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Zbrojovka Brno vs Sigma Olomouc II Result & Analysis

Date: 11/11/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zbrojovka Brno win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II win✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W10W10W01L12L01L24L30W30WA·SPA18/08A·PRO26/08H·VAR02/09A·VYS15/09H·VYŠ23/09A·OPA30/09H·PŘÍ06/10A·VIK22/10H·ART27/10A·HAN04/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.331.071.071.121.56
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (23)1.001.301.081.080.901.60
vs Weaker (6)1.501.171.001.001.601.20
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L21W21W21W01L01L26L10W20W24LH·VIK19/08A·OPA25/08H·PŘÍ03/09A·HAN16/09H·ART24/09H·DUK02/10A·TÁB07/10H·VLA22/10A·SPA29/10H·CHR05/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.631.201.531.671.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.431.681.201.531.691.85
vs Weaker (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-1 ✓
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
Zbrojovka Brno goals ↓
Sigma Olomouc II goals →
01234
07.2%6.1%4.4%1.7%0.5%
18.5%13%7.0%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.3%5.6%2.2%0.7%
34.2%5.0%3.0%1.2%0.4%
41.7%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zbrojovka Brno goals (down), columns = Sigma Olomouc II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Praha
2.00
Sigma Olomouc II
1.90
Táborsko
1.63
Vyškov
1.57
Chrudim
1.40
Opava
1.33
Vlašim
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Příbram
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.23
Varnsdorf
1.20
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Hanácká
0.83
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.60 points worse than Sigma Olomouc II in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Praha
1.83
Sparta Praha II
1.73
Varnsdorf
1.70
Chrudim
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.63
Vyškov
1.50
Viktoria Žižkov
1.47
Vysočina Jihlava
1.40
Prostějov
1.40
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Vlašim
1.37
Táborsko
1.37
Opava
1.20
Artis
1.13
Hanácká
1.10
Příbram
1.07
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.27 goals worse than Sigma Olomouc II in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.63).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.87
Dukla Praha
0.97
Artis
1.13
Opava
1.20
Sigma Olomouc II
1.27
Vyškov
1.27
Zbrojovka Brno
1.40
Vlašim
1.43
Příbram
1.43
Vysočina Jihlava
1.53
Chrudim
1.60
Varnsdorf
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Prostějov
1.73
Hanácká
1.77
Sparta Praha II
1.93
Zbrojovka Brno is 0.13 goals worse than Sigma Olomouc II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D00D01L11D01L03L10W20WA·SPA18/08A·PRO26/08H·VAR02/09A·VYS15/09H·VYŠ23/09A·OPA30/09H·PŘÍ06/10A·VIK22/10H·ART27/10A·HAN04/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.770.430.430.381.06
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.300.740.380.460.201.10
vs Weaker (6)0.670.671.000.000.600.80
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W10W10W00D00D04L10W00D11DH·VIK19/08A·OPA25/08H·PŘÍ03/09A·HAN16/09H·ART24/09H·DUK02/10A·TÁB07/10H·VLA22/10A·SPA29/10H·CHR05/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.870.400.531.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.710.750.870.400.541.15
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W10W10W00D01L00D21W20W10WA·SPA18/08A·PRO26/08H·VAR02/09A·VYS15/09H·VYŠ23/09A·OPA30/09H·PŘÍ06/10A·VIK22/10H·ART27/10A·HAN04/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.640.640.750.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.700.570.690.620.700.50
vs Weaker (6)0.830.500.001.001.000.40
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Sigma Olomouc II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D11D11D01L01L22D00D20W13LH·VIK19/08A·OPA25/08H·PŘÍ03/09A·HAN16/09H·ART24/09H·DUK02/10A·TÁB07/10H·VLA22/10A·SPA29/10H·CHR05/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.930.331.131.130.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.710.930.331.131.150.69
vs Weaker (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sigma Olomouc II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zbrojovka Brno · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Vašulín60%
Lucky Ezeh33%
Tadeáš Vachoušek25%
Antonin Vanicek20%
Filip Vedral20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Janetzký0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Patrik Čavoš0%
Oliver Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonin Vanicek40%
Amadou Dante40%
Jakub Janetzký25%
Patrik Čavoš25%
Filip Vedral20%
Lukáš Saal20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Daniel Vašulín0%
Oliver Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Tadeáš Vachoušek0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tadeáš Vachoušek50%
Amadou Dante40%
Antonin Vanicek20%
Filip Vedral20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Janetzký0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Patrik Čavoš0%
Daniel Vašulín0%
Oliver Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tadeáš Vachoušek25%
Antonin Vanicek20%
Daniel Vašulín20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Janetzký0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Patrik Čavoš0%
Filip Vedral0%
Oliver Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DP (13)
€3m
ZB (10)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
ZB wins
0
Draws
0
SOI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zbrojovka Brno vs Sigma Olomouc II · H/A from ZB
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/23ASigma Olomouc II Vs ZB1-2

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/23AHanácká Vs ZB0-3
27/10/23HZB Vs Artis3-0
22/10/23AViktoria Žižkov Vs ZB4-2
06/10/23HZB Vs Příbram0-1
30/09/23AOpava Vs ZB2-1
23/09/23HZB Vs Vyškov0-1
15/09/23AVysočina Jihlava Vs ZB0-1
02/09/23HZB Vs Varnsdorf1-0
26/08/23AProstějov Vs ZB0-1
18/08/23ASparta Praha II Vs ZB1-2

Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/23HSOI Vs Chrudim2-4
29/10/23ASparta Praha II Vs SOI0-2
22/10/23HSOI Vs Vlašim1-0
07/10/23ATáborsko Vs SOI6-2
02/10/23HSOI Vs Dukla Praha0-1
24/09/23HSOI Vs Artis0-1
16/09/23AHanácká Vs SOI1-2
03/09/23HSOI Vs Příbram2-1
25/08/23AOpava Vs SOI1-2
19/08/23HSOI Vs Viktoria Žižkov0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.16
HomeWWLLW1.12
AwayWWLLW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%29%35%
AVG goals2.862.832.88
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.261.291.23
Conceded1.601.541.65
BTTS60%58%62%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners10.7811.5610.00
Cards3.564.192.94
Sigma Olomouc II
Sigma Olomouc II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.24
HomeWLLWL1.30
AwayLWWLW1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%35%32%
AVG goals2.982.833.14
Over 1.5 %78%74%82%
Over 2.5 %51%57%45%
Over 3.5 %36%35%36%
Scored1.331.351.32
Conceded1.641.481.82
BTTS51%52%50%
Clean Sheet22%26%18%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3060
60%
2.0
5529+26
2.8
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.0
-
2Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3057
60%
1.9
4938+11
2.9
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3TáborskoTáborsko3049
43%
1.6
4126+15
2.2
60%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.40.9
-
4VyškovVyškov3047
43%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
67%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5ChrudimChrudim3042
37%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6OpavaOpava3040
37%
1.3
3636+0
2.4
63%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
7VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.4
-
8ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3434+0
2.3
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.11.1
-
9Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
37%
1.3
4142-1
2.8
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.41.4
-
10Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
4451-7
3.2
80%
50%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.7
-
11Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3037
33%
1.2
5258-6
3.7
90%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
37%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
73%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.7
-
13PříbramPříbram3037
37%
1.2
3243-11
2.5
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
14VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3036
27%
1.2
5150+1
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3035
30%
1.2
4246-4
2.9
77%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
16HanáckáHanácká3025
20%
0.8
3353-20
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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