PythiaFootballBETA
This match between Žilina and FK Košice in the Slovakia: Super Liga is expected to be a high-scoring encounter, with an average of 3 goals predicted. Žilina's recent form is a positive note, coming off a win against Zemplín Michalovce. However, FK Košice has been inconsistent, drawing their last match against AS Trenčín.
Žilina is the favourite to win, with a 54% chance of a home win. The model's selection is indeed a home win, with a 54% probability. The draw percentage stands at 25%, while FK Košice has a 21% chance of an away win. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 11.7% probability.
Žilina has a strong home record, scoring 2.33 goals on average while conceding 1.11. FK Košice, on the other hand, has struggled away from home, scoring 1.8 goals while conceding 2.6.
The model suggests selecting the Over 1.5 option, which has an 80.6% probability of hitting. Žilina's home win percentage is 54%, the draw percentage is 25%, and FK Košice's away win percentage is 21%.
In a stunning upset, Žilina's home draw extended their winning streak to one match, as they came from behind to share the spoils with FK Košice 4-4. Žilina were the pre-match favourites, with a 54% chance of winning, but the model's selection of Home win proved incorrect. The model's call was wrong, as Žilina failed to deliver on their expected performance. Žilina's suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 80.6% probability, as the match saw a total of 8 goals. The model also suggested that Žilina's home win would be the most likely outcome, but that didn't come to pass.
Žilina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.80 | 1.07 | 2.00 | 0.94 | 1.54 | 1.23 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.93 | 0.87 | 2.38 | 0.75 | 1.43 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (12) | 1.83 | 1.25 | 1.88 | 1.12 | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+3pp vs league) | |||||
FK Košice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.31 | 1.15 | 1.65 | 2.00 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 2.33 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.81 | 1.69 | 2.18 | 1.36 | 1.53 | 1.93 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 4.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
| FK Košice goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 12% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
ŽilinaFK KošiceŽilina| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 26.0 | 24.1 | 28.4 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 7.8 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 29.2 | 26.5 | 31.0 |
| vs Similar (25) | 9.8 | 9.7 | 10.2 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 23.3 | 21.9 | 26.5 |
| vs Weaker (19) | 11.1 | 10.5 | 11.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 28.1 | 27.8 | 28.4 |
| % over line | 56% | 60% | 50% | 28% | 27% | 29% | 81% | 73% | 92% |
| % under line | 44% | 40% | 50% | 72% | 73% | 71% | 19% | 27% | 8% |
FK Košice| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.7 | 9.8 | 11.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 22.8 | 23.3 | 22.2 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 9.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 20.3 | 22.0 | 17.0 |
| vs Similar (41) | 10.9 | 10.2 | 11.6 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 23.1 | 23.5 | 22.7 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 69% | 64% | 75% | 22% | 35% | 11% | 50% | 57% | 42% |
| % under line | 31% | 36% | 25% | 78% | 65% | 89% | 50% | 43% | 58% |
Žilina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 0.59 | 0.54 | 0.31 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.00 | 0.27 | 1.12 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 0.14 |
| vs Weaker (12) | 0.92 | 0.67 | 1.25 | 0.88 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+36pp vs league) | |||||
FK Košice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 0.83 | 1.23 | 0.46 | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 0.33 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.00 | 0.88 | 1.18 | 0.55 | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+13pp vs league) | |||||
Žilina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.93 | 0.60 | 0.88 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.93 | 0.60 | 1.25 | 0.38 | 0.57 | 0.86 |
| vs Weaker (12) | 0.92 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 0.25 | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+26pp vs league) | |||||
FK Košice| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.08 | 0.69 | 0.76 | 0.88 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.00 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.81 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+13pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 85.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 80.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 79.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 74.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 74.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 70.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 22/02/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 04/10/25 | H | 4-1 | |
| 10/05/25 | A | 3-2 | |
| 23/04/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 08/02/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 21/09/24 | A | 1-2 | |
| 25/11/23 | H | 1-0 |
Žilina| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 05/05/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 01/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 14/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 2-1 |
FK Košice| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 05/05/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 01/05/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 15/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Spartak Trnava | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 56% |
| 2 |  Slovan Bratislava | 4 | 12 | 100% | 3.0 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.8 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 44 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 59% |
| 3 |  Dunajska Streda | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 3.0 | 100% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 53% |
| 4 | Žilina | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 4.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 50% |
| 5 |  Podbrezová | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 3.6 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 51% |
| 6 |  Skalica | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 3.4 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 42% |
| 7 | FK Košice | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 5.8 | 100% | 100% | 75% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 49% |
| 8 |  Zemplín Michalovce | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1.8 | 80% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 52% |
| 9 |  Dukla Banská Bystrica | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 2.6 | - |
| 10 |  AS Trencin | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 51% |
| 11 |  Komárno | 5 | 2 | 0% | 0.4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2.6 | 100% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 48% |
| 12 |  Ružomberok | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 43% |