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Wiltz vs UNA Strassen Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Wiltz
Wiltz
Vs
39%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wiltz win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D23L13L01L11D21W11D20W13L22DA·F9114/05H·UN 21/05A·F9106/08H·AS 13/08A·MAR20/08H·SCH27/08A·SWI03/09H·UNI17/09A·VIC24/09H·PRO27/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.831.872.001.131.67
vs Stronger (16)1.122.441.382.500.882.38
vs Similar (12)1.831.252.331.671.330.83
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L10W15L21W22D42W30W22D02L11DA·ETZ14/05H·FOL21/05H·SWI06/08H·UN 13/08A·UNI20/08H·US 27/08A·VIC03/09H·FC 17/09A·PRO23/09H·F9127/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.471.561.620.861.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.001.571.251.830.671.22
vs Weaker (9)1.781.222.501.001.201.40
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
Wiltz goals ↓
UNA Strassen goals →
01234
06.9%6.7%5.3%2.4%0.8%
17.4%13%8.0%3.6%1.2%
26.4%8.7%5.9%2.7%0.9%
33.2%4.3%3.0%1.3%0.5%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wiltz goals (down), columns = UNA Strassen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Differdange 03
2.20
F91 Dudelange
2.03
Swift Hesperange
2.03
Progres Niederkorn
1.83
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.50
UNA Strassen
1.47
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.30
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.27
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.27
Wiltz
1.10
Mondercange
1.07
US Rumelange
1.00
US Hostert
1.00
Fola Esch
0.94
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.94
Marisca Mersch
0.87
Schifflange
0.83
Wiltz is 0.37 points worse than UNA Strassen in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Differdange 03
2.33
Swift Hesperange
2.20
US Rumelange
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.97
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.83
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.70
Union Titus Petange
1.60
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.53
Victoria Rosport
1.50
Wiltz
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.33
Marisca Mersch
1.33
Schifflange
1.20
Fola Esch
1.13
Mondercange
1.10
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.03
US Hostert
1.00
Wiltz is 0.10 goals better than UNA Strassen in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Differdange 03
0.77
US Hostert
1.00
Swift Hesperange
1.17
Progres Niederkorn
1.17
F91 Dudelange
1.20
UNA Strassen
1.27
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.37
Victoria Rosport
1.47
Union Titus Petange
1.57
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.61
Wiltz
1.73
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
Mondercange
1.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.93
Schifflange
1.97
US Rumelange
2.00
Fola Esch
2.03
Marisca Mersch
2.07
Wiltz is 0.47 goals worse than UNA Strassen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WiltzWiltz

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

WiltzWiltz

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (12)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Progres Niederkorn
10.8
FC Differdange 03
10.0
F91 Dudelange
9.3
Swift Hesperange
8.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
8.8
Progres Niederkorn
7.5
Fola Esch
7.0
Swift Hesperange
5.8
F91 Dudelange
5.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
48.0
Swift Hesperange
31.5
Progres Niederkorn
29.0
F91 Dudelange
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WiltzWiltz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L12L00D01L00D01L10W02L02LA·F9114/05H·UN 21/05A·F9106/08H·AS 13/08A·MAR20/08H·SCH27/08A·SWI03/09H·UNI17/09A·VIC24/09H·PRO27/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.900.530.800.471.00
vs Stronger (16)0.501.190.501.000.501.38
vs Similar (12)0.500.670.500.670.500.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L21W02L01L20W00D00D10WA·ETZ14/05H·FOL21/05H·SWI06/08H·UN 13/08A·UNI20/08H·US 27/08A·VIC03/09H·FC 17/09A·PRO23/09H·F9127/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.620.620.360.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.290.810.330.670.221.00
vs Weaker (9)1.000.561.500.500.600.60
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WiltzWiltz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W01L01L10W21W10W10W11D20WA·F9114/05H·UN 21/05A·F9106/08H·AS 13/08A·MAR20/08H·SCH27/08A·SWI03/09H·UNI17/09A·VIC24/09H·PRO27/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.931.331.200.670.67
vs Stronger (16)0.621.250.881.500.381.00
vs Similar (12)1.330.581.831.000.830.17
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W03L00D20W41W10W22D02L01LA·ETZ14/05H·FOL21/05H·SWI06/08H·UN 13/08A·UNI20/08H·US 27/08A·VIC03/09H·FC 17/09A·PRO23/09H·F9127/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.941.000.500.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.710.760.921.170.440.22
vs Weaker (9)0.780.671.000.500.600.80
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Wiltz) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wiltz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wiltz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Wiltz's squad is €2m less valuable than UNA Strassen's (€0m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
Wiltz and UNA Strassen have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
Wiltz and UNA Strassen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
Wiltz's defence is €1m less valuable than UNA Strassen's (€0m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
WIL wins
0
Draws
1
US wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Wiltz vs UNA Strassen · H/A from WIL
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/23HWIL Vs UNA Strassen2-1
09/10/22AUNA Strassen Vs WIL4-3

WiltzWiltz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23HWIL Vs Progres Niederkorn2-2
24/09/23AVictoria Rosport Vs WIL3-1
17/09/23HWIL Vs Union Titus Petange2-0
03/09/23ASwift Hesperange Vs WIL1-1
27/08/23HWIL Vs Schifflange2-1
20/08/23AMarisca Mersch Vs WIL1-1
13/08/23HWIL Vs AS Jeunesse Esch0-1
06/08/23AF91 Dudelange Vs WIL3-1
21/05/23HWIL Vs UN Kaerjeng 972-3
14/05/23AF91 Dudelange Vs WIL1-1

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23HUS Vs F91 Dudelange1-1
23/09/23AProgres Niederkorn Vs US2-0
17/09/23HUS Vs FC Differdange 032-2
03/09/23AVictoria Rosport Vs US0-3
27/08/23HUS Vs US Mondorf-les-bains4-2
20/08/23AUnion Titus Petange Vs US2-2
13/08/23HUS Vs UN Kaerjeng 972-1
06/08/23HUS Vs Swift Hesperange1-5
21/05/23HUS Vs Fola Esch1-0
14/05/23AEtzella Ettelbruck Vs US3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Wiltz
Wiltz
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.18
HomeLLWWD1.32
AwayDLDDL1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%37%26%
AVG goals3.393.793.00
Over 1.5 %89%95%84%
Over 2.5 %71%79%63%
Over 3.5 %37%47%26%
Scored1.531.791.26
Conceded1.872.001.74
BTTS68%68%68%
Clean Sheet13%11%16%
Corners---
Cards---
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD1.34
HomeLWWDD1.50
AwayDLDWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%45%33%
AVG goals2.873.452.22
Over 1.5 %76%85%67%
Over 2.5 %61%65%56%
Over 3.5 %29%45%11%
Scored1.261.600.89
Conceded1.611.851.33
BTTS50%60%39%
Clean Sheet24%15%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033066
63%
2.2
7023+47
3.1
90%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.8
-
2Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3061
60%
2.0
6635+31
3.4
90%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.2
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3061
63%
2.0
5936+23
3.2
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.2
-
4Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5435+19
3.0
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.2
-
5AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3045
43%
1.5
5141+10
3.1
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.71.4
-
6UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3044
37%
1.5
4038+2
2.6
77%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.3
-
7Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3044
40%
1.5
4544+1
3.0
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.5
-
8Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3039
37%
1.3
4847+1
3.2
83%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
9US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3038
33%
1.3
5553+2
3.6
97%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.8
-
10Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3038
37%
1.3
4658-12
3.5
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.9
-
11WiltzWiltz3033
23%
1.1
4352-9
3.2
87%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
12MondercangeMondercange3032
27%
1.1
3357-24
3.0
87%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973129
23%
0.9
3250-18
2.6
71%
52%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3129
26%
0.9
3563-28
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
15Marisca MerschMarisca Mersch3026
23%
0.9
4062-22
3.4
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
16SchifflangeSchifflange3025
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
17US RumelangeUS Rumelange11
0%
1.0
22+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
18US HostertUS Hostert11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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