The contest between Žilina II and Petržalka is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win chances sit at 32 % and 41 % respectively, the draw at 27 %. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13 % probability. Žilina II, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Petržalka, on a five-game winning streak, averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded on the road. The model’s selection includes Over 1.5 goals with a 78.4 % chance. Recent form adds nuance: Žilina II comes off a win, whereas Petržalka is riding a five-game run. All figures are presented once, and no other outcomes are highlighted.
Results analysis
The win extends Žilina II’s recent form, but Petržalka’s five-game winning streak proved decisive, as the model’s favourite - an away win - materialised with a 0-2 result. The Pythia prediction had set the away side as the likely victor with a 41 % probability, and the model’s call was correct. The suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit with a 78.4 % chance, reflecting the 2-goal tally. The most probable scoreline of 1-1 fell short, and the 2-goal expectation of 2.8 was surpassed. Overall, the model’s selections largely came through, confirming its accuracy for this match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Žilina II win✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petržalka win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Žilina II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.97
1.73
1.87
1.13
2.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.70
1.80
2.00
1.60
1.40
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
2.05
1.60
2.00
1.00
2.10
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petržalka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.13
1.71
1.07
1.50
1.19
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.72
1.16
1.83
1.00
1.62
1.31
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.1%
0-2 ✓
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
Žilina II goals ↓
Petržalka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
7.8%
6.8%
3.4%
1.3%
1
6.7%
13%
8.9%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.1%
7.8%
5.8%
2.9%
1.1%
3
2.3%
3.4%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina II goals (down), columns = Petržalka goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.40
Žilina II
2.00
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Pohronie
1.40
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.40
Humenné
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Malženice
0.80
Slovan Bratislava II
0.80
Galanta
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.40
Žilina II is 1.00 points worse than Petržalka in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.80
Šamorín
2.20
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
2.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Inter Bratislava
1.60
Tatran Prešov
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Malženice
1.40
Zlaté Moravce
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Humenné
0.80
MFK Bytča
0.60
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.60
Galanta
0.60
Žilina II is 1.80 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.80).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.40
Žilina II
0.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
0.80
Šamorín
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.20
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Tatran Prešov
1.40
Humenné
1.60
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.80
Malženice
1.80
Pohronie
1.80
Slovan Bratislava II
1.80
Galanta
1.80
MFK Bytča
3.20
Žilina II is 0.40 goals worse than Petržalka in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.73
1.07
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.90
0.80
1.10
0.30
0.70
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petržalka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
1.00
0.57
0.44
0.38
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.44
1.08
0.50
0.46
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.03
1.00
0.80
0.80
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
0.80
1.40
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.75
1.15
0.80
0.90
0.70
1.40
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Petržalka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petržalka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.71
0.50
1.06
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.72
0.75
0.50
1.15
0.92
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petržalka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →