Žilina II vs Humenné Result & Analysis

The model favours a home win, with a 48% chance for Žilina II, 27% for a draw and 25% for Humenné. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, but the most likely total is two, with a 25% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, occurring with a 12.7% chance. Žilina II, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 2.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Humenné, on the road against a stronger opponent, averages 1.35 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. The only suggested pick is Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.8% probability. The recent form shows both teams coming off defeats, with Žilina II losing 1-2 to Šamorín and Humenné losing 0-1 to Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom. The match is likely to see Žilina II edge out a win, but a 1-1 draw remains a realistic outcome.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Žilina II, fell short as the match finished 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s 48% expectation for a victory. The model’s prediction was therefore incorrect. The only other selection, Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.8% probability, also missed, as no goals were scored. Žilina II, coming off a defeat in their last match, had a recent form of LWDWW, while Humenné, also coming off a loss, had LWLWW. The game’s outcome matched the model’s lower probability for a draw, but the favourite’s call was wrong, and the over-goals pick failed as well.