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Yarud Mariupol' vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2024
Time: 10:00
Final 1-1
Yarud Mariupol
Yarud Mariupol'
Vs
44%
32%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yarud Mariupol' win✗ Miss
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk win✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D11D13L00D11D01L01L12L11DH·KRE25/11A·EPI23/03H·PRY29/03A·KAR06/04H·NYV12/04A·AHR20/04H·EPI28/04A·PRY04/05H·KAR11/05A·NYV18/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.931.001.140.940.75
vs Stronger (10)0.701.200.401.201.001.20
vs Similar (20)1.100.801.331.110.910.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D03L10W12L11D01L02L03L31WA·PRY24/11H·VIK24/03A·LIV29/03H·INH06/04A·SK 12/04H·YAR20/04A·VIK28/04H·LIV03/05A·INH10/05H·SK 18/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.961.041.360.640.541.46
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)1.040.961.460.620.581.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Yarud Mariupol') is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.4%
Under 1.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.0%
Under 2.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.8%
Under 3.5
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.7%
0-0
14.5%
1-1 ✓
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.3%
Yarud Mariupol' goals ↓
Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals →
01234
014%9.4%4.3%1.2%0.2%
115%14%5.3%1.4%0.3%
29.7%7.9%3.2%0.9%0.2%
33.9%3.2%1.3%0.4%0.1%
41.2%1.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yarud Mariupol' goals (down), columns = Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UCSA
3.00
Inhulets
2.39
Karpaty
2.32
Zvyahel
2.00
Livyi Bereh
1.93
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.57
Bukovyna
1.46
Nyva Buzova
1.43
Prykarpattia
1.43
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.39
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.39
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.36
SK Poltava
1.32
Yarud Mariupol'
1.32
Nyva Ternopil
1.29
Metal Kharkiv
1.07
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.07
Khust City
1.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Kremin'
0.89
Hirnyk-Sport
0.82
Chernihiv
0.82
Yarud Mariupol' is 0.04 points worse than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
UCSA
3.50
Inhulets
2.14
Livyi Bereh
2.11
SK Poltava
1.75
Karpaty
1.75
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.39
Bukovyna
1.36
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
1.29
Prykarpattia
1.25
Chernihiv
1.21
Khust City
1.17
Nyva Buzova
1.14
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.11
Yarud Mariupol'
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Zvyahel
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0.96
Metal Kharkiv
0.96
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.93
Hirnyk-Sport
0.86
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.82
Kremin'
0.71
Yarud Mariupol' is 0.07 goals better than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of goals scored per game (1.04 vs 0.96).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zvyahel
0.50
UCSA
0.50
Inhulets
0.61
Karpaty
0.71
Livyi Bereh
0.75
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
0.93
Yarud Mariupol'
0.93
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.96
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.04
Bukovyna
1.04
Nyva Ternopil
1.04
Prykarpattia
1.07
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.18
Nyva Buzova
1.21
Metal Kharkiv
1.21
Dinaz Vyshhorod
1.36
SK Poltava
1.61
Kremin'
1.71
Hirnyk-Sport
1.75
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.83
Khust City
1.83
Chernihiv
2.36
Yarud Mariupol' is 0.11 goals better than Ahrobiznes Volochysk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.93 vs 1.04).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D12L00D00D01L00D01L00DH·KRE25/11A·EPI23/03H·PRY29/03A·KAR06/04H·NYV12/04A·AHR20/04H·EPI28/04A·PRY04/05H·KAR11/05A·NYV18/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.640.640.310.38
vs Stronger (10)0.200.800.000.800.400.80
vs Similar (20)0.600.351.000.560.270.18
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D02L00D10W00D00D00D01L30WA·PRY24/11H·VIK24/03A·LIV29/03H·INH06/04A·SK 12/04H·YAR20/04A·VIK28/04H·LIV03/05A·INH10/05H·SK 18/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.520.370.710.140.310.62
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.280.770.080.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Yarud Mariupol') is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yarud Mariupol' over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yarud Mariupol' over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yarud Mariupol' over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D01L00D11D00D01L11D11DH·KRE25/11A·EPI23/03H·PRY29/03A·KAR06/04H·NYV12/04A·AHR20/04H·EPI28/04A·PRY04/05H·KAR11/05A·NYV18/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.360.500.620.38
vs Stronger (10)0.500.400.400.400.600.40
vs Similar (20)0.500.450.330.560.640.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ahrobiznes Volochysk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L10W02L11D01L02L02L01LA·PRY24/11H·VIK24/03A·LIV29/03H·INH06/04A·SK 12/04H·YAR20/04A·VIK28/04H·LIV03/05A·INH10/05H·SK 18/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.670.640.500.230.85
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.480.680.690.540.250.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Yarud Mariupol') is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yarud Mariupol' over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yarud Mariupol' over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yarud Mariupol' over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (28)
€13m
BUK (25)
€9m
ED (23)
€6m
LB (25)
€5m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Yarud Mariupol''s squad is €1m more valuable than Ahrobiznes Volochysk's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Yarud Mariupol' and Ahrobiznes Volochysk have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
YM (7)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
Yarud Mariupol' and Ahrobiznes Volochysk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (15)
€7m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
Yarud Mariupol' and Ahrobiznes Volochysk have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
YM wins
1
Draws
0
AV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Yarud Mariupol' vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk · H/A from YM
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/24AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs YM1-1

Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/24ANyva Buzova Vs YM1-1
11/05/24HYM Vs Karpaty1-2
04/05/24APrykarpattia Vs YM1-0
28/04/24HYM Vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0-1
20/04/24AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs YM1-1
12/04/24HYM Vs Nyva Buzova0-0
06/04/24AKarpaty Vs YM3-1
29/03/24HYM Vs Prykarpattia1-1
23/03/24AEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Vs YM1-1
25/11/23HYM Vs Kremin'1-0

Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/24HAV Vs SK Poltava3-1
10/05/24AInhulets Vs AV3-0
03/05/24HAV Vs Livyi Bereh0-2
28/04/24AViktoriya Mykolaivka Vs AV1-0
20/04/24HAV Vs Yarud Mariupol'1-1
12/04/24ASK Poltava Vs AV2-1
06/04/24HAV Vs Inhulets1-0
29/03/24ALivyi Bereh Vs AV3-0
24/03/24HAV Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka0-0
24/11/23APrykarpattia Vs AV2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Yarud Mariupol
Yarud Mariupol'
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.02
HomeWDDLL0.84
AwayDLDLD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%16%28%
AVG goals2.262.242.28
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %34%32%36%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.020.841.20
Conceded1.241.401.08
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet20%12%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.37
HomeDWDLW1.86
AwayLLLLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%50%23%
AVG goals2.002.002.00
Over 1.5 %63%64%62%
Over 2.5 %41%36%46%
Over 3.5 %7%14%0%
Scored0.961.360.54
Conceded1.040.641.46
BTTS37%43%31%
Clean Sheet33%43%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1InhuletsInhulets2867
75%
2.4
6017+43
2.8
75%
57%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.10.6
-
2KarpatyKarpaty2865
71%
2.3
4920+29
2.5
64%
54%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4271.80.7
-
3Livyi BerehLivyi Bereh2854
57%
1.9
5921+38
2.9
75%
54%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.10.8
-
4Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsi2844
39%
1.6
3933+6
2.6
79%
43%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
1231.41.2
-
5BukovynaBukovyna2841
43%
1.5
3829+9
2.4
61%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4231.41.0
-
6PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia2840
36%
1.4
3530+5
2.3
61%
36%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
7Nyva BuzovaNyva Buzova2840
36%
1.4
3234-2
2.4
68%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Podillya KhmelnytskyiPodillya Khmelnytskyi2839
32%
1.4
3626+10
2.2
75%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
9Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka2839
36%
1.4
2327-4
1.8
46%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.0
-
10Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk2838
36%
1.4
2729-2
2.0
64%
39%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.0
-
11SK PoltavaSK Poltava2837
36%
1.3
4945+4
3.4
89%
75%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.6
-
12Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'2837
29%
1.3
2926+3
2.0
64%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.9
-
13Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil2836
32%
1.3
2929+0
2.1
61%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14Dinaz VyshhorodDinaz Vyshhorod2830
29%
1.1
3138-7
2.5
75%
46%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
15Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv2830
25%
1.1
2734-7
2.2
64%
50%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.01.2
-
16Khust CityKhust City3030
30%
1.0
3555-20
3.0
70%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
17Metalurh ZaporizhyaMetalurh Zaporizhya3028
23%
0.9
2855-27
2.8
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
18KreminKremin'2825
21%
0.9
2048-28
2.4
57%
46%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
19Hirnyk-SportHirnyk-Sport2823
21%
0.8
2449-25
2.6
68%
39%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
20ChernihivChernihiv2823
21%
0.8
3466-32
3.6
89%
71%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.22.4
-
21UCSAUCSA26
100%
3.0
71+6
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.50.5
-
22ZvyahelZvyahel24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.5
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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