1.150.691.831.170.570.29
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swift Hesperange) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D11D10W40W20W10W32W20W20WH·UNA26/02A·UNI05/03H·ETZ12/03A·FOL19/03H·FC 29/03A·US 02/04H·MON08/04H·F9116/04A·UN 23/04H·VIC30/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.890.372.200.471.500.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.690.501.890.561.430.43
vs Weaker (11)2.180.182.670.331.600.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swift Hesperange over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.570.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
Wiltz and Swift Hesperange have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
Wiltz and Swift Hesperange have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Wiltz and Swift Hesperange have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
Wiltz and Swift Hesperange have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
WIL wins
0
Draws
1
SH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Wiltz vs Swift Hesperange · H/A from WIL
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/22ASwift Hesperange Vs WIL4-2

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs WIL3-0
22/04/23HWIL Vs FC Differdange 031-2
16/04/23AFola Esch Vs WIL1-2
08/04/23HWIL Vs Etzella Ettelbruck3-0
02/04/23AUnion Titus Petange Vs WIL2-1
29/03/23HWIL Vs UNA Strassen2-1
19/03/23ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs WIL0-1
12/03/23HWIL Vs US Hostert2-2
05/03/23AProgres Niederkorn Vs WIL3-0
26/02/23HWIL Vs AS Jeunesse Esch3-2

Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23HSH Vs Victoria Rosport5-1
23/04/23AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs SH0-6
16/04/23HSH Vs F91 Dudelange4-3
08/04/23HSH Vs Mondercange2-1
02/04/23AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs SH0-4
29/03/23HSH Vs FC Differdange 034-0
19/03/23AFola Esch Vs SH0-1
12/03/23HSH Vs Etzella Ettelbruck2-2
05/03/23AUnion Titus Petange Vs SH2-1
26/02/23HSH Vs UNA Strassen3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Wiltz
Wiltz
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.30
HomeWDWWL1.38
AwayLWLWL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%38%36%
AVG goals3.483.923.07
Over 1.5 %89%100%79%
Over 2.5 %78%85%71%
Over 3.5 %33%46%21%
Scored1.672.001.36
Conceded1.811.921.71
BTTS67%77%57%
Clean Sheet15%8%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Swift Hesperange
Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.67
HomeDWWWW2.73
AwayWLWWW2.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %85%87%83%
AVG goals4.305.073.33
Over 1.5 %93%100%83%
Over 2.5 %85%87%83%
Over 3.5 %67%73%58%
Scored3.373.732.92
Conceded0.931.330.42
BTTS56%73%33%
Clean Sheet44%27%67%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3077
80%
2.6
10028+72
4.3
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.30.9
-
2Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3070
73%
2.3
6731+36
3.3
73%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.0
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3067
73%
2.2
8638+48
4.1
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.3
-
4Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3059
60%
2.0
6238+24
3.3
87%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033045
47%
1.5
6043+17
3.4
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
6US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3045
47%
1.5
5252+0
3.5
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.7
-
7AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3043
40%
1.4
4439+5
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
8Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3043
37%
1.4
4339+4
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.3
-
9UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3039
40%
1.3
3346-13
2.6
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
10WiltzWiltz3036
33%
1.2
4859-11
3.6
90%
77%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3032
27%
1.1
4858-10
3.5
87%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
12MondercangeMondercange3029
23%
1.0
4155-14
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973128
19%
0.9
3371-38
3.4
84%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.3
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3127
26%
0.9
3974-35
3.6
81%
71%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.4
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck3023
20%
0.8
3271-39
3.4
90%
77%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.4
-
16US HostertUS Hostert3018
13%
0.6
2065-45
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.2
-
17Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.03.0
-
18BettembourgBettembourg10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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