Zalaegerszegi TE are favoured to win, with a 42% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of a Kisvarda FC win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% probability. Zalaegerszegi TE, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Kisvarda FC, on the road against a similar opponent, average 1.73 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners at 81.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.0%, Under 3.5 at 74.5%, Over 1.5 at 73.7%, and Under 10.5 corners at 72.5%. The final result will be a 0-0 draw.
Results analysis
The 0-0 draw stunned everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, was wrong. The model had given the home side a 42% chance to triumph, yet the match finished level. The upset is highlighted by the home team's recent form: after four straight defeats the win extends their run. The model’s pick was incorrect, and the final score of 0-0 confirmed a draw. The suggested selections performed mixed: Under 11.5 corners hit at 81.9%, Under 5.5 cards missed at 77.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 77.0%, Under 3.5 hit at 74.5%, Over 1.5 missed at 73.7%, and Under 10.5 corners hit at 72.5%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zalaegerszegi TE win✗ Miss
41.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC win✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zalaegerszegi TE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.24
1.24
1.17
1.00
1.31
1.46
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.35
1.33
1.11
1.00
1.55
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
36% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.41
1.52
1.40
1.20
1.43
1.86
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
1.00
0.33
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.61
1.61
1.50
1.42
1.73
1.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
0-0 ✓
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
Zalaegerszegi TE goals ↓
Kisvarda FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
7.6%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
1
9.6%
14%
7.2%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.7%
8.8%
5.1%
1.9%
0.6%
3
3.6%
4.1%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zalaegerszegi TE goals (down), columns = Kisvarda FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
1.91
Kecskeméti TE
1.73
Debreceni VSC
1.64
Puskas Academy
1.61
Paks
1.48
Kisvarda FC
1.30
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.27
Ujpest
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.18
Fehérvár FC
1.06
Budapest Honved
1.00
Vasas
0.79
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.12 points worse than Kisvarda FC in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
1.88
Paks
1.73
Debreceni VSC
1.58
Kecskeméti TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.30
Ujpest
1.27
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.21
Fehérvár FC
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.12
Budapest Honved
1.03
Vasas
0.88
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.18 goals worse than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Kecskeméti TE
0.97
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.18
Puskas Academy
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Vasas
1.30
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Budapest Honved
1.55
Ujpest
1.67
Paks
1.73
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.18 goals better than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zalaegerszegi TE
For 3.2 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Kisvarda FC
For 5.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
10.8
11.0
10.7
2.0
1.7
2.3
-
-
-
vs Stronger (3)
12.0
12.0
-
2.3
3.5
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
10.9
12.0
10.7
1.9
0.8
2.7
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
8.0
8.0
-
3.0
6.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
55%
50%
57%
32%
25%
38%
-
-
-
% under line
45%
50%
43%
68%
75%
62%
-
-
-
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
9.3
10.7
7.2
1.7
2.3
1.1
-
-
-
vs Stronger (6)
7.5
7.5
7.5
2.3
2.7
2.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
9.9
11.6
7.0
1.5
2.2
0.8
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
56%
33%
24%
33%
14%
-
-
-
% under line
53%
44%
67%
76%
67%
86%
-
-
-
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zalaegerszegi TE
10.8
Paks
10.3
Mezokovesd-zsory
10.0
Ferencvarosi TC
9.9
Puskas Academy
9.4
Budapest Honved
9.4
Kisvarda FC
9.3
Ujpest
9.2
Fehérvár FC
9.0
Debreceni VSC
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ferencvarosi TC
5.2
Paks
5.2
Fehérvár FC
5.1
Puskas Academy
5.0
Mezokovesd-zsory
4.9
Ujpest
4.7
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.5
Budapest Honved
4.5
Debreceni VSC
3.5
Kisvarda FC
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ferencvarosi TC
24.9
Fehérvár FC
15.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.1%
Under 9.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zalaegerszegi TE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.56
0.75
0.33
0.38
0.77
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.60
0.78
0.33
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
52% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.55
0.55
0.60
0.33
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.65
0.50
0.42
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
55% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zalaegerszegi TE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.68
0.68
0.42
0.67
0.92
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.56
0.78
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
52% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.97
0.80
0.87
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.96
1.00
1.00
1.09
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
31% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zalaegerszegi TE · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
José Calderón20%
Bence Babos20%
Arthur Henrique Marques20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Fabricio Amato0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Moises Cedeno0%
Diogo Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joseth Peraza75%
Norbert Szendrei33%
Moises Cedeno33%
Queyrell Tchicamboud25%
José Calderón20%
Fabricio Amato20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
András Csonka20%
Bence Gundel-Takács20%
Bence Kiss0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
José Calderón0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Fabricio Amato0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Moises Cedeno0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norbert Szendrei33%
Moises Cedeno33%
Fabricio Amato20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
José Calderón0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Kisvarda FC · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christián Herc60%
Ákos Ésik25%
Marko Matanović20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun50%
Dominik Soltész40%
Anatoliy Nuriev33%
Levente Szőr33%
Gennadiy Szikszai33%
Marko Matanović20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Soltész40%
Jasmin Mešanović25%
Marko Matanović20%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Christián Herc0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tonislav Yordanov50%
Christián Herc20%
Bogdan Melnyk20%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Anatoliy Nuriev0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Ákos Ésik0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Bence Bíró0%
Maksym Ostrovka0%
Gennadiy Szikszai0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Zalaegerszegi TE and Kisvarda FC have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Hungary: NB I 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Kecskeméti TE
Debreceni VSC
Puskas Academy
Paks
Mezokovesd-zsory
Ujpest
Fehérvár FC
Budapest Honved
Vasas