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Žilina II vs Humenné Result & Analysis

Date: 06/08/2023
Time: 08:30
Final 5-3
Žilina II
Žilina II
Vs
52%
26%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours a home win for Žilina II, with a 52% chance of victory, 26% for a draw and 22% for Humenné. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.4% probability. Žilina II, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 2.33 goals scored and concedes just one, while Humenné, away against a stronger opponent, scores only 0.57 and concedes 0.86. The model’s only suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.8% probability. The recent form shows Žilina II coming off a defeat and Humenné likewise, both having mixed results in their last five matches. The final score of 5-3 confirmed the home win prediction, with Žilina II dominating the scoreboard.

Results analysis

The Pythia model predicted a home win for Žilina II against Humenné, and the result confirmed that expectation with a 5-3 victory. The model’s favourite, Home win, had a 52% probability and was correct. The model also selected Over 1.5 goals with a 77.8% chance, and that pick hit as the match produced eight goals. Žilina II’s recent form, noted as “coming off a defeat,” shows a mixed run, yet they managed to extend their winning streak with this high-scoring outing. Humenné, also coming off a defeat, struggled to contain the home side’s attack, underscoring the accuracy of the model’s predictions.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Žilina II win✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Humenné win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-840W01L22D20W33D32W10W43W84W21WH·POH24/03A·KOM01/04H·FK 08/04A·HUM14/04H·ŠAM23/04A·PET30/04H·DOL07/05H·SLA12/05A·DUB19/05A·DOL29/07
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.632.731.731.801.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.061.943.002.221.001.62
vs Weaker (13)2.541.232.331.002.711.43
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D32W00D02L12L31W20W00D01L01LH·DOL25/03H·ŠAM01/04A·PET09/04H·ŽIL14/04A·SLA22/04H·DUB29/04A·PÚC06/05H·SLO12/05A·SPA19/05H·KOM29/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.131.001.380.570.86
vs Stronger (30)0.801.131.001.380.570.86
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.8%
Under 1.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
Žilina II goals ↓
Humenné goals →
01234
07.3%5.4%3.5%1.2%0.3%
19.4%12%6.0%2.1%0.6%
29.1%9.7%5.2%1.8%0.5%
35.2%5.6%3.0%1.1%0.3%
42.2%2.4%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina II goals (down), columns = Humenné goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Žilina II is 0.33 points worse than Humenné in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Žilina II is 0.47 goals better than Humenné in terms of goals scored per game (1.90 vs 1.43).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Žilina II is 1.00 goals worse than Humenné in terms of goals conceded per game (2.07 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W01L11D00D11D22D10W01L52W01LH·POH24/03A·KOM01/04H·FK 08/04A·HUM14/04H·ŠAM23/04A·PET30/04H·DOL07/05H·SLA12/05A·DUB19/05A·DOL29/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.871.131.000.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.881.061.331.220.380.88
vs Weaker (13)1.080.620.830.671.290.57
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D00D12L10W10W00D00D00DH·DOL25/03H·ŠAM01/04A·PET09/04H·ŽIL14/04A·SLA22/04H·DUB29/04A·PÚC06/05H·SLO12/05A·SPA19/05H·KOM29/07
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.300.380.250.210.36
vs Stronger (30)0.300.300.380.250.210.36
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D11D20W22D10W00D42W32W20WH·POH24/03A·KOM01/04H·FK 08/04A·HUM14/04H·ŠAM23/04A·PET30/04H·DOL07/05H·SLA12/05A·DUB19/05A·DOL29/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.771.600.731.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.180.881.671.000.620.75
vs Weaker (13)1.460.621.500.331.430.86
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D02L00D21W10W00D01L01LH·DOL25/03H·ŠAM01/04A·PET09/04H·ŽIL14/04A·SLA22/04H·DUB29/04A·PÚC06/05H·SLO12/05A·SPA19/05H·KOM29/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.621.120.360.50
vs Stronger (30)0.500.830.621.120.360.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Humenné have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ŽI wins
0
Draws
1
HUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Žilina II vs Humenné · H/A from ŽI
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/23AHumenné Vs ŽI0-2
18/09/22HŽI Vs Humenné0-1

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/23ADolný Kubín Vs ŽI1-2
19/05/23ADubnica Vs ŽI4-8
12/05/23HŽI Vs Slavoj Trebišov4-3
07/05/23HŽI Vs Dolný Kubín1-0
30/04/23APetržalka Vs ŽI2-3
23/04/23HŽI Vs Šamorín3-3
14/04/23AHumenné Vs ŽI0-2
08/04/23HŽI Vs FK Košice2-2
01/04/23AKomárno Vs ŽI1-0
24/03/23HŽI Vs Pohronie4-0

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/23HHUM Vs Komárno0-1
19/05/23ASpartak Myjava Vs HUM1-0
12/05/23HHUM Vs Slovan Bratislava II0-0
06/05/23APúchov Vs HUM0-2
29/04/23HHUM Vs Dubnica3-1
22/04/23ASlavoj Trebišov Vs HUM2-1
14/04/23HHUM Vs Žilina II0-2
09/04/23APetržalka Vs HUM0-0
01/04/23HHUM Vs Šamorín3-2
25/03/23HHUM Vs Dolný Kubín0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.71
HomeWDDWW2.00
AwayLWWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals3.874.473.31
Over 1.5 %81%87%75%
Over 2.5 %74%87%62%
Over 3.5 %52%73%31%
Scored2.232.731.75
Conceded1.651.731.56
BTTS55%67%44%
Clean Sheet26%20%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLL1.03
HomeWLWDL1.06
AwayDDLWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%25%20%
AVG goals1.942.381.47
Over 1.5 %61%69%53%
Over 2.5 %35%56%13%
Over 3.5 %16%25%7%
Scored0.771.000.53
Conceded1.161.380.93
BTTS42%56%27%
Clean Sheet32%19%47%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KomárnoKomárno3067
70%
2.2
6428+36
3.1
80%
43%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2PetržalkaPetržalka3064
63%
2.1
6429+35
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3060
60%
2.0
5023+27
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
4HumennéHumenné3050
47%
1.7
4332+11
2.5
63%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3047
40%
1.6
4838+10
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
6PúchovPúchov3047
47%
1.6
5449+5
3.4
77%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
7Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3044
40%
1.5
4242+0
2.8
87%
67%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3042
43%
1.4
5348+5
3.4
87%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II3040
40%
1.3
5762-5
4.0
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.92.1
-
10PohroniePohronie3039
37%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
11ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4956-7
3.5
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3036
33%
1.2
4655-9
3.4
77%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
13Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3035
33%
1.2
3450-16
2.8
80%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
14MalženiceMalženice3028
23%
0.9
3648-12
2.8
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
15Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3020
13%
0.7
2768-41
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
16Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves3013
10%
0.4
2255-33
2.6
77%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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