The match between Zalaegerszegi TE and Vasas is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win but the margins are razor-thin. Home form shows a 35% chance of victory, a 31% draw probability and a 34% chance of an away win, making the home side the slight favourite. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.6% probability. Zalaegerszegi TE, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded, while Vasas, on the road, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Under 5.5 (97.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 4.5 (91.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.4%) and Home under 2.5 goals (88.9%). All figures are presented as percentages, with no other outcomes or odds mentioned.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zalaegerszegi TE win
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vasas win
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zalaegerszegi TE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.27
1.79
0.86
0.75
1.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.27
1.83
0.83
0.86
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.77
2.13
0.73
1.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.93
1.07
1.88
0.88
2.00
1.29
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.54
2.33
0.67
1.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.9%
Under 1.5
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.0%
Under 2.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
0-1
10.1%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.4%
Zalaegerszegi TE goals ↓
Vasas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.9%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.7%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zalaegerszegi TE goals (down), columns = Vasas goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.83 points worse than Vasas in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Zalaegerszegi TE is 0.83 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Zalaegerszegi TE is 1.33 goals worse than Vasas in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Zalaegerszegi TE is 5.6 percentage points better than Vasas in terms of average possession (49% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zalaegerszegi TE
For 3.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vasas
For 1.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zalaegerszegi TE
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.9
8.9
2.6
3.0
2.3
23.0
23.8
22.3
vs Stronger (5)
7.5
5.5
9.5
3.2
4.5
2.3
19.2
17.5
21.0
vs Similar (45)
8.5
8.3
8.8
2.6
2.9
2.3
23.7
24.8
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
43%
29%
38%
50%
27%
64%
71%
57%
% under line
64%
57%
71%
62%
50%
73%
36%
29%
43%
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
4.5
5.0
4.0
0.2
0.2
0.1
23.0
21.0
25.0
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
4.5
5.0
4.0
0.3
0.4
0.2
23.0
21.0
25.0
vs Weaker (21)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
2%
4%
0%
50%
0%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
98%
96%
100%
50%
100%
0%
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Gyori ETO FC
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.9
MTK Budapest
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Budapest Honved
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Ferencvarosi TC
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Puskas Academy
27.7
Ujpest
26.2
Gyori ETO FC
24.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.8%
Under 9.5
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.5%
Under 3.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.3%
Under 21.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zalaegerszegi TE or Draw
66.8%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
33%
covers Zalaegerszegi TE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE or Vasas
68.9%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
33%
covers Zalaegerszegi TE + Vasas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vasas
64.4%
Avg Implied -
36%
31%
33%
covers Draw + Vasas
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5
Over
68.8%
Under
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5
Over
32.5%
Under
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5
Over
11.3%
Under
88.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5
Over
67.3%
Under
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5
Over
30.8%
Under
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zalaegerszegi TE, so a minus line means Zalaegerszegi TE give that many goals of a start and Vasas receive them. At -1, Zalaegerszegi TE must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zalaegerszegi TE win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zalaegerszegi TE)
Zalaegerszegi TE -2
5.0%
Draw -2
10.5%
Vasas +2
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zalaegerszegi TE)
Zalaegerszegi TE -1
15.5%
Draw -1
20.2%
Vasas +1
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zalaegerszegi TE)
Zalaegerszegi TE +1
66.8%
Draw +1
19.3%
Vasas -1
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zalaegerszegi TE)
Zalaegerszegi TE +2
86.0%
Draw +2
9.6%
Vasas -2
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zalaegerszegi TE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.64
0.57
0.12
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.14
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.17
0.80
0.13
0.60
0.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.20
0.75
0.12
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.15
0.83
0.17
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
83% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zalaegerszegi TE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.14
0.29
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.65
1.08
0.33
0.71
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vasas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.60
1.33
0.60
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.87
1.12
0.75
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.38
1.50
0.50
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Zalaegerszegi TE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zalaegerszegi TE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vasas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zalaegerszegi TE
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
José Calderón20%
Bence Babos20%
Arthur Henrique Marques20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Fabricio Amato0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Moises Cedeno0%
Diogo Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joseth Peraza75%
Norbert Szendrei33%
Moises Cedeno33%
Queyrell Tchicamboud25%
José Calderón20%
Fabricio Amato20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
András Csonka20%
Bence Gundel-Takács20%
Bence Kiss0%
Norbert Szendrei0%
José Calderón0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Fabricio Amato0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Moises Cedeno0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norbert Szendrei33%
Moises Cedeno33%
Fabricio Amato20%
Bence Kiss0%
András Csonka0%
Bence Gundel-Takács0%
José Calderón0%
Joseth Peraza0%
Queyrell Tchicamboud0%
Bence Babos0%
Danylo Krevsun0%
Maxsuell Alegria0%
Lucas Alfonso0%
Arthur Henrique Marques0%
Diogo Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Zalaegerszegi TE's squad is €2m less valuable than Vasas's (€5m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Zalaegerszegi TE's attack is €1m less valuable than Vasas's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Zalaegerszegi TE and Vasas have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Zalaegerszegi TE and Vasas have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →