This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.30
1.81
1.38
1.43
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.38
1.38
1.73
1.55
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (9)
2.22
1.11
2.00
1.00
2.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Wurzburger Kickers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.33-11.1%
Under 2.5
40.1%
@ 3.25+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.1%
No
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
Wurzburger Kickers goals ↓
SC Paderborn 07 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
7.7%
8.4%
5.4%
2.6%
1
4.3%
11%
9.8%
6.3%
3.0%
2
3.1%
6.0%
5.8%
3.7%
1.8%
3
1.2%
2.3%
2.3%
1.4%
0.7%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wurzburger Kickers goals (down), columns = SC Paderborn 07 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Bochum
1.97
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.88
Holstein Kiel
1.82
Hamburger SV
1.71
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.65
Karlsruher SC
1.53
SV Darmstadt 98
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.50
FC St. Pauli
1.38
SC Paderborn 07
1.38
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
1. FC Nürnberg
1.29
Hannover 96
1.24
Regensburg
1.12
SV Sandhausen
1.00
VfL Osnabrück
0.97
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.91
Wurzburger Kickers
0.74
Wurzburger Kickers is 0.65 points worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of average points per game (0.74 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.03
VfL Bochum
1.94
SV Darmstadt 98
1.85
Holstein Kiel
1.68
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.62
Hannover 96
1.56
SC Paderborn 07
1.56
FC St. Pauli
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.50
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.29
SV Sandhausen
1.21
Wurzburger Kickers
1.09
Regensburg
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.03
Eintracht Braunschweig
0.88
Wurzburger Kickers is 0.47 goals worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Holstein Kiel
1.03
VfL Bochum
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Hamburger SV
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
SC Paderborn 07
1.32
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.44
Regensburg
1.47
Hannover 96
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Erzgebirge Aue
1.56
SV Darmstadt 98
1.62
FC St. Pauli
1.65
VfL Osnabrück
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.74
SV Sandhausen
1.76
Wurzburger Kickers
2.03
Wurzburger Kickers is 0.71 goals worse than SC Paderborn 07 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wurzburger Kickers
For 3.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SC Paderborn 07
For 4.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wurzburger Kickers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.1
3.2
3.9
2.6
26.7
28.3
25.2
vs Stronger (39)
9.2
9.4
9.1
3.2
4.1
2.4
25.9
28.0
24.0
vs Similar (11)
9.8
10.2
9.2
3.3
3.2
3.3
29.1
29.2
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
62%
35%
44%
50%
38%
76%
81%
71%
% under line
52%
38%
65%
56%
50%
62%
24%
19%
29%
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.0
10.9
4.6
4.8
4.4
24.1
24.7
23.6
vs Stronger (7)
11.1
10.0
12.0
4.9
4.3
5.2
18.3
19.0
17.8
vs Similar (34)
10.3
9.3
11.4
4.4
5.1
3.8
24.7
25.2
24.2
vs Weaker (9)
7.4
7.2
7.8
4.9
4.0
6.0
26.4
26.2
26.8
% over line
54%
48%
60%
64%
64%
64%
66%
68%
64%
% under line
46%
52%
40%
36%
36%
36%
34%
32%
36%
This opponent (Wurzburger Kickers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hamburger SV
11.1
SV Sandhausen
11.0
SV Darmstadt 98
10.6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.4
Karlsruher SC
10.3
VfL Bochum
10.3
Regensburg
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
9.9
1. FC Heidenheim
9.8
VfL Osnabrück
9.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
9.7
FC St. Pauli
9.7
Hannover 96
9.7
1. FC Nürnberg
9.5
Wurzburger Kickers
9.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
9.2
Erzgebirge Aue
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Sandhausen
5.0
Wurzburger Kickers
4.9
Regensburg
4.9
SV Darmstadt 98
4.7
Erzgebirge Aue
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.5
VfL Osnabrück
4.5
1. FC Nürnberg
4.4
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.3
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.2
VfL Bochum
4.1
Hamburger SV
4.1
Hannover 96
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.9
Holstein Kiel
3.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
28.9
Regensburg
28.6
SV Sandhausen
27.7
Eintracht Braunschweig
27.1
Karlsruher SC
26.9
Wurzburger Kickers
26.7
VfL Osnabrück
26.5
FC St. Pauli
26.2
VfL Bochum
26.2
Hamburger SV
25.7
SV Darmstadt 98
25.6
1. FC Nürnberg
25.1
Hannover 96
24.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
24.2
SC Paderborn 07
24.1
Erzgebirge Aue
24.1
1. FC Heidenheim
23.1
Holstein Kiel
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.3%
Under 9.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.3%
Under 3.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
77.8%
Under 21.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wurzburger Kickers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.64
0.79
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (23)
0.52
0.87
0.64
0.91
0.42
0.83
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.43
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
1.00
0.75
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.67
1.00
0.73
0.70
0.60
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.78
1.00
0.80
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Wurzburger Kickers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wurzburger Kickers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburger Kickers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburger Kickers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wurzburger Kickers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.30
0.71
1.14
0.62
1.44
vs Stronger (23)
0.57
1.22
0.73
0.91
0.42
1.50
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.57
0.67
2.00
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Paderborn 07) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Paderborn 07
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.81
0.62
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.71
0.73
0.82
0.30
0.60
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.33
1.00
0.20
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Wurzburger Kickers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wurzburger Kickers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburger Kickers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburger Kickers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Paderborn 07 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SC Paderborn 07 · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Filip Bilbija39%
Adriano Grimaldi25%
Lucas Copado25%
Marcel Hoffmeier20%
Laurin Curda19%
Stefano Marino19%
Sebastian Klaas17%
Sven Michel13%
Mika Baur11%
Steffen Tigges9%
Kennedy Okpala8%
Calvin Brackelmann7%
Raphael Obermair7%
Nick Bätzner6%
Tjark Lasse Scheller6%
Luis Engelns5%
Felix Götze3%
David Kinsombi0%
Marco Wörner0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Jonah Sticker0%
Mattes Hansen0%
Santiago Castañeda0%
Ruben Müller0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcel Hoffmeier40%
Kennedy Okpala33%
Laurin Curda22%
Mattes Hansen21%
Sven Michel20%
Marco Wörner20%
Santiago Castañeda18%
Raphael Obermair17%
Mika Baur17%
Ruben Müller17%
Filip Bilbija15%
Tjark Lasse Scheller14%
Felix Götze12%
Nick Bätzner12%
Luis Engelns11%
Calvin Brackelmann7%
Sebastian Klaas7%
Stefano Marino6%
Steffen Tigges6%
Jonah Sticker4%
David Kinsombi0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Lucas Copado0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphael Obermair30%
Laurin Curda19%
Mika Baur14%
Calvin Brackelmann11%
Sebastian Klaas10%
Filip Bilbija9%
Ruben Müller8%
Felix Götze6%
Steffen Tigges6%
Nick Bätzner6%
Sven Michel3%
Stefano Marino3%
Mattes Hansen3%
David Kinsombi0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Tjark Lasse Scheller0%
Lucas Copado0%
Marco Wörner0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Jonah Sticker0%
Santiago Castañeda0%
Kennedy Okpala0%
Luis Engelns0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Marino23%
Laurin Curda19%
Steffen Tigges18%
Filip Bilbija15%
Calvin Brackelmann11%
Raphael Obermair10%
Sebastian Klaas7%
Sven Michel7%
Mika Baur6%
Nick Bätzner3%
Santiago Castañeda3%
David Kinsombi0%
Felix Götze0%
Adriano Grimaldi0%
Marcel Hoffmeier0%
Tjark Lasse Scheller0%
Lucas Copado0%
Marco Wörner0%
Dennis Seimen0%
Jonah Sticker0%
Mattes Hansen0%
Ruben Müller0%
Kennedy Okpala0%
Luis Engelns0%
Niklas Mohr0%
Lucas Copado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
SD9 (28)
€24m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
VO (25)
€10m
FD (26)
€10m
WK (27)
€4m
EA (18)
€2m
Wurzburger Kickers's squad is €39m less valuable than SC Paderborn 07's (€4m vs €43m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (11)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
EB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
SGF (6)
€4m
FD (8)
€3m
WK (8)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
Wurzburger Kickers's attack is €12m less valuable than SC Paderborn 07's (€1m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (5)
€34m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
KS (6)
€4m
VO (7)
€3m
FD (5)
€2m
WK (9)
€1m
EA (5)
€1m
Wurzburger Kickers's midfield is €17m less valuable than SC Paderborn 07's (€1m vs €18m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
WK (10)
€2m
EA (8)
€1m
Wurzburger Kickers's defence is €10m less valuable than SC Paderborn 07's (€2m vs €11m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
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VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Karlsruher SC
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Nürnberg
Erzgebirge Aue
Hannover 96
SV Sandhausen
VfL Osnabrück
Eintracht Braunschweig