PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

WIT Georgia vs Gareji Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2022
Time: 10:00
Final 0-2
WIT Georgia
WIT Georgia
Vs
40%
25%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gareji
Gareji
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

WIT Georgia win✗ Miss
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gareji win✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L15L03L01L11D21W53W23L04L14LA·MER20/08H·SPA28/08A·SAM04/09A·GAR11/09H·RUS17/09A·SHU01/10H·MER09/10H·MER15/10A·SPA23/10H·SAM29/10
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.112.071.462.080.792.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.222.001.642.090.831.92
vs Weaker (4)0.502.500.502.000.503.00
Clean sheet %15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L40W23L10W01L40W20W12L02L00DA·SHU21/08H·SAM28/08A·MER04/09H·WIT11/09A·MER17/09H·RUS01/10A·SPA09/10H·SHU16/10A·SAM23/10H·MER29/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.261.301.620.770.931.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.221.431.360.911.081.92
vs Weaker (4)1.500.503.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (WIT Georgia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
1-0
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
WIT Georgia goals ↓
Gareji goals →
01234
04.8%5.0%4.7%2.4%1.0%
15.5%11%8.0%4.2%1.6%
25.5%8.6%6.8%3.5%1.4%
33.1%4.9%3.8%2.0%0.8%
41.3%2.1%1.6%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WIT Georgia goals (down), columns = Gareji goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kolkheti Khobi
3.00
Shukura
2.16
Spaeri
1.74
Samtredia
1.70
Merani Martvili
1.65
Gareji
1.29
Merani Tbilisi
1.29
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.23
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
WIT Georgia
0.88
Rustavi
0.81
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
WIT Georgia is 0.41 points worse than Gareji in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.29).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spaeri
2.03
Shukura
2.00
Merani Martvili
1.97
Samtredia
1.57
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.54
Gareji
1.35
Merani Tbilisi
1.32
Rustavi
1.16
WIT Georgia
1.09
Shevardeni 1906
1.00
Kolkheti Khobi
1.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.00
WIT Georgia is 0.26 goals worse than Gareji in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.35).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolkheti Khobi
0.00
Aragvi Dusheti
0.50
Shukura
0.90
Samtredia
1.03
Gareji
1.32
Dinamo Zugdidi
1.38
Spaeri
1.42
Merani Martvili
1.71
Merani Tbilisi
1.84
Rustavi
1.84
WIT Georgia
1.94
Shevardeni 1906
2.15
WIT Georgia is 0.62 goals worse than Gareji in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.32).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L02L00D00D01L31W12L01L12LA·MER20/08H·SPA28/08A·SAM04/09A·GAR11/09H·RUS17/09A·SHU01/10H·MER09/10H·MER15/10A·SPA23/10H·SAM29/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.481.040.771.080.211.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.480.960.821.090.170.83
vs Weaker (4)0.501.500.501.000.502.00
Clean sheet %26% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W00D00D00D10W01L00D00DA·SHU21/08H·SAM28/08A·MER04/09H·WIT11/09A·MER17/09H·RUS01/10A·SPA09/10H·SHU16/10A·SAM23/10H·MER29/10
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.260.520.230.460.290.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.300.610.270.550.330.67
vs Weaker (4)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (WIT Georgia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WIT Georgia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L01L01L11D20W22D11D03L02LA·MER20/08H·SPA28/08A·SAM04/09A·GAR11/09H·RUS17/09A·SHU01/10H·MER09/10H·MER15/10A·SPA23/10H·SAM29/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.040.691.000.571.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.741.040.821.000.671.08
vs Weaker (4)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Gareji) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GarejiGareji

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W13L10W01L40W10W11D02L00DA·SHU21/08H·SAM28/08A·MER04/09H·WIT11/09A·MER17/09H·RUS01/10A·SPA09/10H·SHU16/10A·SAM23/10H·MER29/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.781.380.310.641.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.910.831.090.360.751.25
vs Weaker (4)1.500.503.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (WIT Georgia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WIT Georgia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WIT Georgia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gareji over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (22)
€2m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (4)
€0m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUS (10)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
WG wins
1
Draws
2
GAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

WIT Georgia vs Gareji · H/A from WG
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22AGareji Vs WG1-0
15/06/22HWG Vs Gareji0-2
11/04/22AGareji Vs WG1-1

WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HWG Vs Samtredia1-4
23/10/22ASpaeri Vs WG4-0
15/10/22HWG Vs Merani Tbilisi2-3
09/10/22HWG Vs Merani Martvili5-3
01/10/22AShukura Vs WG1-2
17/09/22HWG Vs Rustavi1-1
11/09/22AGareji Vs WG1-0
04/09/22ASamtredia Vs WG3-0
28/08/22HWG Vs Spaeri1-5
20/08/22AMerani Tbilisi Vs WG3-1

GarejiGareji

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/22HGAR Vs Merani Martvili0-0
23/10/22ASamtredia Vs GAR2-0
16/10/22HGAR Vs Shukura1-2
09/10/22ASpaeri Vs GAR0-2
01/10/22HGAR Vs Rustavi4-0
17/09/22AMerani Tbilisi Vs GAR1-0
11/09/22HGAR Vs WIT Georgia1-0
04/09/22AMerani Martvili Vs GAR3-2
28/08/22HGAR Vs Samtredia4-0
21/08/22AShukura Vs GAR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

WIT Georgia
WIT Georgia
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL0.81
HomeLDWLL1.00
AwayLLLWL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %19%23%14%
AVG goals3.193.542.86
Over 1.5 %85%85%86%
Over 2.5 %63%54%71%
Over 3.5 %41%46%36%
Scored1.111.460.79
Conceded2.072.082.07
BTTS63%69%57%
Clean Sheet15%23%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Gareji
Gareji
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.15
HomeWWWLD1.62
AwayLLLWL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%21%
AVG goals2.562.382.71
Over 1.5 %81%85%79%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %30%23%36%
Scored1.261.620.93
Conceded1.300.771.79
BTTS41%54%29%
Clean Sheet37%46%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ShukuraShukura3167
68%
2.2
6228+34
2.9
81%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.9
-
2SpaeriSpaeri3154
52%
1.7
6344+19
3.5
90%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
3SamtrediaSamtredia3051
50%
1.7
4731+16
2.6
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4Merani MartviliMerani Martvili3151
48%
1.6
6153+8
3.7
84%
81%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
5GarejiGareji3140
35%
1.3
4241+1
2.7
84%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
6Merani TbilisiMerani Tbilisi3140
39%
1.3
4157-16
3.2
77%
68%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
7WIT GeorgiaWIT Georgia3329
21%
0.9
3664-28
3.0
82%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
8RustaviRustavi3226
22%
0.8
3759-22
3.0
88%
66%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
9Dinamo ZugdidiDinamo Zugdidi1316
31%
1.2
2018+2
2.9
69%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
10Shevardeni 1906Shevardeni 19061313
31%
1.0
1328-15
3.2
77%
77%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
11Kolkheti KhobiKolkheti Khobi26
100%
3.0
20+2
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
12Aragvi DushetiAragvi Dusheti21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2 stats & trends →

← all matches