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Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Polonia Warszawa Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 0-2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Vs
36%
28%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zaglebie Sosnowiec win✗ Miss
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa win✓ Hit
36.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-523L11D01L01L12L00D52W10W13L11DA·MOT21/07H·WIS29/07A·ZNI04/08H·RES12/08A·POD18/08A·ODR28/08H·LEC03/09A·GKS15/09H·NIE24/09A·GÓR02/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.401.271.270.671.53
vs Stronger (10)1.601.701.831.831.251.50
vs Similar (18)0.611.280.881.000.401.50
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L23L32W34L30W01L03L01L11D20WH·TYC22/07H·WIS30/07A·ARK07/08H·MIE14/08A·CHR19/08H·MOT26/08A·WIS02/09H·ZNI16/09A·RES23/09H·POD29/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.801.502.001.751.50
vs Stronger (1)2.003.002.003.00--
vs Similar (8)1.501.881.252.251.751.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.3%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
0-2 ✓
5.9%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec goals ↓
Polonia Warszawa goals →
01234
07.2%7.3%5.9%2.8%1.0%
17.3%13%8.3%3.9%1.4%
26.0%8.4%5.9%2.7%1.0%
32.8%3.9%2.7%1.3%0.4%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zaglebie Sosnowiec goals (down), columns = Polonia Warszawa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lechia Gdansk
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.82
Arka Gdynia
1.81
Motor Lublin
1.67
Górnik Łęczna
1.60
Odra Opole
1.51
Miedz Legnica
1.50
Tychy 71
1.50
Wisla Plock
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Stal Rzeszów
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.24
Znicz Pruszków
1.24
Nieciecza
1.21
Polonia Warszawa
1.03
Resovia Rzeszów
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.68
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.47
Zaglebie Sosnowiec is 0.56 points worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of average points per game (0.47 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.00
Wisla Krakow
1.82
Lechia Gdansk
1.76
Nieciecza
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.58
Stal Rzeszów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Motor Lublin
1.42
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.26
Odra Opole
1.26
Polonia Warszawa
1.21
Resovia Rzeszów
1.15
Chrobry Głogów
1.03
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Znicz Pruszków
1.00
Podbeskidzie
0.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.62
Zaglebie Sosnowiec is 0.59 goals worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of goals scored per game (0.62 vs 1.21).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Górnik Łęczna
0.83
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Odra Opole
1.03
GKS Katowice
1.03
Arka Gdynia
1.06
Miedz Legnica
1.06
Motor Lublin
1.19
Znicz Pruszków
1.29
Wisla Plock
1.35
Tychy 71
1.38
Chrobry Głogów
1.44
Polonia Warszawa
1.47
Wisla Krakow
1.47
Nieciecza
1.53
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.62
Podbeskidzie
1.74
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Resovia Rzeszów
1.76
Zaglebie Sosnowiec is 0.15 goals worse than Polonia Warszawa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L00D01L00D20W10W11D00DA·MOT21/07H·WIS29/07A·ZNI04/08H·RES12/08A·POD18/08A·ODR28/08H·LEC03/09A·GKS15/09H·NIE24/09A·GÓR02/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.470.470.270.53
vs Stronger (10)0.700.500.830.500.500.50
vs Similar (18)0.220.500.250.500.200.50
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L21W11D10W00D02L01L11D00DH·TYC22/07H·WIS30/07A·ARK07/08H·MIE14/08A·CHR19/08H·MOT26/08A·WIS02/09H·ZNI16/09A·RES23/09H·POD29/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.500.671.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (8)0.880.880.750.751.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W00D01L11D00D32W00D02L11DA·MOT21/07H·WIS29/07A·ZNI04/08H·RES12/08A·POD18/08A·ODR28/08H·LEC03/09A·GKS15/09H·NIE24/09A·GÓR02/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.800.800.401.00
vs Stronger (10)0.901.201.001.330.751.00
vs Similar (18)0.390.780.620.500.201.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Polonia Warszawa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L22D11D23L20W01L01L00D00D20WH·TYC22/07H·WIS30/07A·ARK07/08H·MIE14/08A·CHR19/08H·MOT26/08A·WIS02/09H·ZNI16/09A·RES23/09H·POD29/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.001.001.330.750.50
vs Stronger (1)2.002.002.002.00--
vs Similar (8)0.621.000.501.500.750.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaglebie Sosnowiec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polonia Warszawa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (20)
€22m
ML (20)
€19m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
AG (23)
€5m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LG (8)
€15m
ML (10)
€10m
WK (8)
€6m
WP (7)
€4m
GK (7)
€3m
PW (13)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
LG (3)
€5m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ML (8)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
LG (9)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ZS wins
0
Draws
0
PW wins

Head-to-head

Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Polonia Warszawa · H/A from ZS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/23AGórnik Łęczna Vs ZS1-1
24/09/23HZS Vs Nieciecza1-3
15/09/23AGKS Katowice Vs ZS0-1
03/09/23HZS Vs Lechia Gdansk5-2
28/08/23AOdra Opole Vs ZS0-0
18/08/23APodbeskidzie Vs ZS2-1
12/08/23HZS Vs Resovia Rzeszów0-1
04/08/23AZnicz Pruszków Vs ZS1-0
29/07/23HZS Vs Wisla Plock1-1
21/07/23AMotor Lublin Vs ZS3-2

Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/23HPW Vs Podbeskidzie2-0
23/09/23AResovia Rzeszów Vs PW1-1
16/09/23HPW Vs Znicz Pruszków0-1
02/09/23AWisla Plock Vs PW3-0
26/08/23HPW Vs Motor Lublin0-1
19/08/23AChrobry Głogów Vs PW0-3
14/08/23HPW Vs Miedz Legnica3-4
07/08/23AArka Gdynia Vs PW2-3
30/07/23HPW Vs Wisla Krakow2-3
22/07/23HPW Vs Tychy 712-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLD1.16
HomeDDLWL1.52
AwayLLDWD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%43%13%
AVG goals2.322.432.22
Over 1.5 %64%71%57%
Over 2.5 %41%43%39%
Over 3.5 %23%14%30%
Scored1.021.290.78
Conceded1.301.141.43
BTTS52%62%43%
Clean Sheet27%24%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Warszawa
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW1.00
HomeLLLLW0.50
AwayWWLD1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%17%50%
AVG goals3.403.503.25
Over 1.5 %80%67%100%
Over 2.5 %60%50%75%
Over 3.5 %40%50%25%
Scored1.601.501.75
Conceded1.802.001.50
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet20%17%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lechia GdanskLechia Gdansk3468
62%
2.0
6034+26
2.8
65%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
15531.81.0
-
2Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3665
53%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
69%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.1
-
3GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice3462
53%
1.8
6835+33
3.0
76%
50%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3642.01.0
-
4Motor LublinMotor Lublin3660
47%
1.7
5143+8
2.6
75%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
19
10261.41.2
-
5Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3556
40%
1.6
3529+6
1.8
54%
29%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6Odra OpoleOdra Opole3553
43%
1.5
4436+8
2.3
69%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.31.0
-
7Miedz LegnicaMiedz Legnica3451
38%
1.5
5236+16
2.6
76%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.1
-
8Wisla PlockWisla Plock3451
41%
1.5
4646+0
2.7
82%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4361.41.4
-
9Tychy 71Tychy 713451
47%
1.5
4347-4
2.6
74%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
10Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3450
38%
1.5
6250+12
3.3
82%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.81.5
-
11Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3448
41%
1.4
5360-7
3.3
85%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.8
-
12Znicz PruszkówZnicz Pruszków3442
35%
1.2
3444-10
2.3
65%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
13Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3442
32%
1.2
3549-14
2.5
74%
47%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
14NiecieczaNieciecza3441
29%
1.2
5652+4
3.2
82%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.61.5
-
15Polonia WarszawaPolonia Warszawa3435
24%
1.0
4150-9
2.7
76%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3021.21.5
-
16Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów3434
26%
1.0
3960-21
2.9
85%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
17PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie3423
12%
0.7
2659-33
2.5
76%
53%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
18Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec3416
6%
0.5
2155-34
2.2
62%
32%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
Poland: I Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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