Zaragoza vs Malaga Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Malaga 52% to beat Zaragoza 23%, and a draw 25%. The expected total is three goals, but the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.6%. Zaragoza, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages one goal scored and 1.29 conceded, while Malaga on the road averages 2.15 scored and 1.31 conceded. The suggested picks are: Over 2.5 cards 94.8%, Over 19.5 fouls 91.1%, Over 3.5 cards 86.9%, Over 21.5 fouls 82.2%, Over 1.5 81.7%, Over 4.5 cards 74.5%, and Under 11.5 corners 70.8%. Zaragoza’s recent form shows five matches of L-D-L-L-L, while Malaga also comes off a defeat. The match is likely to see a Malaga victory with a balanced goal total.

The match ended 0-2, confirming the model’s pick of an away win with a 52% probability. Zaragoza’s recent form of LDLLL and Malaga’s LWDDW both show they are coming off defeats, yet the away side prevailed. The model’s favourite was right, and the final result matched the predicted outcome. Among the suggested selections, Over 19.5 fouls and Over 21.5 fouls hit, each with high probabilities of 91.1% and 82.2% respectively. Over 1.5 also hit at 81.7%, while Under 11.5 corners succeeded at 70.8%. The remaining picks - Over 2.5 cards, Over 3.5 cards, and Over 4.5 cards - missed despite probabilities of 94.8%, 86.9% and 74.5%. Overall, the model’s call and most of its selections performed well.