The highly anticipated matchup between Žilina II and Pohronie in the Slovakia 2. liga is shaping up to be a finely balanced contest. Žilina II is coming off a win, having defeated Inter Bratislava 1-0, but Pohronie has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing with Považská Bystrica 2-1.
The model predicts a home win for Žilina II, with a 39% probability, closely followed by a 35% chance of an away win and a 26% chance of a draw. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, with the most likely outcome being 2 total goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.1% probability.
Žilina II has been scoring an average of 1.86 goals at home and conceding 1.71 per match, while Pohronie averages 1.31 goals scored away and 1.62 conceded. The model's selection is Over 1.5, with an 81.9% probability, offering a 6% edge. The home side has a 39% chance of winning, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 35% chance of an away win. The model's selection, Over 1.5, has a 81.9% probability, while a Home win has a 39% chance, a Draw has a 26% chance, and an Away win has a 35% chance.
Results analysis
Žilina II's win extends their run of 2 consecutive victories, following a 2-1 win over Pohronie. The final score was indeed 2-1, with Žilina II claiming the home win. The model's selection, Žilina II to win, was correct, given a pre-match probability of 39%. The model's call was also correct, as Žilina II were the favourites. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 81.9%. The model also suggested that the most likely total goals would be 2, but this was not the actual outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Žilina II win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 42.6% · @ 2.14
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.20
Superbet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.38
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
Dafabet
3.40
Pohronie win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.00
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.06
Dafabet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
3.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Žilina II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.90
1.73
1.87
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.50
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (18)
1.28
2.06
1.78
2.00
0.78
2.11
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pohronie
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.30
2.07
1.00
1.38
1.56
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.74
1.30
2.07
1.00
1.38
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
@ 1.20+5.7%
Under 1.5
18.1%
@ 3.85-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.85
1xBet
3.85
Superbet
3.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.70+4.4%
Under 2.5
41.2%
@ 2.03-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.4%
@ 2.73+2.8%
Under 3.5
63.6%
@ 1.38-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.79
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.3%
@ 1.58+4.1%
No
37.7%
@ 2.19-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
1xBet
1.58
BetVictor
1.57
No
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.20
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 6.14+5.4%
2-1 ✓
8.6%@ 7.82+3.3%
1-2
8.2%@ 9.60+3.9%
2-2
6.4%@ 10.38+2.4%
1-0
6.3%@ 8.10+1.2%
0-1
5.9%@ 9.90+1.8%
0-0
5.8%@ 10.82+2.0%
2-0
5.8%@ 10.03+1.7%
Žilina II goals ↓
Pohronie goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
5.9%
5.2%
2.6%
1.0%
1
6.3%
12%
8.2%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.8%
8.6%
6.4%
3.2%
1.2%
3
3.0%
4.5%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina II goals (down), columns = Pohronie goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Žilina II and Pohronie are level in average points per game (both 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Žilina II is 1.00 goals worse than Pohronie in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Žilina II is 0.67 goals better than Pohronie in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.73
1.00
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.83
0.50
0.83
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
0.61
0.94
0.89
1.11
0.33
0.78
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pohronie
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.00
0.57
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.67
1.00
0.57
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.87
0.67
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.83
1.17
0.83
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
0.67
1.11
0.89
0.89
0.44
1.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pohronie) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pohronie
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.07
0.43
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.89
0.63
1.07
0.43
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pohronie over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.9%
1.20
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
+5.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Žilina II and Pohronie have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Žilina II and Pohronie have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Pohronie have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Pohronie have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →