PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Zeta vs Berane Result & Analysis

Date: 05/03/2023
Time: 13:30
Final 1-0
Zeta
Zeta
Vs
27%
30%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zeta win✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Berane win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZetaZeta

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L14L01L21W00D01L02L12L40WH·MLA09/10A·BER12/10H·IGA16/10A·NIK22/10H·GRB30/10H·BOK05/11A·MLA13/11H·KOM20/11A·OTR27/11A·MLA03/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.051.321.111.441.001.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.151.461.331.671.001.29
vs Weaker (6)0.831.000.671.001.001.00
Clean sheet %26% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W30W10W03L30W10W11D31W10WA·GRB09/10H·ZET12/10A·MLA16/10H·KOM22/10A·OTR30/10H·MLA05/11A·BOK13/11A·IGA20/11H·NIK27/11H·GRB04/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.631.500.401.220.89
vs Stronger (17)1.470.651.560.441.380.88
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.3%
Under 2.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-0 ✓
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
Zeta goals ↓
Berane goals →
01234
011%11%8.5%3.8%1.3%
18.2%14%8.7%3.9%1.3%
24.9%6.6%4.4%2.0%0.7%
31.7%2.2%1.5%0.7%0.2%
40.4%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zeta goals (down), columns = Berane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Mladost DG
1.74
Berane
1.62
Kom
1.56
Bokelj
1.50
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.41
Igalo
1.29
Grbalj
1.18
Otrant-Olympic
1.12
Zeta
1.09
Nikšić
0.89
Zeta is 0.53 points worse than Berane in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Mladost DG
1.26
Kom
1.24
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.18
Igalo
1.09
Bokelj
1.03
Berane
1.03
Zeta
0.97
Otrant-Olympic
0.94
Nikšić
0.84
Grbalj
0.82
Zeta is 0.06 goals worse than Berane in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Berane
0.74
Bokelj
0.82
Grbalj
0.94
Igalo
1.03
Mladost DG
1.03
Kom
1.03
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.03
Otrant-Olympic
1.24
Zeta
1.26
Nikšić
1.63
Zeta is 0.53 goals worse than Berane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.74).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZetaZeta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L02L13L01L00D01L01L01L20WH·OTR02/10H·MLA09/10A·BER12/10H·IGA16/10H·GRB30/10H·BOK05/11A·MLA13/11H·KOM20/11A·OTR27/11A·MLA03/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.670.440.670.440.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.670.670.670.500.67
vs Weaker (6)0.170.670.000.670.330.67
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W01L00D10W10W01L00DA·GRB09/10H·ZET12/10A·MLA16/10H·KOM22/10A·OTR30/10H·MLA05/11A·BOK13/11A·IGA20/11H·NIK27/11H·GRB04/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.210.700.200.440.22
vs Stronger (17)0.590.240.670.220.500.25
vs Similar (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %79% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zeta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZetaZeta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L20W00D00D01L11D20WH·OTR02/10H·MLA09/10A·BER12/10H·IGA16/10H·GRB30/10H·BOK05/11A·MLA13/11H·KOM20/11A·OTR27/11A·MLA03/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.670.780.670.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.830.671.000.670.67
vs Weaker (6)0.670.330.670.330.670.33
Clean sheet %44% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BeraneBerane

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D30W00D02L30W00D01L30W10WA·GRB09/10H·ZET12/10A·MLA16/10H·KOM22/10A·OTR30/10H·MLA05/11A·BOK13/11A·IGA20/11H·NIK27/11H·GRB04/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.420.800.200.780.67
vs Stronger (17)0.880.410.890.220.880.62
vs Similar (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %68% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zeta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Berane over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (23)
€3m
BOK (18)
€2m
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (8)
€1m
OTR (4)
€1m
BOK (6)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (5)
€1m
BOK (4)
€0m
OTR (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MD (10)
€1m
BOK (8)
€1m
OTR (5)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
ZET wins
1
Draws
1
BER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zeta vs Berane · H/A from ZET
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/22ABerane Vs ZET2-0
21/08/22HZET Vs Berane0-0

ZetaZeta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/22AMladost DG Vs ZET0-4
27/11/22AOtrant-Olympic Vs ZET2-1
20/11/22HZET Vs Kom0-2
13/11/22AMladost Lješkopolje Vs ZET1-0
05/11/22HZET Vs Bokelj0-0
30/10/22HZET Vs Grbalj2-1
22/10/22ANikšić Vs ZET1-0
16/10/22HZET Vs Igalo1-4
12/10/22ABerane Vs ZET2-0
09/10/22HZET Vs Mladost DG0-2

BeraneBerane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/22HBER Vs Grbalj1-0
27/11/22HBER Vs Nikšić3-1
20/11/22AIgalo Vs BER1-1
13/11/22ABokelj Vs BER0-1
05/11/22HBER Vs Mladost DG3-0
30/10/22AOtrant-Olympic Vs BER3-0
22/10/22HBER Vs Kom1-0
16/10/22AMladost Lješkopolje Vs BER0-3
12/10/22HBER Vs Zeta2-0
09/10/22AGrbalj Vs BER0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zeta
Zeta
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.05
HomeLLWDL1.22
AwayLLLLW0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%30%
AVG goals2.372.562.20
Over 1.5 %68%78%60%
Over 2.5 %47%44%50%
Over 3.5 %21%33%10%
Scored1.051.111.00
Conceded1.321.441.20
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet26%33%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Berane
Berane
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.05
HomeWWWWW2.50
AwayWWLWD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %63%80%44%
AVG goals2.001.902.11
Over 1.5 %58%50%67%
Over 2.5 %32%30%33%
Over 3.5 %11%10%11%
Scored1.371.501.22
Conceded0.630.400.89
BTTS26%30%22%
Clean Sheet58%60%56%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost DGMladost DG3459
50%
1.7
4335+8
2.3
56%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
2BeraneBerane3455
47%
1.6
3525+10
1.8
47%
21%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
3KomKom3453
44%
1.6
4235+7
2.3
62%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
4BokeljBokelj3451
38%
1.5
3528+7
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.00.8
-
5Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3448
35%
1.4
4035+5
2.2
62%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6IgaloIgalo3545
31%
1.3
3836+2
2.1
69%
40%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
7GrbaljGrbalj3440
29%
1.2
2832-4
1.8
47%
26%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
8Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3438
26%
1.1
3242-10
2.2
68%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9ZetaZeta3437
29%
1.1
3343-10
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
10NikšićNikšić1917
21%
0.9
1631-15
2.5
79%
42%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Montenegro: Second League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

← all matches