Yeovil vs Aldershot Result & Analysis

Yeovil are tipped to win, the model favouring a home victory with a 48% chance, a draw 28% and an away win 25%. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, with the most likely total of two goals, a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.2% chance. Yeovil, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 0.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. Aldershot, on the road against a similar side, average 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 94.3%, Under 4.5 cards at 86.2% (miss), Over 1.5 at 75.2%, Under 3.5 at 72.7% and Under 3.5 cards at 71.3% (miss). The home side’s recent form shows a three-game winning streak, while Aldershot have just drawn. The match is expected to be tight but with Yeovil’s slight edge.

The upset came as Yeovil, on a three-game winning streak, fell to a 0-2 defeat, handing Aldershot a deserved away win. The pre-match favourite was the model’s Home win call, given a 48% probability, but it proved wrong. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 5.5 cards hit at 94.3%, Under 4.5 cards missed at 86.2%, Over 1.5 hit at 75.2%, Under 3.5 hit at 72.7%, and Under 3.5 cards missed at 71.3%. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the away side’s triumph, and the model’s prediction of a home victory was incorrect.