The match sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a Wrexham win at 41% versus a 28% chance of a draw and 31% for Watford. The predicted outcome is a home victory, and the expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high scoring affair. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% chance, while the average total of 2 goals is expected 26% of the time. Wrexham, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, normally scores 2.2 goals and concedes 1.8. Watford, on the road, averages 0.85 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 79%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.9%, and Under 3.5 goals at 72.8%. All figures are presented as percentages, with no repetition of any number.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Wrexham, failed to deliver as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The model had given Wrexham a 41% chance of victory, but the game ended in a stalemate, with both sides scoring twice. The model’s selection of a home win was therefore missed. The suggested picks were mixed: Under 5.5 cards (79%) missed, Over 2.5 cards (75.7%) hit, Over 1.5 (75.2%) hit, Over 19.5 fouls (74.1%) missed, Under 25.5 fouls (73.2%) hit, Under 11.5 corners (72.9%) hit, and Under 3.5 (72.8%) missed. Both teams were coming off defeats, with Wrexham’s last five games reading LDDLD and Watford’s reading LDLDW. The final score of 2-2 matched the model’s most likely total of 2 goals, but the outcome was a draw instead of a home win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wrexham win✗ Miss
40.9%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.76
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.34
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Watford win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.48
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wrexham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.07
1.75
1.19
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.58
1.42
2.20
1.80
1.14
1.14
vs Weaker (18)
1.39
0.83
1.55
0.91
1.14
0.71
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.30
1.44
1.06
0.86
1.57
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
1.17
1.31
1.44
1.06
0.85
1.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
@ 1.92+0.3%
Under 2.5
50.9%
@ 1.83-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
2-2 ✓
5.3%
Wrexham goals ↓
Watford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
7.4%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
1
9.0%
14%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.3%
8.8%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.5%
4.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wrexham goals (down), columns = Watford goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Wrexham is 0.30 points better than Watford in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Wrexham is 0.35 goals better than Watford in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Wrexham and Watford are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Wrexham is 3.1 percentage points worse than Watford in terms of average possession (48% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wrexham
For 3.6 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Watford
For 5.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 7.8 · Total 19.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wrexham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.3
3.3
3.2
3.3
19.9
19.7
20.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
8.5
9.2
8.0
3.2
2.3
3.9
19.0
17.2
20.6
vs Weaker (37)
9.9
9.9
9.8
3.3
3.5
3.1
20.2
20.5
19.8
% over line
54%
56%
52%
44%
44%
44%
36%
32%
40%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
56%
56%
56%
64%
68%
60%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.3
4.2
3.9
4.5
21.7
20.9
22.6
vs Stronger (3)
10.3
14.0
8.5
3.0
0.0
4.5
22.0
18.0
24.0
vs Similar (47)
9.6
9.8
9.3
4.3
4.1
4.5
21.7
21.0
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
58%
48%
54%
50%
58%
55%
46%
65%
% under line
47%
42%
52%
46%
50%
42%
45%
54%
35%
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Coventry
11.2
Sheffield Weds
10.9
Norwich
10.5
Portsmouth
10.5
Oxford
10.5
Sheffield United
10.4
Hull
10.2
Millwall
10.2
Derby
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Southampton
10.0
QPR
10.0
Middlesbrough
10.0
Blackburn
10.0
Ipswich
9.9
Stoke
9.9
Watford
9.7
West Brom
9.7
Preston
9.6
Bristol City
9.5
Wrexham
9.5
Birmingham
9.4
Swansea
9.1
Charlton
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.3
Portsmouth
4.2
Ipswich
4.1
Stoke
3.9
QPR
3.9
Norwich
3.8
Southampton
3.8
Swansea
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Preston
3.6
Blackburn
3.6
Sheffield United
3.5
Leicester
3.5
Middlesbrough
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Hull
3.4
Charlton
3.4
Derby
3.4
Bristol City
3.3
West Brom
3.3
Oxford
3.3
Sheffield Weds
3.3
Wrexham
3.3
Millwall
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Blackburn
23.7
Birmingham
23.4
Southampton
23.4
Millwall
23.1
Swansea
23.0
Portsmouth
22.8
QPR
22.8
Charlton
22.6
Sheffield Weds
22.6
Middlesbrough
22.5
Ipswich
22.5
Sheffield United
22.2
Norwich
22.1
Watford
21.9
Hull
21.7
Preston
21.5
Leicester
21.5
Stoke
21.4
Oxford
21.4
West Brom
21.2
Derby
21.1
Coventry
20.6
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.6%
Under 9.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wrexham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.56
0.50
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.50
0.80
0.60
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (18)
0.39
0.44
0.45
0.45
0.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.75
0.88
0.14
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (29)
0.45
0.90
0.75
0.88
0.08
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wrexham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
1.19
0.69
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.92
1.40
1.20
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (18)
1.00
0.39
1.09
0.45
0.86
0.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Watford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.69
0.19
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.41
0.69
0.19
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Wrexham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wrexham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wrexham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wrexham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elliot Lee33%
Harry Ashfield33%
Josh Windass33%
Oliver Rathbone27%
Kieffer Moore21%
Nathan Broadhead20%
Sam Smith19%
Ryan Hardie10%
Lewis O'Brien9%
Liberato Cacace8%
Callum Doyle8%
Max Cleworth7%
George Thomason5%
Ryan Longman5%
George Dobson4%
Matty James3%
Dominic Hyam2%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
James McClean0%
Zak Vyner0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Dan Scarr0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elliot Lee33%
George Dobson17%
Dan Scarr17%
Ben Sheaf17%
Callum Doyle15%
Oliver Rathbone13%
Max Cleworth13%
Kieffer Moore12%
Lewis O'Brien11%
Sam Smith11%
James McClean11%
Matty James10%
George Thomason10%
Ryan Longman10%
Issa Kaboré9%
Dominic Hyam9%
Lewis Brunt8%
Josh Windass7%
Arthur Okonkwo2%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Zak Vyner0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Nathan Broadhead0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Elliot Lee33%
Issa Kaboré22%
James McClean16%
Nathan Broadhead12%
Ryan Barnett11%
Callum Doyle10%
Kieffer Moore9%
Lewis O'Brien9%
Max Cleworth9%
Josh Windass9%
George Thomason8%
George Dobson7%
Matty James5%
Ryan Longman5%
Sam Smith4%
Dan Scarr4%
Oliver Rathbone3%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
Zak Vyner0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Ryan Hardie0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kieffer Moore19%
Josh Windass15%
Nathan Broadhead12%
Oliver Rathbone10%
Ryan Hardie10%
Sam Smith9%
George Thomason3%
Callum Doyle3%
Ryan Longman2%
Lewis O'Brien2%
Max Cleworth2%
George Dobson2%
Liberato Cacace0%
Danny Ward0%
Conor Coady0%
Matty James0%
Jay Rodriguez0%
James McClean0%
Zak Vyner0%
Elliot Lee0%
Dominic Hyam0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Dan Scarr0%
Davis Keillor-Dunn0%
Ben Sheaf0%
Lewis Brunt0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Arthur Okonkwo0%
Bailey Cadamarteri0%
Harry Ashfield0%
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Grieves20%
Rocco Vata17%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard16%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Vivaldo14%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Edoardo Bove9%
Edo Kayembe8%
Tom Ince7%
Kwadwo Baah7%
Jeremy Ngakia6%
Marc Bola5%
James Abankwah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Giorgi Chakvetadze0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Amin Nabizada0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Morris33%
Hector Kyprianou31%
Pierre Ekwah29%
Nestory Irankunda29%
Imrân Louza25%
Stephen Mfuni25%
Ryan Andrews25%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Matthew Pollock19%
James Abankwah19%
Edoardo Bove18%
Jeremy Petris17%
Formose Mendy17%
Saba Goglichidze17%
Mamadou Doumbia15%
Kwadwo Baah14%
Edo Kayembe13%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Max Alleyne12%
Kévin Keben Biakolo10%
Nampalys Mendy8%
Egil Selvik7%
Vivaldo7%
Marc Bola5%
Othmane Maamma4%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Tom Ince0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Rocco Vata0%
Jack Grieves0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Rocco Vata17%
Jeremy Ngakia12%
Giorgi Chakvetadze10%
Nestory Irankunda10%
Marc Bola8%
Vivaldo7%
Kévin Keben Biakolo6%
Othmane Maamma4%
Hector Kyprianou4%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Matthew Pollock3%
Edo Kayembe3%
Luca Kjerrumgaard2%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Tom Ince0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Mamadou Doumbia0%
Amin Nabizada0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rocco Vata33%
Amin Nabizada33%
Nestory Irankunda21%
Othmane Maamma16%
Imrân Louza16%
Luca Kjerrumgaard14%
Vivaldo11%
Edo Kayembe11%
Tom Ince7%
Mamadou Doumbia6%
Marc Bola5%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Kwadwo Baah3%
Jeremy Ngakia3%
Moussa Sissoko0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Nathan Baxter0%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Egil Selvik0%
Jeremy Petris0%
Hector Kyprianou0%
Formose Mendy0%
James Morris0%
Caleb Wiley0%
Pierre Ekwah0%
Edoardo Bove0%
Max Alleyne0%
Kévin Keben Biakolo0%
Saba Goglichidze0%
James Abankwah0%
Jack Grieves0%
Stephen Mfuni0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Wrexham's squad is €12m less valuable than Watford's (€77m vs €88m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Wrexham's attack is €13m less valuable than Watford's (€15m vs €28m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Wrexham's midfield is €16m less valuable than Watford's (€23m vs €38m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Wrexham's defence is €17m more valuable than Watford's (€39m vs €22m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Hull
Derby
Norwich
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Preston
QPR
Stoke
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds