Wrexham enter the match on a winning streak, having beaten Millwall 3-0, while Burnley return from a draw with Middlesbrough. The model’s most likely outcome is a Wrexham victory, with a 42% chance, a draw at 23%, and a Burnley win at 35%. The expected goal tally is 3.7, centring on a 3-goal total that carries a 21% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.5% chance, signalling a tight contest rather than a blowout.
Home form shows Wrexham averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.92 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Burnley’s away numbers are 0.90 scored and 2.70 conceded. The model’s selections reflect a defensive tilt: the probability that both teams score in the first half is 98.1%, and the chance of a home under-2.5 first-half total is 97.0%. Over-1.5 goals overall has an 88.9% probability, with a 10% edge over the market.
The full list of suggested picks includes: Away under 2.5 HT goals98.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals97.0%, Under 7.596.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals95.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals93.7%, Under 6.592.2%, Away under 3.5 goals90.1%, and Over 1.588.9%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wrexham win
42.1%
Avg Implied 41.5% · @ 2.27
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.33
1xBet
2.27
Unibet
2.20
Draw
23.4%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.58
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.65
Unibet
3.60
1xBet
3.50
Burnley win
34.6%
Avg Implied 32.3% · @ 2.91
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.95
Unibet
2.90
1xBet
2.87
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wrexham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.47
1.67
1.73
1.47
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.50
1.85
1.58
1.92
1.38
1.75
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
0.56
2.00
0.50
1.57
0.57
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.87
1.31
1.62
0.79
2.14
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.43
1.50
1.75
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.10
2.15
1.30
1.60
0.90
2.70
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.9%
@ 1.18+9.6%
Under 1.5
11.1%
@ 4.50-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.18
Under
Unibet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.7%
@ 1.60+12.8%
Under 2.5
29.3%
@ 2.20-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.60
Under
Unibet
2.20
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.7%
@ 2.55+13.3%
Under 3.5
50.3%
@ 1.46-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Under
Unibet
1.46
Both teams to score
Yes
71.2%
@ 1.52+10.2%
No
28.8%
@ 2.38-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.52
No
Unibet
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%@ 6.00+0.8%
2-1
8.3%@ 7.00+0.8%
1-2
7.5%@ 8.00+0.9%
2-2
7.2%@ 8.50+1.0%
3-1
5.3%@ 11.00+0.6%
2-0
4.8%@ 9.50-0.7%
3-2
4.6%@ 13.00+0.6%
1-3
4.3%@ 13.00+0.3%
Wrexham goals ↓
Burnley goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
3.6%
3.9%
2.2%
1.0%
1
4.1%
9.5%
7.5%
4.3%
1.9%
2
4.8%
8.3%
7.2%
4.2%
1.8%
3
3.1%
5.3%
4.6%
2.7%
1.2%
4
1.5%
2.5%
2.2%
1.3%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wrexham goals (down), columns = Burnley goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
West Ham
1.92
Wolves
1.90
Millwall
1.75
Burnley
1.72
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Birmingham
1.39
Swansea
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Sheffield United
1.30
Preston
1.30
Cardiff
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Stoke
1.20
Portsmouth
1.20
West Brom
1.15
Charlton
1.15
Blackburn
1.13
Bolton
1.00
Lincoln
0.94
Wrexham is 0.18 points worse than Burnley in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
West Ham
1.82
Wolves
1.81
Southampton
1.73
Burnley
1.63
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Birmingham
1.24
Swansea
1.24
Cardiff
1.23
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Charlton
0.96
Bolton
0.95
Blackburn
0.91
Lincoln
0.89
Wrexham is 0.13 goals worse than Burnley in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
West Ham
0.92
Wolves
0.93
Middlesbrough
1.00
Burnley
1.03
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Norwich
1.22
Stoke
1.22
West Brom
1.26
Charlton
1.26
Bristol City
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Derby
1.28
Preston
1.35
Cardiff
1.36
Portsmouth
1.39
Wrexham
1.41
Watford
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
QPR
1.59
Bolton
1.77
Lincoln
1.87
Wrexham is 0.39 goals worse than Burnley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wrexham
For 4.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Burnley
For 5.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 9.9 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wrexham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.4
3.5
3.6
3.3
19.8
19.5
20.1
vs Stronger (1)
13.0
13.0
-
6.0
6.0
-
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (31)
9.1
9.5
8.7
3.5
3.6
3.4
19.9
19.4
20.5
vs Weaker (18)
11.7
10.6
12.6
3.2
3.1
3.3
19.7
20.0
19.5
% over line
53%
46%
61%
46%
42%
50%
35%
31%
39%
% under line
47%
54%
39%
54%
58%
50%
65%
69%
61%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.4
9.9
3.0
2.6
3.6
19.8
19.4
20.2
vs Stronger (14)
9.9
9.6
10.1
2.9
2.1
3.7
20.4
20.6
20.1
vs Similar (33)
9.2
9.4
9.1
3.0
2.5
3.7
19.3
18.3
20.6
vs Weaker (3)
12.0
8.5
19.0
3.7
4.5
2.0
22.3
25.5
16.0
% over line
49%
48%
50%
40%
29%
55%
35%
26%
45%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
60%
71%
45%
65%
74%
55%
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield United
11.4
Southampton
11.1
West Ham
11.1
Middlesbrough
10.9
Portsmouth
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Cardiff
10.8
Blackburn
10.8
Bolton
10.5
Preston
10.5
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.4
Norwich
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
Wrexham
10.1
Derby
10.0
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Charlton
9.8
Burnley
9.6
West Brom
9.4
Wolves
9.4
Lincoln
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Derby
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Sheffield United
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Swansea
4.0
Norwich
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Portsmouth
3.8
Southampton
3.8
West Ham
3.8
QPR
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
Bolton
3.6
Charlton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Preston
3.4
West Brom
3.3
Burnley
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
23.4
Lincoln
23.0
Derby
22.9
Swansea
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
West Ham
22.1
Southampton
21.9
Bolton
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.5
Charlton
21.5
Bristol City
21.4
Sheffield United
21.4
Stoke
21.0
Watford
20.9
West Brom
20.9
QPR
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Blackburn
20.5
Millwall
20.5
Preston
20.4
Burnley
19.9
Wrexham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.3%
@ 1.58-1.7%
Under 9.5
43.7%
@ 2.18+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.58
Under
Unibet
2.18
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
38.7%
Under 21.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wrexham or Draw
65.4%
Avg Implied 68.2% · @ 1.38
Edge
-2.7%
42%
23%
35%
covers Wrexham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.38
Wrexham or Burnley
76.6%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
+2.5%
42%
23%
35%
covers Wrexham + Burnley
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.27
Draw or Burnley
57.9%
Avg Implied 57.7% · @ 1.63
Edge
+0.2%
42%
23%
35%
covers Draw + Burnley
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.63
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wrexham over/under 0.5
Over
85.4%
@ 1.16+6.2%
Under
14.6%
@ 4.40-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.16
Under
Unibet
4.40
Wrexham over/under 1.5
Over
57.3%
@ 1.88+8.4%
Under
42.7%
@ 1.80-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.88
Under
Unibet
1.80
Wrexham over/under 2.5
Over
30.2%
@ 3.85+6.5%
Under
69.8%
@ 1.20-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.85
Under
Unibet
1.20
Wrexham over/under 3.5
Over
12.9%
@ 8.50+2.2%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.02-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
8.50
Under
Unibet
1.02
Burnley over/under 0.5
Over
82.4%
@ 1.24+8.3%
Under
17.6%
@ 3.55-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.24
Under
Unibet
3.55
Burnley over/under 1.5
Over
51.8%
@ 2.25+10.8%
Under
48.2%
@ 1.56-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.25
Under
Unibet
1.56
Burnley over/under 2.5
Over
25.2%
@ 5.00+6.9%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.12-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.00
Under
Unibet
1.12
Burnley over/under 3.5
Over
9.9%
Under
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wrexham, so a minus line means Wrexham give that many goals of a start and Burnley receive them. At -1, Wrexham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wrexham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wrexham)
Wrexham -2
10.7%
@ 8.00-0.4%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 6.00-2.0%
Burnley +2
76.4%
@ 1.20+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
8.00
Draw
Unibet
6.00
Away
Unibet
1.20
Handicap -1 (Wrexham)
Wrexham -1
23.6%
@ 3.95+1.2%
Draw -1
18.5%
@ 3.85-4.5%
Burnley +1
57.9%
@ 1.62+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
3.95
Draw
Unibet
3.85
Away
Unibet
1.62
Handicap +1 (Wrexham)
Wrexham +1
65.4%
@ 1.37+0.9%
Draw +1
16.6%
@ 4.40-3.5%
Burnley -1
18.0%
@ 5.75+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.37
Draw
Unibet
4.40
Away
Unibet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Wrexham)
Wrexham +2
82.0%
@ 1.10+0.7%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 8.00-0.7%
Burnley -2
7.5%
@ 12.00+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.10
Draw
Unibet
8.00
Away
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wrexham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.07
0.73
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.75
0.92
0.83
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.22
2.00
0.00
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.97
0.56
0.94
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
1.10
0.50
1.10
0.60
1.10
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.4%
@ 1.27+0.2%
Under 0.5
27.6%
@ 3.30-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.27
Under
Unibet
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.8%
@ 2.40+0.3%
Under 1.5
61.2%
@ 1.50-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.40
Under
Unibet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 5.50-2.5%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.09+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.50
Under
Unibet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.6%
@ 1.81-4.6%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.90+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.81
Under
Unibet
1.90
Wrexham over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.9%
@ 5.10-5.2%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.13+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.10
Under
Unibet
1.13
Wrexham over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.8%
@ 2.02+2.9%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.71-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.02
Under
Unibet
1.71
Burnley over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.4%
@ 6.25-1.5%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
6.25
Under
Unibet
1.09
Burnley over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wrexham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.60
1.00
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.80
1.10
0.67
1.08
1.00
1.12
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Burnley
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.75
0.69
0.36
1.14
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.57
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
1.05
0.80
0.50
0.30
1.60
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.2%
@ 1.15+0.5%
Under 0.5
18.8%
@ 4.80-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.15
Under
Unibet
4.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.2%
@ 1.80-1.3%
Under 1.5
49.8%
@ 1.91+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.80
Under
Unibet
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
25.7%
@ 3.55-0.3%
Under 2.5
74.3%
@ 1.25+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.55
Under
Unibet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.4%
Under
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2H
Over
56.5%
Under
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.9%
Under
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
88.9%
1.18
Unibet
1.18
-
-
-
-
+9.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.13
Unibet
1.13
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
87.1%
1.02
Unibet
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.2%
Under 25.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.6%
1.09
Unibet
1.09
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.09
Unibet
1.09
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
85.4%
1.16
Unibet
1.16
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
83.6%
1.04
Unibet
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.0%
Away over 0.5 goals
82.4%
1.24
Unibet
1.24
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
Home +2 handicap
82.0%
1.10
Unibet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+0.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.15
Unibet
1.15
-
-
-
-
+0.5%
Home or Away
76.6%
1.27
Unibet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
Away +2 handicap
76.4%
1.20
Unibet
1.20
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
Under 23.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
74.8%
1.12
Unibet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-6.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.3%
1.25
Unibet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+0.3%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.4%
1.27
Unibet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+0.2%
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.52
Unibet
1.52
-
-
-
-
+10.2%
Under 4.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
70.7%
1.60
Unibet
1.60
-
-
-
-
+12.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wrexham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kieffer Moore40%
Daniel Imray20%
Callum Doyle20%
Matty James0%
Zak Vyner0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Ben Whiteman0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Oliver Rathbone0%
Sam Smith0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Ryan Longman0%
George Thomason0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ben Whiteman40%
Dominic Hyam40%
Bailey Cadamarteri33%
Nathan Broadhead25%
Kieffer Moore20%
Sam Smith20%
Lewis O'Brien20%
Callum Doyle20%
Matty James0%
Zak Vyner0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Oliver Rathbone0%
Ryan Longman0%
George Thomason0%
Daniel Imray0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Imray40%
Lewis O'Brien20%
Matty James0%
Zak Vyner0%
Kieffer Moore0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Ben Whiteman0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Oliver Rathbone0%
Sam Smith0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Ryan Longman0%
George Thomason0%
Callum Doyle0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kieffer Moore40%
Sam Smith20%
Daniel Imray20%
Callum Doyle20%
Matty James0%
Zak Vyner0%
Anthony Patterson0%
Ben Whiteman0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Oliver Rathbone0%
Lewis O'Brien0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Ryan Longman0%
George Thomason0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zian Flemming50%
Josh Laurent20%
Ugo Raghouber17%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zian Flemming25%
Oliver Sonne25%
Josh Laurent20%
Marcus Edwards20%
Hannibal Mejbri17%
Ugo Raghouber17%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Armando Broja0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Max Alleyne25%
Marcus Edwards20%
Jacob Bruun Larsen17%
Zeki Amdouni17%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Josh Laurent0%
Zian Flemming0%
Mike Trésor0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Aaron Ramsey0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Ugo Raghouber0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zian Flemming75%
Josh Laurent20%
Aaron Ramsey20%
Jacob Bruun Larsen0%
Kyle Walker0%
Anel Ahmedhodžić0%
Connor Roberts0%
Mike Trésor0%
Marcus Edwards0%
Zeki Amdouni0%
Oliver Sonne0%
Armando Broja0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Max Alleyne0%
Max Weiss0%
Lucas Pires0%
Ugo Raghouber0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
LIN (24)
€12m
Wrexham's squad is €38m less valuable than Burnley's (€77m vs €115m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
BOL (6)
€4m
LIN (7)
€3m
Wrexham's attack is €55m less valuable than Burnley's (€15m vs €70m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
POR (5)
€5m
BOL (4)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
LIN (4)
€2m
Wrexham's midfield is €14m more valuable than Burnley's (€23m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WHU (12)
€141m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
LIN (13)
€6m
Wrexham's defence is €2m more valuable than Burnley's (€39m vs €37m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
West Brom
Birmingham
Sheffield United
Millwall
West Ham
Blackburn
Watford
Bolton
Derby
Lincoln
Cardiff
Norwich
Portsmouth
Stoke
Preston