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Žilina II vs Petržalka Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 08:30
Final 0-2
Žilina II
Žilina II
Vs
32%
27%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Žilina II and Petržalka is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win chances sit at 32 % and 41 % respectively, the draw at 27 %. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13 % probability. Žilina II, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Petržalka, on a five-game winning streak, averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded on the road. The model’s selection includes Over 1.5 goals with a 78.4 % chance. Recent form adds nuance: Žilina II comes off a win, whereas Petržalka is riding a five-game run. All figures are presented once, and no other outcomes are highlighted.

Results analysis

The win extends Žilina II’s recent form, but Petržalka’s five-game winning streak proved decisive, as the model’s favourite - an away win - materialised with a 0-2 result. The Pythia prediction had set the away side as the likely victor with a 41 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit with a 78.4 % chance, reflecting the 2-goal tally. The most probable scoreline of 1-1 fell short, and the 2-goal expectation of 2.8 was surpassed. Overall, the model’s selections largely came through, confirming its accuracy for this match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Žilina II win✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petržalka win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L12L14L14L02L22D24L11D25L40WA·BAN21/03H·INT28/03A·DUK03/04H·ZLA12/04A·LIP18/04H·POV22/04A·SLO26/04H·MAL03/05A·LOK08/05H·SLÁ15/05
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.971.731.871.132.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.701.802.001.601.402.00
vs Weaker (20)1.302.051.602.001.002.10
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W40W30W21W01L21W20W13L01L21WH·ŠAM22/03A·STA28/03H·POH05/04A·PÚC11/04A·SLÁ19/04H·BAN22/04A·INT25/04H·DUK03/05A·ZLA08/05H·LIP15/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.131.711.071.501.19
vs Stronger (2)1.501.500.002.003.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.721.161.831.001.621.31
vs Weaker (3)0.670.672.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
0-2 ✓
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
Žilina II goals ↓
Petržalka goals →
01234
07.1%7.8%6.8%3.4%1.3%
16.7%13%8.9%4.5%1.7%
25.1%7.8%5.8%2.9%1.1%
32.3%3.4%2.6%1.3%0.5%
40.7%1.1%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina II goals (down), columns = Petržalka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.40
Žilina II
2.00
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Pohronie
1.40
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.40
Humenné
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Malženice
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II
0.80
Galanta
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.40
Žilina II is 1.00 points worse than Petržalka in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 3.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.80
Šamorín
2.20
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Inter Bratislava
1.60
Tatran Prešov
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Malženice
1.40
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Humenné
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.60
Galanta
0.60
Žilina II is 1.80 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.40
Žilina II
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
0.80
Šamorín
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Tatran Prešov
1.40
Humenné
1.60
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Malženice
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II
1.80
Galanta
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Žilina II is 0.40 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L10W12L00D01L04L10W01L10WA·BAN21/03H·INT28/03A·DUK03/04H·ZLA12/04A·LIP18/04H·POV22/04A·SLO26/04H·MAL03/05A·LOK08/05H·SLÁ15/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.930.731.070.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.501.000.601.000.401.00
vs Weaker (20)0.550.900.801.100.300.70
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D20W00D01L11D00D02L00D01LH·ŠAM22/03A·STA28/03H·POH05/04A·PÚC11/04A·SLÁ19/04H·BAN22/04A·INT25/04H·DUK03/05A·ZLA08/05H·LIP15/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.471.000.570.440.38
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.441.080.500.460.38
vs Weaker (3)0.330.331.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D04L02L02L21W20W01L24L30WA·BAN21/03H·INT28/03A·DUK03/04H·ZLA12/04A·LIP18/04H·POV22/04A·SLO26/04H·MAL03/05A·LOK08/05H·SLÁ15/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.031.000.800.801.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.200.801.400.601.001.00
vs Weaker (20)0.751.150.800.900.701.40
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetržalkaPetržalka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W40W10W21W00D10W20W11D01L20WH·ŠAM22/03A·STA28/03H·POH05/04A·PÚC11/04A·SLÁ19/04H·BAN22/04A·INT25/04H·DUK03/05A·ZLA08/05H·LIP15/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.670.710.501.060.81
vs Stronger (2)1.000.500.001.002.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.960.720.750.501.150.92
vs Weaker (3)0.330.331.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (33)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (13)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ŽI wins
2
Draws
4
PET wins

Head-to-head

Žilina II vs Petržalka · H/A from ŽI
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/26HŽI Vs Petržalka1-1
24/08/25APetržalka Vs ŽI1-1
30/04/25APetržalka Vs ŽI1-0
22/09/24HŽI Vs Petržalka0-1
17/05/24APetržalka Vs ŽI5-1
04/11/23HŽI Vs Petržalka0-1
30/04/23APetržalka Vs ŽI2-3
08/10/22HŽI Vs Petržalka3-0

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26HŽI Vs Slávia TU Košice4-0
08/05/26ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs ŽI5-2
03/05/26HŽI Vs Malženice1-1
26/04/26ASlovan Bratislava II Vs ŽI4-2
22/04/26HŽI Vs Považská Bystrica2-2
18/04/26ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs ŽI2-0
12/04/26HŽI Vs Zlaté Moravce1-4
03/04/26ADukla Banská Bystrica Vs ŽI4-1
28/03/26HŽI Vs Inter Bratislava1-2
21/03/26ABaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom Vs ŽI1-0

PetržalkaPetržalka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/26HPET Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-1
08/05/26AZlaté Moravce Vs PET1-0
03/05/26HPET Vs Dukla Banská Bystrica1-3
25/04/26AInter Bratislava Vs PET0-2
22/04/26HPET Vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom2-1
19/04/26ASlávia TU Košice Vs PET1-0
11/04/26APúchov Vs PET1-2
05/04/26HPET Vs Pohronie3-0
28/03/26AStará Ľubovňa Vs PET0-4
22/03/26HPET Vs Šamorín3-0

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.08
HomeLLDDW1.32
AwayLLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals3.163.163.16
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.341.521.16
Conceded1.821.642.00
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet20%28%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Petržalka
Petržalka
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.54
HomeWWWLW1.88
AwayWWLWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%58%29%
AVG goals2.542.462.62
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.481.581.38
Conceded1.060.881.25
BTTS52%46%58%
Clean Sheet32%46%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetržalkaPetržalka515
100%
3.0
142+12
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.4
-
2ŠamorínŠamorín512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov510
60%
2.0
87+1
3.0
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.61.4
-
4Žilina IIŽilina II510
60%
2.0
54+1
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica59
60%
1.8
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
6Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš58
40%
1.6
104+6
2.8
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.8
-
7Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom57
20%
1.4
108+2
3.6
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
8PohroniePohronie57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava56
40%
1.2
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
10HumennéHumenné56
40%
1.2
48-4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
11Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce55
20%
1.0
56-1
2.2
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II54
20%
0.8
89-1
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.8
-
13MalženiceMalženice54
20%
0.8
79-2
3.2
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
14GalantaGalanta54
20%
0.8
39-6
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.8
-
15MFK BytčaMFK Bytča53
20%
0.6
316-13
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.63.2
-
16Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen52
0%
0.4
36-3
1.8
40%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.2
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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