The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.4 goals, favouring a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 10 %. Žilina II, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.82 goals scored and conceded, while Považská Bystrica, away against a stronger opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and conceded. Home win is the model’s pick, with a 54 % chance, a draw 23 % and an away win 23 %. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals (97.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5 %), Under 6.5 (94.1 %), Home +2 handicap (90.1 %), Home over 0.5 goals (87.7 %), Under 5.5 (86.8 %), Over 1.5 (86.4 %) and Away under 2.5 goals (85.2 %). Žilina II are coming off a win, while Považská Bystrica return after a defeat, setting the stage for an open, attacking match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Žilina II win
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica win
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Žilina II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.73
1.47
1.73
0.93
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.70
1.00
1.60
1.40
1.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
1.75
1.70
1.80
0.70
1.70
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Považská Bystrica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.57
1.36
1.29
1.62
1.81
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.20
0.50
1.00
2.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.52
1.64
1.50
1.33
1.54
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.7%
Under 1.5
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.0%
Under 2.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
5.0%
Žilina II goals ↓
Považská Bystrica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.7%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.2%
10%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
2
7.3%
9.6%
6.3%
2.7%
0.9%
3
5.0%
6.5%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
4
2.5%
3.3%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Žilina II goals (down), columns = Považská Bystrica goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Žilina II and Považská Bystrica are level in average points per game (both 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Žilina II is 0.67 goals worse than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Žilina II is 0.67 goals better than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Žilina II or Draw
76.7%
Avg Implied -
53%
23%
23%
covers Žilina II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žilina II or Považská Bystrica
76.8%
Avg Implied -
53%
23%
23%
covers Žilina II + Považská Bystrica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Považská Bystrica
46.5%
Avg Implied -
53%
23%
23%
covers Draw + Považská Bystrica
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Žilina II over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
Under
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5
Over
60.5%
Under
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5
Over
33.5%
Under
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 3.5
Over
15.1%
Under
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5
Over
72.9%
Under
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 3.5
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Žilina II, so a minus line means Žilina II give that many goals of a start and Považská Bystrica receive them. At -1, Žilina II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Žilina II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Žilina II)
Žilina II -2
15.9%
Draw -2
16.4%
Považská Bystrica +2
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Žilina II)
Žilina II -1
32.3%
Draw -1
21.1%
Považská Bystrica +1
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Žilina II)
Žilina II +1
76.7%
Draw +1
13.2%
Považská Bystrica -1
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Žilina II)
Žilina II +2
89.9%
Draw +2
6.7%
Považská Bystrica -2
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Žilina II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.73
0.93
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.80
0.90
1.00
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Považská Bystrica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.64
0.29
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.56
0.67
0.17
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Žilina II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.73
0.80
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.95
0.80
0.80
0.50
1.10
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Považská Bystrica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.03
0.71
1.00
1.00
1.06
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.88
1.08
0.83
1.17
0.92
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Žilina II and Považská Bystrica have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Žilina II and Považská Bystrica have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Považská Bystrica have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Žilina II and Považská Bystrica have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Pohronie
Tatran Prešov
Liptovský Mikuláš
Inter Bratislava
Malženice
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča