This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.50
1.87
0.87
1.80
2.13
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
3.50
2.00
2.50
1.50
4.50
vs Similar (21)
1.81
1.00
1.70
0.50
1.91
1.45
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
2.00
2.33
1.00
1.50
3.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.9%
Under 2.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.8%
Under 3.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.8%
No
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
1-3
5.3%
0-0
4.7%
Zalaegerszegi TE goals ↓
Paks goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
5.6%
5.9%
3.5%
1.6%
1
4.6%
11%
8.9%
5.3%
2.4%
2
4.2%
7.5%
6.7%
4.0%
1.8%
3
2.1%
3.8%
3.4%
2.0%
0.9%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zalaegerszegi TE goals (down), columns = Paks goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.24
Paks
1.76
Puskas Academy
1.67
Fehérvár FC
1.64
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Diosgyori VTK
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Ujpest
1.12
Kisvarda FC
0.94
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.64
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.45 points worse than Paks in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.76).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.42
Puskas Academy
1.82
Fehérvár FC
1.67
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.64
Paks
1.55
Diosgyori VTK
1.52
Debreceni VSC
1.48
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Ujpest
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.94
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.09 goals better than Paks in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.91
Puskas Academy
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.21
Paks
1.27
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.70
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.82
MTK Budapest
1.88
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.91
Ujpest
2.03
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.55 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
65%
Debreceni VSC
57%
Puskas Academy
52%
Diosgyori VTK
52%
Kecskeméti TE
49%
Ujpest
49%
Fehérvár FC
48%
Mezokovesd-zsory
48%
MTK Budapest
47%
Kisvarda FC
47%
Paks
45%
Zalaegerszegi TE
39%
Zalaegerszegi TE is 6.2 percentage points worse than Paks in terms of average possession (39% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zalaegerszegi TE
For 4.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 16.5 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paks
For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Zalaegerszegi TE
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
10.6
10.7
10.4
3.1
3.3
2.9
29.5
35.0
24.0
vs Stronger (4)
12.3
12.3
-
2.8
3.7
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
10.8
10.5
11.1
3.1
3.1
3.1
29.5
35.0
24.0
vs Weaker (4)
7.0
8.0
6.5
3.5
6.0
2.7
-
-
-
% over line
54%
50%
57%
48%
45%
50%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
46%
50%
43%
52%
55%
50%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (42)
10.9
11.0
10.8
3.0
3.1
3.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
11.7
12.5
10.0
5.5
6.0
5.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (31)
11.1
10.6
11.6
2.7
2.5
2.9
-
-
-
vs Weaker (7)
10.0
11.0
9.0
3.1
4.3
2.2
-
-
-
% over line
68%
69%
67%
40%
40%
41%
-
-
-
% under line
32%
31%
33%
60%
60%
59%
-
-
-
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kecskeméti TE
12.1
Diosgyori VTK
11.7
Paks
10.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
10.6
Ferencvarosi TC
9.9
MTK Budapest
9.9
Ujpest
9.8
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Mezokovesd-zsory
9.5
Puskas Academy
9.3
Debreceni VSC
9.2
Fehérvár FC
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
6.0
Fehérvár FC
5.5
Kecskeméti TE
5.1
Ujpest
5.1
Paks
5.1
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.9
Ferencvarosi TC
4.8
Debreceni VSC
4.5
Mezokovesd-zsory
4.2
Kisvarda FC
4.2
MTK Budapest
3.9
Diosgyori VTK
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kecskeméti TE
31.0
Debreceni VSC
30.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
29.5
Ferencvarosi TC
23.4
Fehérvár FC
15.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.5%
Under 9.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.7%
Under 3.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zalaegerszegi TE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.62
0.81
0.21
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.33
1.33
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.33
0.88
0.50
0.75
0.17
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.73
0.27
0.80
1.13
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.25
0.50
0.50
1.50
4.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.43
0.80
0.20
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zalaegerszegi TE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.25
0.56
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.33
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.75
0.33
0.42
0.50
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.80
1.13
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.50
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.57
0.90
0.30
1.18
0.82
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.40
1.67
0.67
1.00
2.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zalaegerszegi TE
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zsombor Gruber38%
Josip Špoljarić33%
Antonio Mance32%
Yohan Croizet32%
Máté Sajbán15%
Dániel Németh12%
Gergely Mim10%
Meshack Ubochioma10%
Bence Bedi10%
Dániel Csóka9%
Sinan Medgyes7%
Stefanos Evangelou6%
Bence Kiss6%
Oleksandr Safronov6%
András Huszti0%
Bojan Sanković0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
Dávid Dombó0%
Guy Hadida0%
Szabolcs Szalay0%
Bence Várkonyi0%
Barnabás Kovács0%
Balazs Vogyicska0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefanos Evangelou38%
András Huszti25%
Sinan Medgyes20%
Gergely Mim20%
Bence Kiss19%
Dániel Németh12%
Norbert Szendrei10%
Meshack Ubochioma10%
Bojan Sanković10%
Bence Várkonyi8%
Oleksandr Safronov6%
Dávid Dombó6%
Antonio Mance5%
Bence Bedi5%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Máté Sajbán0%
Yohan Croizet0%
Dániel Csóka0%
Guy Hadida0%
Szabolcs Szalay0%
Barnabás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Balazs Vogyicska0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guy Hadida50%
Bence Kiss25%
Balazs Vogyicska20%
Antonio Mance16%
Dániel Németh12%
Yohan Croizet11%
Máté Sajbán10%
Gergely Mim10%
Barnabás Kovács10%
Sinan Medgyes7%
Oleksandr Safronov6%
Norbert Szendrei5%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Stefanos Evangelou0%
Bence Bedi0%
András Huszti0%
Bojan Sanković0%
Dávid Dombó0%
Dániel Csóka0%
Szabolcs Szalay0%
Bence Várkonyi0%
Meshack Ubochioma0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Mance53%
Szabolcs Szalay33%
Gergely Mim10%
Dániel Németh6%
Yohan Croizet5%
Máté Sajbán5%
Bence Bedi5%
Josip Špoljarić0%
Stefanos Evangelou0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bence Kiss0%
András Huszti0%
Bojan Sanković0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
Dávid Dombó0%
Dániel Csóka0%
Oleksandr Safronov0%
Guy Hadida0%
Bence Várkonyi0%
Barnabás Kovács0%
Meshack Ubochioma0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Balazs Vogyicska0%
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Norbert Könyves40%
József Windecker31%
János Hahn15%
Bálint Szabó13%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
Kristóf Papp10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Bence Lenzsér6%
Dániel Böde5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Alen Skribek0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Krisztián Kovács0%
Kevin Horvath0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bence Lenzsér31%
Ákos Kinyik30%
Krisztián Kovács29%
Bálint Szabó27%
János Hahn23%
József Windecker23%
Barna Tóth20%
Bálint Vécsei20%
Attila Osváth19%
Kristóf Papp15%
Norbert Könyves15%
Norbert Szélpál14%
Kevin Horvath14%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
János Szabó13%
Gabor Vas13%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
Péter Szappanos6%
Alen Skribek0%
Erik Silye0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alen Skribek29%
Kristóf Papp15%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Szabolcs Mezei7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Könyves5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Hahn0%
József Windecker0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norbert Könyves35%
József Windecker31%
Dániel Böde14%
Barna Tóth10%
János Hahn8%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Szabolcs Mezei0%
Alen Skribek0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Balázs Balogh0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Szabó0%
Kristóf Papp0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Zalaegerszegi TE's squad is €3m less valuable than Paks's (€5m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
Zalaegerszegi TE's attack is €1m less valuable than Paks's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Zalaegerszegi TE and Paks have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Zalaegerszegi TE's defence is €1m less valuable than Paks's (€2m vs €4m).
Hungary: NB I 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
Fehérvár FC
Debreceni VSC
Kecskeméti TE
Diosgyori VTK
MTK Budapest
Ujpest
Kisvarda FC
Mezokovesd-zsory