Zalaegerszegi TE vs Vasas Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring fixture, with Zalaegerszegi TE averaging 1.29 goals conceded at home and Vasas struggling to score, netting only 0.57 on the road. The model favours a home win, assigning a 39% chance to Zalaegerszegi, 34% to a draw and 27% to a Vasas victory. The expected total is 1.9 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome with a 28% probability. The most likely exact score is 0-0, a 16.1% chance, reflecting the tight defensive battle.

Zalaegerszegi’s recent form has been bleak, with four straight defeats before a 0-1 loss to Budapest Honved, while Vasas has slipped after two consecutive losses, losing 1-3 to Ujpest. Against similarly-matched opponents, Zalaegerszegi scores 1.43 and concedes 1.29, whereas Vasas scores 0.57 and concedes 1.14.

The model’s selections include Under 3.5 goals at 87.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.3%, and Under 5.5 cards at 71.0%.

The match delivered a shock as the pre-match favourite, a home win for Zalaegerszegi TE, fell short, with the final score 0-0 and a draw. The model had given the home side a 39% chance of victory, but the result proved wrong. The only suggested pick was Under 3.5 goals, with an 87.2% probability, and it hit. Zalaegerszegi’s recent form, after four straight defeats, had been a string of losses, while Vasas, after two defeats, had shown a mixed run of two wins and a draw. The game ended in a goalless stalemate, leaving the model’s prediction incorrect.